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RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
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← Draftanomics
Past class — locked, then graded

2017 NFL Draft

A past class. The model never saw these players when it learned — this board is what Draftanomics would have said on draft night, graded against how the careers actually played out.

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Top 64 of 252 prospects in this draft class
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64 of 64 prospects shown · ranked by the career-value model

Blue Chip

6 prospects · picks #1–#6

Day-1 starter ceiling. The class's franchise pieces.

1
Jonathan Allen

Jonathan Allen

Blue Chiprank#1$12.2MEDGE·Alabama·22.3 yrs·$29M($19.7M–$38.3M)

Blue-chip EDGE ceiling. What the model likes: scout consensus, boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 34%(tails only)
Bust probability<1%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #17WASY1 5.2
2
Forrest Lamp

Forrest Lamp

Blue Chiprank#2$11.7MG·Western Kentucky·6'4", 309 lb·$11.7M($3.4M–$19.9M)·405.00↑ 15 vs consensus

Blue-chip G ceiling. What the model likes: scout consensus, boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 22%(tails only)
Bust probability3%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Athleticism · Age — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #38LAC
3
Ryan Ramczyk

Ryan Ramczyk

Blue Chiprank#3$10.5MOT·Wisconsin·6'6", 310 lb·$11.5M($3.3M–$19.8M)↑ 16 vs consensus

Blue-chip OT ceiling. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 13%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence3%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Athleticism · Age — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #32NOR
4
Malik Hooker

Malik Hooker

Blue Chiprank#4$9.6MS·Ohio St.·6'1", 206 lb·21.1 yrs·$15.1M($8.3M–$21.9M)

Blue-chip S ceiling. What the model likes: scout consensus, boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 43%
Bust probability· low confidence2%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · HS recruit rating — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #15INDY1 5.7
5
Leonard Fournette

Leonard Fournette

Blue Chiprank#5$8.7MRB·LSU·6'0", 240 lb·22.3 yrs·$9.8M($3.8M–$15.8M)·404.51

Blue-chip RB ceiling. What the model likes: scout consensus, boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 23%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence22%Average risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Production trajectory — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #4JAXY1 17.7
6
Myles Garrett

Myles Garrett

Blue Chiprank#6$8.2MEDGE·Texas A&M·6'4", 272 lb·21.3 yrs·$26M($16.7M–$35.3M)·404.64

Blue-chip EDGE ceiling. What the model likes: scout consensus, boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 28%(tails only)
Bust probability4%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Athleticism — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #1CLEY1 5.5

1st Round

26 prospects · picks #7–#32

Year-1 starter probability. First-round capital.

7
Jamal Adams

Jamal Adams

1st Roundrank#7$7.7MS·LSU·6'0", 214 lb·21.5 yrs·$20.2M($13.4M–$27M)·404.56

First-round S profile. What the model likes: scout consensus, boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 42%
Bust probability· low confidence<1%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · HS recruit rating — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #6NYJY1 5.6
8
O.J. Howard

O.J. Howard

1st Roundrank#8$7.1MTE·Alabama·6'6", 251 lb·22.4 yrs·$7.5M($1.4M–$13.5M)·404.51

First-round TE profile. What the model likes: scout consensus, boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 26%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence1%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Schedule-adjusted production — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #19TAMY1 15.5
9
Solomon Thomas

Solomon Thomas

1st Roundrank#9$6.9MEDGE·Stanford·6'3", 273 lb·21.7 yrs·$12.9M($3.6M–$22.2M)·404.69

First-round EDGE profile. What the model likes: scout consensus, boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 34%(tails only)
Bust probability7%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Athleticism — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #3SFOY1 5.6
10
Reuben Foster

Reuben Foster

1st Roundrank#10$6.7MLB·Alabama·23.1 yrs·$14.4M($5.1M–$23.7M)

First-round LB profile. What the model likes: scout consensus, boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 34%
Bust probability20%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #31SFOY1 6.0
11
Corey Davis

Corey Davis

1st Roundrank#11$6.4MWR·Western Michigan·22.3 yrs·$12M($6M–$18M)

First-round WR profile. What the model likes: scout consensus, boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 32%
Bust probability1%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · College production — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #5TENY1 12.7
12
John Ross

John Ross

1st Roundrank#12$6.1MWR·Washington·5'11", 188 lb·21.4 yrs·$6.1M($0.1M–$12.1M)·404.22

First-round WR profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 14%(tails only)
Bust probability1%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Athleticism — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #9CINY1 6.1
13
Dalvin Cook

Dalvin Cook

1st Roundrank#13$5.8MRB·Florida St.·5'10", 210 lb·21.7 yrs·$14.5M($8.5M–$20.5M)·404.49

First-round RB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 11%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence11%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Age · HS recruit rating — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #41MINY1 13.2
14
Dan Feeney

Dan Feeney

1st RoundG·Indiana·6'4", 305 lb·$10.4M($2.1M–$18.6M)·405.24↑ 35 vs consensus

First-round G profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 8%(tails only)
Bust probability3%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Age — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #71LAC
15
Derek Barnett

Derek Barnett

1st Roundrank#15$5.2MEDGE·Tennessee·6'3", 259 lb·20.8 yrs·$11.6M($2.3M–$20.9M)·404.88

First-round EDGE profile. What the model likes: scout consensus, boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 14%(tails only)
Bust probability<1%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Age · College production — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #14PHIY1 5.2
16
Deshaun Watson

Deshaun Watson

1st Roundrank#16QB·Clemson·6'2", 221 lb·21.6 yrs·—·404.66

First-round QB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 19%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence8%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · College production · Schedule-adjusted production — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #12HOUY1 15.8
17
Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffrey

1st Roundrank#17$4.7MRB·Stanford·5'11", 202 lb·20.9 yrs·$27.9M($21.9M–$34M)·404.48

First-round RB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 12%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence10%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #8CARY1 17.5
18
Marshon Lattimore

Marshon Lattimore

1st Roundrank#18$4.5MCB·Ohio St.·6'0", 193 lb·20.9 yrs·$22.6M($15.8M–$29.4M)·404.36↓ 14 vs consensus

First-round CB profile. What the model likes: scout consensus, boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 33%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence<1%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #11NORY1 5.7
19
Jabrill Peppers

Jabrill Peppers

1st Roundrank#19$4.3MS·Michigan·5'11", 213 lb·21.6 yrs·$8.2M($1.4M–$15M)·404.46

First-round S profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, scout consensus.

Career outlookElite 16%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence5%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #25CLEY1 5.1
20
Nico Siragusa

Nico Siragusa

1st RoundG·San Diego St.·6'4", 319 lb·$16.3M($8M–$24.6M)·405.35⚠ barely scouted↑ 85 vs consensus

First-round G profile. What the model likes: age, charting gap run block grade, charting pass-block efficiency career avg.

Bust probability6%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #122BAL
21
Takkarist McKinley

Takkarist McKinley

1st Roundrank#21$4MEDGE·UCLA·21.5 yrs·$9M($0M–$18.3M)

First-round EDGE profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, scout consensus.

Career outlookElite 11%(tails only)
Bust probability6%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #26ATLY1 6.1
22
Taylor Moton

Taylor Moton

1st RoundG·Western Michigan·$23.5M($15.3M–$31.8M)↑ 43 vs consensus

First-round G profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting gap run block grade, charting pass-block efficiency career avg.

Career outlookElite 17%(tails only)
Bust probability3%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #64CAR
23
Garett Bolles

Garett Bolles

1st Roundrank#23$3.9MOT·Utah·$19.8M($11.6M–$28.1M)

First-round OT profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 23%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence3%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #20DEN
24
Mike Williams

Mike Williams

1st Roundrank#24$3.9MWR·Clemson·6'4", 218 lb·22.6 yrs·$16.4M($10.4M–$22.4M)·VERT32.5"↓ 13 vs consensus

First-round WR profile. What the model likes: scout consensus, boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 13%(tails only)
Bust probability13%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #7LACY1 9.4
25
Budda Baker

Budda Baker

1st Roundrank#25$3.8MS·Washington·5'10", 195 lb·21.3 yrs·$18M($11.2M–$24.8M)·404.45

First-round S profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, charting: intermediate-route grade, final season.

Career outlookElite 11%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence4%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #36ARIY1 3.9
26
Marcus Williams

Marcus Williams

1st RoundS·Utah·6'1", 202 lb·20.6 yrs·$16M($9.2M–$22.8M)·404.56↑ 31 vs consensus

First-round S profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting run def grade career avg, charting def grade.

Career outlookElite 15%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence7%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #42NORY1 5.5
27
Cam Robinson

Cam Robinson

1st Roundrank#27$3.7MOT·Alabama·6'6", 322 lb·$20.8M($12.6M–$29.1M)·405.15

First-round OT profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 9%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence5%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #34JAX
28
Obi Melifonwu

Obi Melifonwu

1st Roundrank#28$3.6MS·Connecticut·6'4", 224 lb·23.1 yrs·$6M($0M–$12.8M)·404.40↑ 12 vs consensus

First-round S profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, athleticism (combine). Bust risk moderate (39%).

Bust probability· low confidence39%Moderate risk
Plays like
NFL pick #56OAKY1 2.8
29
Nathan Gerry

Nathan Gerry

1st RoundS·Nebraska·22.2 yrs·$3.6M($0M–$10.4M)⚠ barely scouted↑ 126 vs consensus

First-round S profile. What the model likes: charting: pass-rush productivity (true pass sets), career avg, charting def grade mean; the knock: boards with him top-100.

Bust probability· low confidence<1%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #184PHIY1 0.6
30
David Njoku

David Njoku

1st Roundrank#30$3.5MTE·Miami (FL)·6'4", 246 lb·20.8 yrs·$20.8M($14.8M–$26.8M)·404.64↓ 15 vs consensus

First-round TE profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 11%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence12%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #29CLEY1 13.5
31
Derek Rivers

Derek Rivers

1st RoundEDGE·Youngstown St.·23.3 yrs·$3.5M($0M–$12.8M)↑ 25 vs consensus

First-round EDGE profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, scout consensus.

Bust probability20%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #83NWE
32
Desmond King

Desmond King

1st RoundS·Iowa·5'10", 201 lb·22.4 yrs·$5.8M($0M–$12.6M)·VERT34"↑ 42 vs consensus

First-round S profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting run def grade career avg; the knock: charting catch rate allowed avg.

Bust probability· low confidence6%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #151LACY1 4.9

Day 2

32 prospects · picks #33–#64

Year-1 contributor, year-3 starter timeline. Round 2-3 value.

33
Alvin Kamara

Alvin Kamara

Day 2rank#33$3.3MRB·Tennessee·5'10", 214 lb·21.8 yrs·$18.3M($12.3M–$24.4M)·404.56

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Bust probability· low confidence19%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #67NORY1 17.4
34
Taco Charlton

Taco Charlton

Day 2rank#34$3.3MEDGE·Michigan·6'6", 277 lb·22.5 yrs·$3.4M($0M–$12.8M)·404.92↓ 13 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 10%(tails only)
Bust probability3%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #28DALY1 6.0
35
Sidney Jones

Sidney Jones

Day 2CB·Washington·6'0", 186 lb·20.9 yrs·$6.8M($0M–$13.6M)·404.47

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, scout consensus.

Career outlookElite 9%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence7%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #43PHIY1 5.0
36
Dion Dawkins

Dion Dawkins

Day 2G·Temple·6'4", 314 lb·$15.1M($6.9M–$23.4M)·405.11↑ 28 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, age, charting gap run block grade.

Career outlookElite 8%(tails only)
Bust probability3%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #63BUF
37
Marlon Humphrey

Marlon Humphrey

Day 2rank#37$3.1MCB·Alabama·6'0", 197 lb·20.8 yrs·$23.4M($16.6M–$30.2M)·404.41↓ 14 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, scout consensus.

Career outlookElite 24%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence11%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #16BALY1 4.8
38
Mitchell Trubisky

Mitchell Trubisky

Day 2rank#38QB·North Carolina·6'2", 222 lb·22.7 yrs·—·404.67

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50; the knock: production trajectory.

Bust probability· low confidence16%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #2CHIY1 12.9
39
Raekwon McMillan

Raekwon McMillan

Day 2LB·Ohio St.·21.4 yrs·$4.4M($0M–$13.7M)↑ 27 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, age, charting run def grade career avg.

Career outlookElite 8%(tails only)
Bust probability33%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #54MIA
40
Justin Evans

Justin Evans

Day 2S·Texas A&M·6'0", 199 lb·21.7 yrs·$3M($0M–$9.8M)↑ 35 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting coverage grade career avg, age.

Bust probability· low confidence4%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #50TAMY1 5.3
41
Malik McDowell

Malik McDowell

Day 2DT·Michigan St.·6'6", 295 lb·20.9 yrs·$3.8M($0M–$13.1M)·404.85↓ 13 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50; the knock: charting: average depth of target allowed, career avg.

Bust probability22%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #35SEA
42
Haason Reddick

Haason Reddick

Day 2rank#42$2.7MLB·Temple·22.6 yrs·$20M($10.7M–$29.3M)↓ 24 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 17%(tails only)
Bust probability34%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #13ARIY1 5.0
43
Gareon Conley

Gareon Conley

Day 2rank#43$2.7MCB·Ohio St.·6'0", 195 lb·21.8 yrs·$8.1M($1.3M–$14.9M)·404.44↓ 21 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 14%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence21%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #24OAKY1 5.8
44
Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes

Day 2rank#44QB·Texas Tech·6'2", 225 lb·21.6 yrs·—·404.80

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, scout consensus.

Bust probability· low confidence15%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #10KANY1 8.1
45
Jarrad Davis

Jarrad Davis

Day 2LB·Florida·21.4 yrs·$6.2M($0M–$15.5M)

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, charting: pass-rush productivity (true pass sets), career avg.

Career outlookElite 16%(tails only)
Bust probability28%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #21DETY1 5.6
46
Zach Cunningham

Zach Cunningham

Day 2rank#46$2.5MLB·Vanderbilt·22.4 yrs·$18.5M($9.2M–$27.9M)↓ 14 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, scout consensus.

Career outlookElite 7%(tails only)
Bust probability11%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #57HOUY1 4.9
47
Isaac Asiata

Isaac Asiata

Day 2G·Utah·6'3", 323 lb·$6.8M($0M–$15M)·405.34↑ 72 vs consensus

What the model likes: age, charting gap run block grade; the knock: boards with him top-100.

Bust probability6%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #164MIA
48
Evan Engram

Evan Engram

Day 2rank#48$2.3MTE·Mississippi·6'3", 234 lb·22.6 yrs·$18.9M($12.9M–$24.9M)·404.42

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 9%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence3%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #23NYGY1 16.7
49
Antonio Garcia

Antonio Garcia

Day 2OT·Troy·6'6", 302 lb·$8.4M($0.1M–$16.6M)·405.15↑ 43 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting pass-block efficiency career avg; the knock: charting gap run block grade.

Career outlookElite 9%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence3%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #85NWE
50
Dorian Johnson

Dorian Johnson

Day 2G·Pittsburgh·6'5", 300 lb·$11.4M($3.1M–$19.6M)·405.27↑ 38 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100; the knocks: HS recruit rating, scout consensus.

Bust probability5%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #115ARI
51
Pat Elflein

Pat Elflein

Day 2C·Ohio St.·6'3", 303 lb·$5.2M($0M–$13.4M)·405.32↑ 31 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting gap run block grade; the knock: scout consensus.

Bust probability9%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #70MIN
52
Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt

Day 2RB·Toledo·5'10", 216 lb·21.7 yrs·$14.2M($8.2M–$20.2M)·404.62↑ 79 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting elusive; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Bust probability· low confidence19%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #86KANY1 17.9
53
Chris Godwin

Chris Godwin

Day 2rank#53$2.1MWR·Penn St.·6'1", 209 lb·21.2 yrs·$18.4M($12.4M–$24.4M)·404.42↑ 48 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, athleticism (combine), age.

Career outlookElite 12%(tails only)
Bust probability6%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #84TAMY1 12.3
54
Ethan Pocic

Ethan Pocic

Day 2C·LSU·6'6", 310 lb·$11.9M($3.7M–$20.2M)·405.15↑ 45 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, age; the knock: HS recruit rating.

Career outlookElite 8%(tails only)
Bust probability3%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #58SEA
55
Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon

Day 2rank#55$2MRB·Oklahoma·20.8 yrs·$15.6M($9.6M–$21.6M)

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, charting elusive.

Career outlookElite 8%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence19%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #48CINY1 17.0
56
Chase Roullier

Chase Roullier

Day 2C·Wyoming·6'4", 312 lb·$7.6M($0M–$15.9M)·405.54⚠ barely scouted

What the model likes: age, charting gap run block grade.

Bust probability9%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #199WAS
57
Jordan Evans

Jordan Evans

Day 2LB·Oklahoma·22.2 yrs·$2M($0M–$11.4M)⚠ barely scouted

What the model likes: age, charting coverage grade career avg.

Bust probability27%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #193CINY1 3.4
58
Roderick Johnson

Roderick Johnson

Day 2OT·Florida St.·6'7", 298 lb·$8.5M($0.3M–$16.8M)↑ 91 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, age; the knock: scout consensus.

Bust probability· low confidence8%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #160CLE
59
Carl Lawson

Carl Lawson

Day 2rank#59$1.9MOLB·Auburn·21.8 yrs·$19.2M

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50; the knock: HS recruit rating.

Bust probability15%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #116CINY1 4.6
60
Chuck Clark

Chuck Clark

Day 2CB·Virginia Tech·22.0 yrs·$7.1M($0.3M–$13.9M)⚠ barely scouted

What the model likes: charting run def grade career avg, age.

Bust probability· low confidence19%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #186BALY1 1.0
61
Blair Brown

Blair Brown

Day 2LB·Ohio·22.9 yrs·$6.2M($0M–$15.5M)⚠ barely scouted↑ 96 vs consensus

What the model likes: charting run def grade career avg; the knocks: scout consensus, boards with him top-100. Bust risk moderate (35%).

Bust probability35%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #148JAXY1 1.3
62
Adoree' Jackson

Adoree' Jackson

Day 2rank#62$1.8MCB·USC·5'10", 186 lb·21.6 yrs·$18.6M($11.8M–$25.4M)·404.42↓ 21 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, charting elusive.

Career outlookElite 15%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence5%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #18TENY1 5.0
63
Chidobe Awuzie

Chidobe Awuzie

Day 2rank#63$1.7MCB·Colorado·6'0", 202 lb·21.9 yrs·$11.7M($4.9M–$18.5M)·404.43

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, charting coverage grade career avg.

Career outlookElite 9%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence3%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #60DALY1 5.3
64
Carlos Henderson

Carlos Henderson

Day 2rank#64$1.7MWR·Louisiana Tech·5'11", 199 lb·22.4 yrs·$11.3M($5.3M–$17.3M)·404.46↑ 42 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting elusive; the knock: production trajectory. Bust risk moderate (43%).

Bust probability43%Moderate risk
Plays like
NFL pick #82DEN
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