Draftanomics
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Draftanomics

Honest NFL Draft analytics. The model's receipts against actual NFL teams live on the track record.

Boards
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Track Record
  • Year-by-year results
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  • Past drafts, re-graded
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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
2017–2024 backtest · graded against real NFL careers · the receipts →
Next draftApril 22-24, 2027 · Green Bay (TBC)

The best draft board public data can build.

Every prospect, graded on the only question that matters: how good an NFL career do they actually go on to have? Backtested out of sample across 2017–2024, Draftanomics's board predicts real career value at 0.55 — ahead of the analyst consensus (0.45) and a step shy of NFL war rooms (0.58), who grade with the medicals, interviews, and private workouts no public site ever sees. No public model gets closer to the league.

That's the rank correlation between each board's order and players' eventual career value (weighted Approximate Value) — 0 is a coin flip, 1 is perfect foresight — scored only on classes the model never trained on.

How the model works →
Live numbers warming up

The model server is waking — first load after a quiet spell takes about 30 seconds. The board itself is a click away while it spins up.

2027 big board →The latest story →The receipts →
Technical detail
/api/years -> 500