Refreshed just now
rank#226
Limited public-board coverage (1 board) — grade leans on stats + athleticism alone
Backtest: model vs. reality
The model graded Asim Richards at pick #226; he was actually picked #169 by DAL. 3 NFL seasons in, he's barely gotten on the field (grading 2.7 of 20 per season), and the second-contract question is still open — no new deal yet. The 4-tier model leans toward the bust tier as the most likely outcome; elite upside is only 2%. NFL grades have been modest so far (0% recent-3, 0% peak across 2 seasons). Model expects a second-deal AAV around $6M/yr.
Overview
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Draftanomics Rank
Medium conviction#226OL·North Carolina
The league moved faster than our board — DAL took him at No. 169, 57 picks ahead of our No. 226 grade. His career is settling that argument now.
Draftanomics's take
Draftanomics had Asim Richards at #226 on draft night — a Day 3 grade — and DAL took him at No. 169, 57 picks earlier than our grade. Bust risk projects at 11%, below the position median — the model has a tight grade. The room had him #189 pre-draft; our board sat 37 spots lower.
Scouting report
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Why this grade
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
Consensus
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Production2
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Risk
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
Team fit
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Will he be there?
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Comps
Historical players this prospect resembles
Film & notes
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports