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RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
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← Draftanomics
Past class — locked, then graded

2016 NFL Draft

A past class. The model never saw these players when it learned — this board is what Draftanomics would have said on draft night, graded against how the careers actually played out.

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Top 64 of 253 prospects in this draft class
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64 of 64 prospects shown · ranked by the career-value model

Blue Chip

6 prospects · picks #1–#6

Day-1 starter ceiling. The class's franchise pieces.

1
Jalen Ramsey

Jalen Ramsey

Blue Chiprank#1$12.2MCB·Florida St.·6'1", 209 lb·21.5 yrs·$22.4M($15.6M–$29.2M)·404.41

Blue-chip CB ceiling. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, charting coverage grade career avg.

Career outlookElite 30%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence7%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Athleticism · HS recruit rating — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #5JAXY1 5.3
2
A'Shawn Robinson

A'Shawn Robinson

Blue Chiprank#2$11.7MDT·Alabama·6'4", 307 lb·21.1 yrs·$15.3M($6M–$24.6M)·405.20↑ 13 vs consensus

Blue-chip DT ceiling. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookElite 13%(tails only)
Bust probability33%Average risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · HS recruit rating · Age — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #46DETY1 5.6
3
Jack Conklin

Jack Conklin

Blue Chiprank#3$10.5MOT·Michigan St.·6'6", 308 lb·$23.7M($15.5M–$32M)·405.00↑ 15 vs consensus

Blue-chip OT ceiling. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookElite 21%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence2%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Athleticism · Age — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #8TEN
4
Ezekiel Elliott

Ezekiel Elliott

Blue Chiprank#4$9.6MRB·Ohio St.·6'0", 225 lb·20.8 yrs·$24.4M($18.4M–$30.4M)·404.47

Blue-chip RB ceiling. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookElite 22%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence9%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Age — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #4DALY1 18.0
5
Myles Jack

Myles Jack

Blue Chiprank#5$8.7MOLB·UCLA·6'1", 245 lb·20.6 yrs·$16.2M·404.56

Blue-chip OLB ceiling. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookElite 33%(tails only)
Bust probability33%Average risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · HS recruit rating — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #36JAXY1 3.3
6
Cody Whitehair

Cody Whitehair

Blue Chiprank#6$8.2MG·Kansas St.·$21M($12.8M–$29.3M)↑ 23 vs consensus

Blue-chip G ceiling. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting gap run block grade; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookElite 16%(tails only)
Bust probability3%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Age — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #56CHI

1st Round

26 prospects · picks #7–#32

Year-1 starter probability. First-round capital.

7
Reggie Ragland

Reggie Ragland

1st Roundrank#7$7.7MILB·Alabama·6'1", 247 lb·22.6 yrs·$7.7M·404.72

First-round ILB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookElite 21%(tails only)
Bust probability16%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #41BUF
8
Joey Bosa

Joey Bosa

1st Roundrank#8$7.1MEDGE·Ohio St.·6'5", 269 lb·20.8 yrs·$33.7M($24.4M–$43.1M)·404.86

First-round EDGE profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookElite 34%(tails only)
Bust probability2%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · HS recruit rating — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #3SDGY1 6.0
9
Ryan Kelly

Ryan Kelly

1st Roundrank#9$6.9MC·Alabama·6'4", 311 lb·$20.6M($12.3M–$28.8M)·405.03↑ 38 vs consensus

First-round C profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, athleticism (combine), charting gap run block grade.

Career outlookElite 9%(tails only)
Bust probability7%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Athleticism · RAS × production — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #18IND
10
Corey Coleman

Corey Coleman

1st Roundrank#10$6.7MWR·Baylor·5'11", 194 lb·21.8 yrs·$6.7M($0.7M–$12.7M)·404.42↑ 16 vs consensus

First-round WR profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, athleticism (combine); the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookElite 13%(tails only)
Bust probability<1%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Athleticism · RAS × production · Age — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #15CLEY1 14.6
11
Kentrell Brothers

Kentrell Brothers

1st RoundOLB·Missouri·6'0", 245 lb·23.2 yrs·$6.4M·404.89↑ 109 vs consensus

First-round OLB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting coverage grade career avg; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Bust probability33%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #160MINY1 0.1
12
Josh Doctson

Josh Doctson

1st Roundrank#12$6.1MWR·TCU·6'2", 202 lb·23.4 yrs·$6.1M($0.1M–$12.1M)·404.50↑ 12 vs consensus

First-round WR profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, athleticism (combine), charting: yards per route run from the slot, best season.

Career outlookElite 13%(tails only)
Bust probability4%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Athleticism · Scout consensus — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #22WASY1 7.6
13
Carson Wentz

Carson Wentz

1st Roundrank#13QB·North Dakota St.·23.3 yrs·—

First-round QB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: age.

Career outlookElite 14%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence16%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · HS recruit rating — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #2PHIY1 14.6
14
Jason Spriggs

Jason Spriggs

1st Roundrank#14$5.5MOT·Indiana·6'6", 301 lb·$6.1M($0M–$14.4M)·404.94↑ 31 vs consensus

First-round OT profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, athleticism (combine), scout consensus.

Bust probability· low confidence2%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Athleticism · Scout consensus · Age — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #48GNB
15
Vernon Hargreaves III

Vernon Hargreaves III

1st Roundrank#15$5.2MCB·Florida·5'10", 204 lb·20.9 yrs·$6.1M($0M–$12.9M)·404.50

First-round CB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookElite 39%
Bust probability· low confidence<1%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Athleticism — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #11TAMY1 5.7
16
Jaylon Smith

Jaylon Smith

1st RoundOLB·Notre Dame·6'2", 223 lb·20.9 yrs·$14M·404.67↑ 18 vs consensus

First-round OLB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting coverage grade career avg; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Bust probability21%Average risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Age · HS recruit rating · Scout consensus — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #34DAL
17
Jarran Reed

Jarran Reed

1st Roundrank#17$4.7MDT·Alabama·6'3", 307 lb·23.4 yrs·$23.6M($14.3M–$33M)·405.21

First-round DT profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: age.

Career outlookElite 15%(tails only)
Bust probability33%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #49SEAY1 5.5
18
Sheldon Rankins

Sheldon Rankins

1st Roundrank#18$4.5MDT·Louisville·6'1", 299 lb·22.1 yrs·$13.9M($4.5M–$23.2M)·405.03

First-round DT profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookElite 23%(tails only)
Bust probability20%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #12NORY1 6.1
19
Kenneth Dixon

Kenneth Dixon

1st Roundrank#19$4.3MRB·Louisiana Tech·5'10", 215 lb·22.3 yrs·$5.8M($0M–$11.8M)·404.56↑ 62 vs consensus

First-round RB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100; the knocks: charting total career snaps, charting int yards per route run career avg. Bust risk moderate (41%).

Bust probability· low confidence41%Moderate risk
Plays like
NFL pick #134BALY1 16.1
20
Kenny Clark

Kenny Clark

1st Roundrank#20$4.1MDT·UCLA·6'3", 314 lb·20.6 yrs·$26.3M($17M–$35.6M)·405.06

First-round DT profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting coverage grade career avg; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookElite 10%(tails only)
Bust probability15%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #27GNBY1 5.0
21
Laremy Tunsil

Laremy Tunsil

1st Roundrank#21$4MOT·Mississippi·6'5", 310 lb·$28.3M($20.1M–$36.6M)·405.23↓ 17 vs consensus

First-round OT profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookElite 23%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence5%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #13MIA
22
Leonard Floyd

Leonard Floyd

1st Roundrank#22$4MOLB·Georgia·6'6", 244 lb·23.6 yrs·$26.6M·404.60

First-round OLB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookElite 21%(tails only)
Bust probability17%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #9CHIY1 6.1
23
Taylor Decker

Taylor Decker

1st Roundrank#23$3.9MOT·Ohio St.·6'7", 310 lb·$19.8M($11.6M–$28.1M)·405.23

First-round OT profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookElite 9%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence3%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #16DET
24
Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry

1st Roundrank#24$3.9MTE·Arkansas·6'5", 250 lb·21.4 yrs·$21.5M($15.5M–$27.5M)·404.79↑ 26 vs consensus

First-round TE profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100; the knocks: athleticism (combine), charting total career snaps.

Bust probability· low confidence7%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #35SDGY1 16.7
25
Darian Thompson

Darian Thompson

1st RoundS·Boise St.·6'2", 208 lb·22.6 yrs·$4.3M($0M–$11.1M)·404.69↑ 45 vs consensus

First-round S profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100; the knocks: charting total career snaps, athleticism (combine).

Career outlookElite 8%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence5%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #71NYGY1 4.7
26
Robert Nkemdiche

Robert Nkemdiche

1st Roundrank#26$3.7MDT·Mississippi·6'3", 294 lb·21.6 yrs·$10.6M($1.3M–$19.9M)·404.87

First-round DT profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: charting: average depth of target allowed, career avg.

Career outlookElite 13%(tails only)
Bust probability20%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #29ARIY1 5.7
27
Jared Goff

Jared Goff

1st Roundrank#27QB·California·6'4", 215 lb·21.5 yrs·—·404.82↓ 18 vs consensus

First-round QB profile. What the model likes: scout consensus, boards with him top-100, charting pass grade max.

Career outlookElite 30%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence21%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #1LARY1 8.4
28
Su'a Cravens

Su'a Cravens

1st Roundrank#28$3.6MOLB·USC·6'1", 226 lb·20.8 yrs·$8.2M·404.58↑ 12 vs consensus

First-round OLB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting coverage grade career avg; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookElite 9%(tails only)
Bust probability25%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #53WASY1 4.4
29
Laquon Treadwell

Laquon Treadwell

1st Roundrank#29$3.6MWR·Mississippi·6'2", 221 lb·20.9 yrs·$6.7M($0.7M–$12.7M)·404.52↓ 16 vs consensus

First-round WR profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookElite 9%(tails only)
Bust probability3%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #23MINY1 4.7
30
Austin Johnson

Austin Johnson

1st RoundDT·Penn St.·6'4", 314 lb·22.0 yrs·$10.3M($1M–$19.6M)·405.32

First-round DT profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting run def grade career avg; the knock: charting total career snaps. Bust risk moderate (36%).

Career outlookElite 8%(tails only)
Bust probability36%Moderate risk
Plays like
NFL pick #43TENY1 5.2
31
Shaq Lawson

Shaq Lawson

1st Roundrank#31$3.5MEDGE·Clemson·6'3", 269 lb·21.9 yrs·$14.1M($4.8M–$23.5M)·404.70↓ 24 vs consensus

First-round EDGE profile. What the model likes: scout consensus, boards with him top-100; the knock: charting: average depth of target allowed, career avg.

Career outlookElite 33%(tails only)
Bust probability3%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #19BUFY1 6.1
32
Ronnie Stanley

Ronnie Stanley

1st Roundrank#32$3.4MOT·Notre Dame·6'6", 312 lb·$23.1M($14.8M–$31.3M)·405.20↓ 24 vs consensus

First-round OT profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookElite 21%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence3%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #6BAL

Day 2

32 prospects · picks #33–#64

Year-1 contributor, year-3 starter timeline. Round 2-3 value.

33
Joshua Garnett

Joshua Garnett

Day 2rank#33$3.3MG·Stanford·6'4", 312 lb·$4.8M($0M–$13.1M)·405.32↑ 16 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting gap run block grade; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookElite 9%(tails only)
Bust probability17%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #28SFO
34
DeForest Buckner

DeForest Buckner

Day 2rank#34$3.3MEDGE·Oregon·6'7", 291 lb·22.1 yrs·$25.3M($16M–$34.7M)·405.05↓ 29 vs consensus

What the model likes: scout consensus, boards with him top-100; the knock: HS recruit rating.

Career outlookElite 38%
Bust probability8%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #7SFOY1 5.5
35
Paxton Lynch

Paxton Lynch

Day 2rank#35QB·Memphis·6'7", 244 lb·22.2 yrs·—·404.86

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookElite 15%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence29%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #26DENY1 9.9
36
Shon Coleman

Shon Coleman

Day 2OT·Auburn·6'5", 307 lb·$4.2M($0M–$12.4M)·405.18↑ 49 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting gap run block grade; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Bust probability· low confidence3%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #76CLE
37
Noah Spence

Noah Spence

Day 2rank#37$3.1MEDGE·Eastern Kentucky·22.3 yrs·$6.6M($0M–$15.9M)↓ 17 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50; the knock: HS recruit rating.

Career outlookElite 18%(tails only)
Bust probability14%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #39TAMY1 5.9
38
Rashard Robinson

Rashard Robinson

Day 2CB·LSU·20.8 yrs·$7.7M($0.9M–$14.5M)⚠ barely scouted

What the model likes: age, charting total career snaps, HS recruit rating.

Career outlookElite 12%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence30%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #133SFOY1 5.2
39
Jimmy Landes

Jimmy Landes

Day 2LS·Baylor·6'1", 240 lb·$5.9M($3.1M–$8.8M)·404.95⚠ barely scouted

What the model likes: athleticism (combine), age, charting total career snaps.

Bust probability31%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #210DET
40
Jonathan Bullard

Jonathan Bullard

Day 2rank#40$2.9MDT·Florida·22.5 yrs·$15.6M($6.3M–$24.9M)

What the model likes: boards with him top-100; the knocks: charting: average depth of target allowed, career avg, HS recruit rating.

Career outlookElite 17%(tails only)
Bust probability23%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #72CHIY1 5.3
41
Nick Vigil

Nick Vigil

Day 2ILB·Utah St.·22.7 yrs·$5.4M⚠ barely scouted↑ 63 vs consensus

What the model likes: charting coverage grade career avg; the knocks: charting total career snaps, boards with him top-100. Bust risk moderate (35%).

Bust probability35%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #87CINY1 1.7
42
Vernon Butler

Vernon Butler

Day 2DT·Louisiana Tech·6'4", 323 lb·21.9 yrs·$10.4M($1.1M–$19.8M)·405.33

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting run def grade career avg; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookElite 16%(tails only)
Bust probability29%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #30CARY1 5.1
43
Andrew Billings

Andrew Billings

Day 2rank#43$2.7MDT·Baylor·6'1", 311 lb·21.1 yrs·$7.1M($0M–$16.4M)·405.05↓ 21 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting run def grade career avg; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Bust probability26%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #122CIN
44
Justin Simmons

Justin Simmons

Day 2S·Boston Col.·6'2", 202 lb·22.4 yrs·$17.1M($10.3M–$23.9M)·404.61↑ 121 vs consensus

What the model likes: charting coverage grade career avg, charting run def grade career avg; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookElite 9%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence2%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #98DENY1 3.2
45
Devontae Booker

Devontae Booker

Day 2RB·Utah·5'11", 219 lb·23.9 yrs·$4.9M($0M–$10.9M)·404.56↑ 53 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, production trajectory; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Bust probability· low confidence19%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #136DENY1 17.5
46
Germain Ifedi

Germain Ifedi

Day 2G·Texas A&M·$17.1M($8.9M–$25.4M)↑ 12 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting gap run block grade; the knock: HS recruit rating.

Career outlookElite 19%(tails only)
Bust probability6%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #31SEA
47
Joshua Perry

Joshua Perry

Day 2ILB·Ohio St.·6'4", 254 lb·22.0 yrs·$7.2M·404.68↑ 15 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting coverage grade career avg; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookElite 9%(tails only)
Bust probability28%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #102SDGY1 1.6
48
C.J. Prosise

C.J. Prosise

Day 2rank#48$2.3MRB·Notre Dame·6'0", 220 lb·21.9 yrs·$3.9M($0M–$9.9M)·404.48↑ 71 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100; the knocks: production trajectory, charting total career snaps.

Bust probability· low confidence6%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #90SEAY1 13.5
49
Jatavis Brown

Jatavis Brown

Day 2OLB·Akron·22.2 yrs·$6.8M↑ 93 vs consensus

What the model likes: age; the knocks: charting total career snaps, boards with him top-100. Bust risk moderate (36%).

Bust probability36%Moderate risk
Plays like
NFL pick #175SDGY1 5.7
50
Max Tuerk

Max Tuerk

Day 2C·USC·6'5", 298 lb·$6.7M($0M–$15M)·405.12↑ 107 vs consensus

What the model likes: age; the knocks: charting total career snaps, boards with him top-100.

Bust probability3%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #66SDG
51
Deiondre' Hall

Deiondre' Hall

Day 2CB·Northern Iowa·6'2", 199 lb·21.9 yrs·$5.4M($0M–$12.2M)·404.68⚠ barely scouted↑ 40 vs consensus

What the model likes: age, athleticism (combine); the knock: boards with him top-100. Bust risk moderate (43%).

Bust probability· low confidence43%Moderate risk
Plays like
NFL pick #127CHIY1 3.4
52
Christian Westerman

Christian Westerman

Day 2G·Arizona St.·$6.9M($0M–$15.1M)↑ 41 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting gap run block grade; the knock: HS recruit rating.

Bust probability6%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #161CIN
53
Maliek Collins

Maliek Collins

Day 2DT·Nebraska·6'2", 311 lb·21.1 yrs·$11.7M($2.4M–$21M)·405.03↑ 83 vs consensus

What the model likes: charting run def grade career avg; the knocks: charting total career snaps, charting yards per coverage snap career avg.

Bust probability30%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #67DALY1 5.5
54
Javon Hargrave

Javon Hargrave

Day 2DT·South Carolina St.·23.2 yrs·$20M($10.7M–$29.4M)↑ 24 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, HS recruit rating; the knock: age.

Bust probability16%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #89PITY1 5.4
55
Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry

Day 2rank#55$2MRB·Alabama·6'3", 247 lb·22.3 yrs·$23.1M($17M–$29.1M)·404.54

What the model likes: boards with him top-100; the knocks: production trajectory, charting total career snaps.

Bust probability· low confidence15%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #45TENY1 16.6
56
Vonn Bell

Vonn Bell

Day 2S·Ohio St.·5'11", 199 lb·21.4 yrs·$10.2M($3.4M–$17M)·404.52

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting coverage grade career avg; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Bust probability· low confidence2%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #61NORY1 4.9
57
Darron Lee

Darron Lee

Day 2rank#57$1.9MOLB·Ohio St.·6'1", 232 lb·21.5 yrs·$8.4M·404.47↓ 36 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, athleticism (combine); the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookElite 16%(tails only)
Bust probability16%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #20NYJY1 5.0
58
Keanu Neal

Keanu Neal

Day 2S·Florida·6'0", 211 lb·20.8 yrs·$10.5M($3.7M–$17.3M)·404.62↑ 37 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting: pass-rush productivity (true pass sets), career avg; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookElite 23%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence7%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #17ATLY1 5.7
59
Graham Glasgow

Graham Glasgow

Day 2C·Michigan·6'6", 307 lb·$13.7M($5.5M–$22M)·405.13⚠ barely scouted↑ 81 vs consensus

What the model likes: age; the knocks: charting total career snaps, boards with him top-100.

Bust probability3%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #95DET
60
Joe Schobert

Joe Schobert

Day 2OLB·Wisconsin·6'1", 244 lb·22.5 yrs·$9.1M·404.76↑ 112 vs consensus

What the model likes: age; the knocks: charting total career snaps, boards with him top-100. Bust risk moderate (36%).

Career outlookElite 10%(tails only)
Bust probability36%Moderate risk
Plays like
NFL pick #99CLEY1 2.9
61
Alex Collins

Alex Collins

Day 2rank#61$1.8MRB·Arkansas·5'10", 217 lb·21.7 yrs·$4.2M($0M–$10.2M)·404.59↑ 40 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100; the knocks: charting total career snaps, athleticism (combine). Bust risk moderate (38%).

Bust probability· low confidence38%Moderate risk
Plays like
NFL pick #171SEAY1 11.7
62
Karl Joseph

Karl Joseph

Day 2S·West Virginia·5'10", 205 lb·22.6 yrs·$3.3M($0M–$10.1M)·404.57

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting coverage grade career avg; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookElite 14%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence2%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #14OAKY1 5.7
63
Sterling Shepard

Sterling Shepard

Day 2rank#63$1.7MWR·Oklahoma·5'10", 194 lb·23.2 yrs·$22M($16M–$28M)·404.48↓ 20 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100; the knocks: charting total career snaps, age.

Career outlookElite 9%(tails only)
Bust probability10%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #40NYGY1 17.6
64
Paul Perkins

Paul Perkins

Day 2rank#64$1.7MRB·UCLA·5'10", 208 lb·21.4 yrs·$3M($0M–$9.1M)·404.54↑ 50 vs consensus

What the model likes: charting rush grade, lowest board ranking; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Bust probability· low confidence5%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #149NYGY1 11.6
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