Draftanomics
  • 2027 board
  • Consensus board
  • 2028 way-too-early
  • Draft news
  • Simulator
  • The house mock
  • Draft order
  • Trade calculator
  • The Scouting Slate
  • Sleepers & reaches
  • Movers & fallers
  • Player comps
  • Dynasty rookie board
  • Track record
  • Past drafts, re-graded
  • Analyst leaderboard
My rankingsAccount
Get the weekly →
Draftanomics

Honest NFL Draft analytics. The model's receipts against actual NFL teams live on the track record.

Boards
  • 2027 board
  • Consensus board
  • Sleepers
Tools
  • Mock draft simulator
  • Plays Like
  • Dynasty rookie board
Track Record
  • Year-by-year results
  • Accountability Index
  • Our board, on the record
  • Past drafts, re-graded
  • Methodology
  • Developers · free API
  • About
Account
  • My board
  • Weekly email
Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
← Draftanomics
Past class — locked, then graded

2022 NFL Draft

A past class. The model never saw these players when it learned — this board is what Draftanomics would have said on draft night, graded against how the careers actually played out.

Mock draft →vs Consensus →Full table view →Year recap →
More tools ▾
Compare prospects →Track record →Haul grades →
Filter by team →
ARIATLBALBUFCARCHICINCLEDALDENDETGBHOUINDJAXKCLALACLVMIAMINNENONYGNYJPHIPITSEASFTBTENWAS
ViewBoardConsensus blendSoberPure model
Position guides →
⬇Export CSV
Top 64 of 262 prospects in this draft class
Filter
64 of 64 prospects shown · ranked by the career-value model

Blue Chip

6 prospects · picks #1–#6

Day-1 starter ceiling. The class's franchise pieces.

1
Evan Neal

Evan Neal

Blue Chiprank#1$12.2MOL·Alabama·$17.4M($9.2M–$25.7M)·RAS9.64

Blue-chip OL ceiling. What the model likes: scout consensus, boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 61%
Bust probability· low confidence8%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Athleticism · HS recruit rating — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #7NYGY1 8.2
2
Ikem Ekwonu

Ikem Ekwonu

Blue Chiprank#2$11.7MOT·North Carolina St.·6'4", 310 lb·$21M($12.8M–$29.3M)·RAS5.91· speed-driven

Blue-chip OT ceiling. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 50%
Bust probability· low confidence5%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · HS recruit rating — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #6CARY1 12.0
3
Zion Johnson

Zion Johnson

Blue Chiprank#3$10.5MG·Boston Col.·6'3", 312 lb·$18.3M($10M–$26.5M)·RAS7.26· agility-driven↑ 17 vs consensus

Blue-chip G ceiling. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 46%
Bust probability6%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Athleticism · HS recruit rating — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #17LACY1 13.4
4
Aidan Hutchinson

Aidan Hutchinson

Blue Chiprank#4$9.6MEDGE·Michigan·6'7", 260 lb·21.7 yrs·$38.1M($28.8M–$47.4M)·RAS7.55· agility-driven

Blue-chip EDGE ceiling. What the model likes: scout consensus, boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 55%
Bust probability2%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Schedule-adjusted production — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #2DETY1 12.5
5
Garrett Wilson

Garrett Wilson

Blue Chiprank#5$8.7MWR·Ohio St.·6'0", 183 lb·21.8 yrs·$34.2M($28.2M–$40.3M)·RAS4.67· speed-driven

Blue-chip WR ceiling. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 53%
Bust probability1%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #10NYJY1 16.4
6
Breece Hall

Breece Hall

Blue Chiprank#6$8.2MRB·Iowa St.·5'11", 217 lb·20.9 yrs·$11.7M($5.7M–$17.7M)·RAS8.37↑ 41 vs consensus

Blue-chip RB ceiling. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, athleticism (RAS).

Bust probability· low confidence13%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Athleticism · Scout consensus · RAS × production — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #36NYJY1 12.0

1st Round

26 prospects · picks #7–#32

Year-1 starter probability. First-round capital.

7
Jameson Williams

Jameson Williams

1st Roundrank#7$7.7MWR·Alabama·6'2", 179 lb·21.1 yrs·$23.8M($17.7M–$29.8M)·RAS3.39

First-round WR profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 40%(tails only)
Bust probability<1%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Schedule-adjusted production · HS recruit rating — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #12DETY1 3.1
8
Kayvon Thibodeaux

Kayvon Thibodeaux

1st Roundrank#8$7.1MEDGE·Oregon·6'4", 254 lb·21.4 yrs·$27.6M($18.2M–$36.9M)·RAS6.39· speed-driven

First-round EDGE profile. What the model likes: scout consensus, boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 67%
Bust probability2%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · HS recruit rating — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #5NYGY1 10.7
9
Kyle Hamilton

Kyle Hamilton

1st Roundrank#9$6.9MS·Notre Dame·6'4", 220 lb·21.1 yrs·$27.8M($21M–$34.6M)·RAS6.55· size-driven

First-round S profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: charting catch rate allowed avg.

Career outlookElite 63%
Bust probability· low confidence2%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · HS recruit rating — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #14BALY1 8.2
10
Tyler Smith

Tyler Smith

1st RoundOL·Tulsa·$26.7M($18.5M–$35M)·RAS6.56· speed-driven↑ 35 vs consensus

First-round OL profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting gap run block grade, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 71%
Bust probability· low confidence3%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Age · Athleticism — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #24DALY1 14.7
11
Tyler Linderbaum

Tyler Linderbaum

1st Roundrank#11$6.4MOL·Iowa·$26M($17.7M–$34.2M)·RAS3.75· agility-driven

First-round OL profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 59%
Bust probability· low confidence3%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #25BALY1 14.7
12
Charles Cross

Charles Cross

1st Roundrank#12$6.1MOL·Mississippi St.·$25.5M($17.3M–$33.8M)·RAS6.52· speed-driven

First-round OL profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 56%
Bust probability· low confidence2%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · HS recruit rating — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #9SEAY1 13.5
13
Devin Lloyd

Devin Lloyd

1st Roundrank#13$5.8MLB·Utah·6'3", 237 lb·23.6 yrs·$12.9M($3.6M–$22.3M)·RAS6.02· explosion-driven

First-round LB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 29%(tails only)
Bust probability6%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #27JAXY1 10.5
14
Treylon Burks

Treylon Burks

1st Roundrank#14$5.5MWR·Arkansas·6'2", 225 lb·22.1 yrs·$5.5M($0M–$11.5M)·RAS3.99· size-driven

First-round WR profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, scout consensus.

Bust probability30%Average risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · HS recruit rating — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #18TENY1 9.7
15
Trevor Penning

Trevor Penning

1st Roundrank#15$5.2MOT·Northern Iowa·6'7", 325 lb·$5.6M($0M–$13.9M)·RAS8.43· speed-driven↑ 12 vs consensus

First-round OT profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, scout consensus.

Bust probability· low confidence3%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Athleticism · HS recruit rating — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #19NORY1 1.5
16
Drake London

Drake London

1st Roundrank#16$4.9MWR·USC·6'4", 219 lb·20.8 yrs·$32.2M($26.2M–$38.2M)·RAS8.75

First-round WR profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 37%(tails only)
Bust probability3%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Athleticism · HS recruit rating — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #8ATLY1 15.9
17
Daxton Hill

Daxton Hill

1st Roundrank#17$4.7MCB·Michigan·21.6 yrs·$11M($4.2M–$17.8M)·RAS6.32· speed-driven

First-round CB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, scout consensus.

Bust probability· low confidence9%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #31CINY1 0.8
18
Travis Jones

Travis Jones

1st RoundDT·Connecticut·6'4", 325 lb·22.5 yrs·$12.1M($2.8M–$21.4M)·RAS7.73· size-driven↑ 31 vs consensus

First-round DT profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, scout consensus.

Bust probability10%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #76BALY1 3.9
19
Bernhard Raimann

Bernhard Raimann

1st RoundOL·Central Michigan·$20.7M($12.5M–$29M)·RAS7.67· agility-driven↑ 25 vs consensus

First-round OL profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, charting gap run block grade.

Career outlookElite 29%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence3%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #77INDY1 9.0
20
Trent McDuffie

Trent McDuffie

1st Roundrank#20$4.1MCB·Washington·5'11", 193 lb·21.6 yrs·$31M($24.2M–$37.8M)·RAS5.51

First-round CB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 68%
Bust probability· low confidence28%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #21KANY1 10.9
21
Sauce Gardner

Sauce Gardner

1st Roundrank#21$4MCB·Cincinnati·21.7 yrs·$34.7M($27.9M–$41.5M)↓ 14 vs consensus

First-round CB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: charting catch rate allowed avg.

Career outlookElite 71%
Bust probability· low confidence25%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #4NYJY1 15.6
22
Derek Stingley Jr.

Derek Stingley Jr.

1st Roundrank#22$4MCB·LSU·6'0", 190 lb·20.9 yrs·$26M($19.2M–$32.8M)·RAS5.66↓ 16 vs consensus

First-round CB profile. What the model likes: scout consensus, boards with him top-100; the knock: charting catch rate allowed avg.

Career outlookElite 60%
Bust probability· low confidence3%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #3HOUY1 6.4
23
Lewis Cine

Lewis Cine

1st Roundrank#23$3.9MCB·Georgia·22.6 yrs·$3.9M($0M–$10.7M)·RAS8.42

First-round CB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50; the knock: production trajectory.

Bust probability· low confidence17%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #32MINY1 0.0
24
Jordan Davis

Jordan Davis

1st Roundrank#24$3.9MDT·Georgia·6'6", 341 lb·22.3 yrs·$13.9M($4.6M–$23.3M)·RAS9.53

First-round DT profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 20%(tails only)
Bust probability20%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #13PHIY1 3.3
25
Nakobe Dean

Nakobe Dean

1st RoundLB·Georgia·5'11", 229 lb·21.4 yrs·$10M($0.6M–$19.3M)·RAS1.31

First-round LB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, scout consensus.

Career outlookElite 21%(tails only)
Bust probability6%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #83PHIY1 0.6
26
Jermaine Johnson II

Jermaine Johnson II

1st Roundrank#26$3.7MLB·Florida St.·23.3 yrs·$20.9M($11.6M–$30.2M)·RAS7.12· size-driven↓ 15 vs consensus

First-round LB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 33%(tails only)
Bust probability<1%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #26NYJY1 3.8
27
Kenyon Green

Kenyon Green

1st RoundOL·Texas A&M·$3.7M($0M–$11.9M)·RAS2.95· size-driven

First-round OL profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, scout consensus.

Bust probability· low confidence6%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #15HOUY1 7.4
28
Jalen Pitre

Jalen Pitre

1st Roundrank#28$3.6MS·Baylor·5'11", 198 lb·22.9 yrs·$15.8M($9M–$22.6M)·RAS4.14· agility-driven

First-round S profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50; the knock: production trajectory.

Career outlookElite 31%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence17%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #37HOUY1 11.8
29
Kenneth Walker III

Kenneth Walker III

1st Roundrank#29$3.6MRB·Michigan St.·5'9", 211 lb·21.5 yrs·$12.5M($6.4M–$18.5M)·RAS6.24· speed-driven↑ 17 vs consensus

First-round RB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50; the knock: production trajectory.

Bust probability· low confidence6%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #41SEAY1 15.2
30
Kenny Pickett

Kenny Pickett

1st Roundrank#30QB·Pittsburgh·6'3", 217 lb·23.9 yrs·—·RAS6.50· explosion-driven

First-round QB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, scout consensus.

Career outlookElite 24%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence18%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #20PITY1 12.8
31
Desmond Ridder

Desmond Ridder

1st Roundrank#31QB·Cincinnati·6'3", 211 lb·22.7 yrs·—·RAS7.13· speed-driven

First-round QB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, scout consensus.

Bust probability· low confidence15%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #74ATLY1 6.8
32
Sam Howell

Sam Howell

1st RoundQB·North Carolina·6'1", 218 lb·21.6 yrs·—·RAS2.14↑ 29 vs consensus

First-round QB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting pass grade max; the knock: position role purity.

Bust probability· low confidence11%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #144WASY1 2.4

Day 2

32 prospects · picks #33–#64

Year-1 contributor, year-3 starter timeline. Round 2-3 value.

33
Malik Willis

Malik Willis

Day 2rank#33QB·Liberty·6'1", 219 lb·22.9 yrs·—·RAS2.39

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Bust probability· low confidence27%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #86TENY1 4.3
34
Devonte Wyatt

Devonte Wyatt

Day 2rank#34$3.3MDT·Georgia·6'3", 304 lb·24.1 yrs·$7.1M($0M–$16.4M)·RAS6.77· speed-driven

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Bust probability10%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #28GNBY1 2.7
35
Jahan Dotson

Jahan Dotson

Day 2rank#35$3.2MWR·Penn St.·5'11", 178 lb·22.1 yrs·$9.9M($3.9M–$16M)·RAS3.74· speed-driven

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, scout consensus.

Career outlookElite 30%(tails only)
Bust probability18%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #16WASY1 14.4
36
Sean Rhyan

Sean Rhyan

Day 2OL·UCLA·$7.7M($0M–$16M)·RAS5.78· explosion-driven↑ 39 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting gap run block grade, age.

Bust probability· low confidence3%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #92GNBY1 0.0
37
Travon Walker

Travon Walker

Day 2rank#37$3.1MEDGE·Georgia·6'5", 272 lb·21.4 yrs·$27.9M($18.5M–$37.2M)·RAS8.32↓ 28 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 56%
Bust probability6%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #1JAXY1 10.0
38
Leo Chenal

Leo Chenal

Day 2rank#38$3MLB·Wisconsin·6'3", 250 lb·21.5 yrs·$7.5M($0M–$16.9M)·RAS8.24↑ 25 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100; the knocks: production trajectory, charting run stop pct max.

Bust probability28%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #103KANY1 3.6
39
Chris Olave

Chris Olave

Day 2rank#39$2.9MWR·Ohio St.·6'0", 187 lb·21.8 yrs·$19.9M($13.9M–$26M)·RAS5.30· speed-driven↓ 24 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 22%(tails only)
Bust probability4%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #11NORY1 14.9
40
Zach Tom

Zach Tom

Day 2OL·Wake Forest·$18.1M($9.8M–$26.3M)·RAS7.83· agility-driven↑ 95 vs consensus

What the model likes: athleticism (RAS), age, charting gap run block grade.

Career outlookElite 33%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence6%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #140GNBY1 5.9
41
Kaiir Elam

Kaiir Elam

Day 2rank#41$2.8MCB·Florida·6'2", 191 lb·21.0 yrs·$3.3M($0M–$10.1M)·RAS7.53

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50; the knock: charting catch rate allowed avg.

Bust probability· low confidence3%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #23BUFY1 6.7
42
Abraham Lucas

Abraham Lucas

Day 2OL·Washington St.·$15.2M($7M–$23.5M)·RAS7.74· agility-driven↑ 46 vs consensus

What the model likes: athleticism (RAS), boards with him top-100, age.

Career outlookElite 29%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence3%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #72SEAY1 12.7
43
Skyy Moore

Skyy Moore

Day 2rank#43$2.7MWR·Western Michigan·5'10", 195 lb·21.6 yrs·$4.6M($0M–$10.6M)·RAS4.62· speed-driven

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, scout consensus.

Bust probability14%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #54KANY1 7.4
44
Trey McBride

Trey McBride

Day 2rank#44$2.6MTE·Colorado St.·6'4", 246 lb·22.4 yrs·$16.5M($10.5M–$22.5M)·RAS3.91· explosion-driven↑ 14 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100; the knocks: charting: deep-route grade, final season, production trajectory.

Bust probability· low confidence18%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #55ARIY1 9.7
45
Andrew Booth

Andrew Booth

Day 2rank#45$2.5MCB·Clemson·6'0", 194 lb·21.6 yrs·$4.8M($0M–$11.6M)·RAS6.68↓ 27 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Bust probability· low confidence28%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #42MINY1 1.0
46
Arnold Ebiketie

Arnold Ebiketie

Day 2rank#46$2.5MEDGE·Penn St.·6'2", 250 lb·23.3 yrs·$5.4M($0M–$14.7M)·RAS5.35· explosion-driven↓ 13 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, scout consensus.

Bust probability9%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #38ATLY1 6.0
47
Luke Goedeke

Luke Goedeke

Day 2OL·Central Michigan·$18.4M($10.1M–$26.6M)·RAS5.63↑ 49 vs consensus

What the model likes: charting gap run block grade, age, boards with him top-100.

Career outlookElite 46%
Bust probability· low confidence1%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #57TAMY1 6.0
48
Christian Watson

Christian Watson

Day 2rank#48$2.3MWR·North Dakota St.·6'4", 208 lb·23.0 yrs·$17.2M($11.2M–$23.2M)·RAS8.74

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Bust probability8%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #34GNBY1 14.0
49
Kyler Gordon

Kyler Gordon

Day 2CB·Washington·6'0", 194 lb·22.4 yrs·$13M($6.2M–$19.8M)·RAS4.65↓ 14 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, scout consensus.

Career outlookElite 41%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence28%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #39CHIY1 8.9
50
Luke Fortner

Luke Fortner

Day 2G·Kentucky·$4.3M($0M–$12.6M)·RAS4.33· speed-driven↑ 55 vs consensus

What the model likes: age, HS recruit rating, boards with him top-100.

Career outlookElite 23%(tails only)
Bust probability3%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #65JAXY1 12.3
51
Daniel Faalele

Daniel Faalele

Day 2rank#51$2.2MOT·Minnesota·6'8", 384 lb ⚠·$5.1M($0M–$13.4M)·RAS9.69↑ 18 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, athleticism (RAS), charting gap run block grade.

Bust probability· low confidence9%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #110BALY1 1.8
52
Roger McCreary

Roger McCreary

Day 2rank#52$2.1MCB·Auburn·5'11", 190 lb·22.2 yrs·$10M($3.2M–$16.8M)·RAS4.55↓ 12 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50; the knock: charting yards per coverage snap career avg.

Career outlookElite 23%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence12%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #35TENY1 13.5
53
Chad Muma

Chad Muma

Day 2LB·Wyoming·6'3", 239 lb·22.7 yrs·$4.4M($0M–$13.7M)·RAS6.97· explosion-driven

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, charting def grade.

Bust probability20%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #70JAXY1 3.4
54
John Metchie

John Metchie

Day 2rank#54$2MWR·Alabama·5'11", 187 lb·21.8 yrs·$3.9M($0M–$10M)·RAS2.21↑ 17 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100; the knocks: production trajectory, athleticism (RAS).

Bust probability1%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #44HOU
55
George Karlaftis III

George Karlaftis III

Day 2rank#55$2MEDGE·Purdue·6'4", 266 lb·21.1 yrs·$24.1M($14.7M–$33.4M)·RAS6.50· explosion-driven↓ 36 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: charting yards per coverage snap career avg.

Career outlookElite 58%
Bust probability2%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #30KANY1 8.5
56
Cameron Thomas

Cameron Thomas

Day 2rank#56$2MEDGE·San Diego St.·6'4", 267 lb·22.3 yrs·$3.7M($0M–$13.1M)·RAS6.14↑ 12 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting run def grade career avg; the knock: production trajectory.

Bust probability16%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #87ARIY1 2.9
57
Darian Kinnard

Darian Kinnard

Day 2OT·Kentucky·$2.9M($0M–$11.2M)·RAS3.25· size-driven

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting gap run block grade; the knock: HS recruit rating.

Bust probability· low confidence6%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #145KANY1 0.0
58
Jaquan Brisker

Jaquan Brisker

Day 2S·Penn St.·6'1", 199 lb·23.0 yrs·$10.4M($3.6M–$17.2M)·RAS5.92↓ 21 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50; the knock: age.

Career outlookElite 39%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence11%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #48CHIY1 11.2
59
Alex Wright

Alex Wright

Day 2EDGE·Ala-Birmingham·21.6 yrs·$8.4M($0M–$17.7M)·RAS7.47↑ 43 vs consensus

What the model likes: age, HS recruit rating, athleticism (RAS).

Bust probability3%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #78CLEY1 5.0
60
Cade York

Cade York

Day 2K·LSU·6'1", 206 lb·21.3 yrs·$4M($1.1M–$6.9M)·RAS6.32⚠ barely scouted

What the model likes: age, HS recruit rating.

Career outlookElite 23%(tails only)
Bust probability30%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #124CLEY1 0.0
61
Matt Corral

Matt Corral

Day 2rank#61QB·Mississippi·6'2", 212 lb·23.2 yrs·—·RAS1.81

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, scout consensus.

Bust probability· low confidence24%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #94CAR
62
Nik Bonitto

Nik Bonitto

Day 2rank#62$1.8MOLB·Oklahoma·22.6 yrs·$19.4M·RAS7.42

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, athleticism (RAS); the knock: HS recruit rating.

Career outlookElite 35%(tails only)
Bust probability23%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #64DENY1 3.8
63
Dylan Parham

Dylan Parham

Day 2OL·Memphis·$9.7M($1.5M–$18M)·RAS5.50· speed-driven

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting total career snaps, age.

Career outlookElite 23%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence4%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #90LVRY1 11.8
64
George Pickens

George Pickens

Day 2rank#64$1.7MWR·Georgia·6'3", 195 lb·21.1 yrs·$22.4M($16.4M–$28.4M)·RAS5.77↓ 22 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, scout consensus.

Career outlookElite 31%(tails only)
Bust probability4%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #52PITY1 15.9
The Tuesday tab

That’s the whole board. Want to know when it moves?

One email a week during the cycle: who moved, what moved them, and where this board still disagrees with the consensus. Free, like the rest of it.

Get the next piece

One short email per publish. No noise. Unsubscribe anytime.