2023 class · 39 prospects

Offensive line OL

Athleticism + games started + Senior Bowl invite carry most of the weight — college stats say little about offensive line play. Older classes are filed under the single line code rather than tackle/guard/center.

Likeliest career, by the outcome model.

How many offensive linemen land in each career bucket as the model's single most likely finish. This is a different question from the board grades below — a prospect can be a Day 3 grade and still have “starter” as his likeliest outcome. The tails (elite, bust) are where the model separates; the middle two buckets sit close to a coin flip.

Elite
2
Pro-Bowl-caliber career
Starter
10
Multi-year NFL starter
Role
13
Rotational / depth
Bust
14
Likeliest outcome is a bust
Likeliest career across the OL class
Elite
2
Starter
10
Role
13
Bust
14

The board.

All 39 offensive linemen with a draftable grade on Draftanomics's 2023 board, tier by tier.

Blue Chip1 player

Peter Skoronski out of Northwestern is the blue-chip tier by himself, projected No. 5 overall. No cliff at the bottom, either: Broderick Jones is 3 projected picks behind Skoronski.

5
Peter Skoronski
Northwestern· consensus #11
A blue-chip grade with the room in agreement — consensus No. 11.
Blue Chip
bust risk 2%
1st Round9 players

This is where the class lives: 9 offensive linemans carry a first-round grade, with Broderick Jones out of Georgia at the front of the line at No. 8 overall. Barely a seam here — Anton Harrison comes off just 2 picks later. The model is planting a flag on Luke Wypler, 71 spots ahead of where the room ranks him (No. 102).

8
Broderick Jones
Georgia· consensus #15
A first-round grade with the room in agreement — consensus No. 15.
1st Round
bust risk 6%
10
Paris Johnson
Ohio St.· consensus #10
A first-round grade with the room in agreement — consensus No. 10.
1st Round
bust risk 5%
12
John Michael Schmitz
Minnesota· consensus #32
A first-round grade the room hasn't caught up to — consensus No. 32.
1st Round
bust risk 9%
16
O'Cyrus Torrence
Florida· consensus #30
A first-round grade with the room in agreement — consensus No. 30.
1st Round
bust risk 8%
18
Joe Tippmann
Wisconsin· consensus #55
A first-round grade the room hasn't caught up to — consensus No. 55.
1st Round
bust risk 6%
19
Darnell Wright
Tennessee· consensus #19
A first-round grade with the room in agreement — consensus No. 19.
1st Round
bust risk 6%
21
Matthew Bergeron
Syracuse· consensus #61
A first-round grade the room hasn't caught up to — consensus No. 61.
1st Round
bust risk 2%
28
Dawand Jones
Ohio St.· consensus #47
A first-round grade the room hasn't caught up to — consensus No. 47.
1st Round
bust risk 9%
31
Luke Wypler
Ohio St.· consensus #102
A first-round grade the room hasn't caught up to — consensus No. 102.
1st Round
bust risk 3%
Day 210 players

The Day 2 tier runs 10 deep, opening with Anton Harrison out of Oklahoma at No. 33 and closing with Carter Warren at No. 104. No cliff at the bottom, either: Jon Gaines is 6 projected picks behind Warren. Inside the tier, the model's fight is Tyler Steen: it says No. 39, the room says No. 118.

Day 319 players

This is where the class lives: 19 offensive linemans carry a Day 3 grade, with Jon Gaines out of UCLA at the front of the line at No. 110 overall. Warren McClendon carries the tier's risk, a 39 percent bust probability from a model with real signal at offensive lineman.