2016 NFL Draft · recap
Post-draft synthesis: how the league's hauls graded, what Draftanomics's biggest hits and misses were, where the class shape ended up, and which teams held the capital advantage going in.
Hits
17
model rated higher, player produced
Misses
14
model rated higher, player busted
Saves
13
model rated lower, player busted
Net edge
-16
Class shape
QB/ST/OL thin; QB/ST/OL historically barren
- QBbarren
- Specialistsbarren
- Offensive linebarren
- RB / WR / TEaverage
- EDGE / DL / LBaverage
- CB / Saverage
Best hauls
- ATLB+Solid value haul (+23.7 mean pick delta vs model). Filled positions of typical need (100% of picks).Headlined by Keanu Neal (S) at pick 17
- CARBSolid value haul (+29.0 mean pick delta vs model). Filled positions of typical need (100% of picks). High-risk class — multiple bust-prob > 50% picks.Headlined by Vernon Butler (DT) at pick 30
- HOUBSolid value haul (+46.0 mean pick delta vs model). Filled positions of typical need (100% of picks). Lower-risk profile across the class.Headlined by Will Fuller (WR) at pick 21
Worst hauls
- WASFReaches across the board (-24.7 mean delta). Filled positions of typical need (86% of picks). High-risk class — multiple bust-prob > 50% picks.Headlined by Josh Doctson (WR) at pick 22
- SDGDReaches across the board (-27.9 mean delta). Filled positions of typical need (88% of picks).Headlined by Joey Bosa (EDGE) at pick 3
- MINDReaches across the board (-38.6 mean delta). Filled positions of typical need (100% of picks).Headlined by Laquon Treadwell (WR) at pick 23
Capital advantage going in
LAC led the league with the most capital; NE had the least. League total: 627 CS points across 32 teams.
Full 2016 board →