Center C
Same inputs as tackle, with slightly more emphasis on Senior Bowl + Pro Day testing.
Likeliest career, by the outcome model.
How many centers land in each career bucket as the model's single most likely finish. This is a different question from the board grades below — a prospect can be a Day 3 grade and still have “starter” as his likeliest outcome. The tails (elite, bust) are where the model separates; the middle two buckets sit close to a coin flip.
The board.
All 6 centers with a draftable grade on Draftanomics's 2016 board, tier by tier.
No blue-chip center this cycle — Ryan Kelly is the class's best, and he carries the next grade down.
Only Ryan Kelly carries a first-round grade at center — the Alabama product projects No. 9 overall. Then the board falls off a cliff — 41 projected picks between Kelly and Max Tuerk, the next name down. Inside the tier, the model's fight is Ryan Kelly: it says No. 9, the room says No. 47.
The Day 2 tier is a pair: Max Tuerk out of USC at No. 50, with Graham Glasgow at No. 59 behind him. Then the board falls off a cliff — 71 projected picks between Glasgow and Austin Blythe, the next name down. The model is planting a flag on Max Tuerk, 107 spots ahead of where the room ranks him (No. 157).
The Day 3 tier runs from Austin Blythe at No. 130 down to Joey Hunt at No. 171. Evan Boehm carries the tier's risk, a 36 percent bust probability from a model with real signal at center.