Haul grades · 2016

Post-draft letter grade for every team. Each grade composites four dimensions: value (pick-value efficiency vs the Chase Stuart chart), need (share of picks at roster-need positions), risk (higher = safer, less bust exposure), and model agreement (share of picks that matched Draftanomics's read at the time).

ATLB+
Solid value haul (picks averaged 23.7 spots of value against our board). Filled positions of typical need (100% of picks).
VALUE
97
NEED
100
RISK
55
MODEL
33
6 picks
CARB
Solid value haul (picks averaged 29.0 spots of value against our board). Filled positions of typical need (100% of picks). High-risk class — multiple picks carrying coin-flip bust risk.
VALUE
100
NEED
100
RISK
33
MODEL
20
5 picks
HOUB
Solid value haul (picks averaged 46.0 spots of value against our board). Filled positions of typical need (100% of picks). Lower-risk profile across the class.
VALUE
100
NEED
100
RISK
66
MODEL
0
6 picks
OAKB
Solid value haul (picks averaged 29.1 spots of value against our board). Filled positions of typical need (86% of picks). Lower-risk profile across the class.
VALUE
100
NEED
86
RISK
71
MODEL
0
7 picks
NORB
Solid value haul (picks averaged 14.2 spots of value against our board). Filled positions of typical need (100% of picks).
VALUE
78
NEED
100
RISK
49
MODEL
40
5 picks
KANB-
Solid value haul (picks averaged 36.8 spots of value against our board). Filled positions of typical need (89% of picks).
VALUE
100
NEED
89
RISK
52
MODEL
11
9 picks
MIAB-
Solid value haul (picks averaged 32.0 spots of value against our board).
VALUE
100
NEED
63
RISK
57
MODEL
25
8 picks
TAMB-
Value-neutral haul. Filled positions of typical need (86% of picks). Lower-risk profile across the class.
VALUE
68
NEED
86
RISK
67
MODEL
57
7 picks
NWEC+
Solid value haul (picks averaged 24.4 spots of value against our board). Filled positions of typical need (89% of picks).
VALUE
99
NEED
89
RISK
35
MODEL
0
9 picks
BUFC+
Solid value haul (picks averaged 17.3 spots of value against our board). Filled positions of typical need (86% of picks). High-risk class — multiple picks carrying coin-flip bust risk.
VALUE
85
NEED
86
RISK
32
MODEL
14
7 picks
BALC
Value-neutral haul. Filled positions of typical need (100% of picks).
VALUE
64
NEED
100
RISK
49
MODEL
0
11 picks
SFOC
Value-neutral haul. Filled positions of typical need (91% of picks).
VALUE
64
NEED
91
RISK
43
MODEL
27
11 picks
CLEC
Value-neutral haul. Filled positions of typical need (100% of picks).
VALUE
55
NEED
100
RISK
62
MODEL
14
14 picks
SEAC
Value-neutral haul. Filled positions of typical need (100% of picks).
VALUE
55
NEED
100
RISK
45
MODEL
20
10 picks
NYJC-
Solid value haul (picks averaged 10.6 spots of value against our board). Filled positions of typical need (71% of picks).
VALUE
71
NEED
71
RISK
55
MODEL
0
7 picks
LARC-
Value-neutral haul. Filled positions of typical need (83% of picks).
VALUE
62
NEED
83
RISK
54
MODEL
0
6 picks
NYGC-
Value-neutral haul. Filled positions of typical need (100% of picks). Lower-risk profile across the class.
VALUE
36
NEED
100
RISK
70
MODEL
0
6 picks
DETD+
Reaches across the board (picks averaged 8.1 spots above our board's price). Filled positions of typical need (80% of picks).
VALUE
34
NEED
80
RISK
59
MODEL
30
10 picks
DALD+
Reaches across the board (picks averaged 9.1 spots above our board's price). Filled positions of typical need (89% of picks).
VALUE
32
NEED
89
RISK
54
MODEL
22
9 picks
TEND+
Reaches across the board (picks averaged 11.4 spots above our board's price). Filled positions of typical need (100% of picks).
VALUE
27
NEED
100
RISK
47
MODEL
30
10 picks
PITD+
Reaches across the board (picks averaged 11.4 spots above our board's price). Filled positions of typical need (100% of picks).
VALUE
27
NEED
100
RISK
58
MODEL
14
7 picks
ARID+
Reaches across the board (picks averaged 16.2 spots above our board's price). Filled positions of typical need (100% of picks).
VALUE
18
NEED
100
RISK
57
MODEL
17
6 picks
PHID
Reaches across the board (picks averaged 8.4 spots above our board's price). Filled positions of typical need (75% of picks).
VALUE
33
NEED
75
RISK
45
MODEL
25
8 picks
JAXD
Reaches across the board (picks averaged 11.0 spots above our board's price). Filled positions of typical need (86% of picks).
VALUE
28
NEED
86
RISK
51
MODEL
14
7 picks
CHID
Reaches across the board (picks averaged 14.7 spots above our board's price). Lower-risk profile across the class.
VALUE
21
NEED
67
RISK
67
MODEL
22
9 picks
GNBD
Reaches across the board (picks averaged 15.1 spots above our board's price). Filled positions of typical need (71% of picks). Lower-risk profile across the class.
VALUE
20
NEED
71
RISK
70
MODEL
29
7 picks
DEND
Reaches across the board (picks averaged 17.2 spots above our board's price). Filled positions of typical need (88% of picks). Lower-risk profile across the class.
VALUE
16
NEED
88
RISK
68
MODEL
13
8 picks
INDD
Reaches across the board (picks averaged 20.5 spots above our board's price). Filled positions of typical need (100% of picks). Lower-risk profile across the class.
VALUE
9
NEED
100
RISK
66
MODEL
13
8 picks
CIND
Reaches across the board (picks averaged 38.0 spots above our board's price). Filled positions of typical need (100% of picks). Lower-risk profile across the class.
VALUE
0
NEED
100
RISK
70
MODEL
14
7 picks
MIND
Reaches across the board (picks averaged 38.6 spots above our board's price). Filled positions of typical need (100% of picks).
VALUE
0
NEED
100
RISK
56
MODEL
25
8 picks
SDGD
Reaches across the board (picks averaged 27.9 spots above our board's price). Filled positions of typical need (88% of picks).
VALUE
0
NEED
88
RISK
61
MODEL
38
8 picks
WASF
Reaches across the board (picks averaged 24.7 spots above our board's price). Filled positions of typical need (86% of picks). High-risk class — multiple picks carrying coin-flip bust risk.
VALUE
1
NEED
86
RISK
33
MODEL
14
7 picks