Offensive line OL
Athleticism + games started + Senior Bowl invite carry most of the weight — college stats say little about offensive line play. Older classes are filed under the single line code rather than tackle/guard/center.
Likeliest career, by the outcome model.
How many offensive linemen land in each career bucket as the model's single most likely finish. This is a different question from the board grades below — a prospect can be a Day 3 grade and still have “starter” as his likeliest outcome. The tails (elite, bust) are where the model separates; the middle two buckets sit close to a coin flip.
The board.
All 36 offensive linemen with a draftable grade on Draftanomics's 2022 board, tier by tier.
The blue-chip shelf is one name deep: Evan Neal out of Alabama, pegged at No. 1 overall. The break below is soft: Tyler Smith projects just 9 projected picks after Neal, so the tier line is a label more than a wall.
This is where the class lives: 5 offensive linemans carry a first-round grade, with Tyler Smith out of Tulsa at the front of the line at No. 10 overall. No cliff at the bottom, either: Sean Rhyan is 9 projected picks behind Green. Inside the tier, the model's fight is Tyler Smith: it says No. 10, the room says No. 45.
The Day 2 tier runs 14 deep, opening with Sean Rhyan out of UCLA at No. 36 and closing with Rasheed Walker at No. 104. Barely a seam here — Chris Paul comes off just 4 picks later. The risk in the group is Rasheed Walker: 37 percent by a bust model that has earned trust at offensive lineman.
Chris Paul leads a 16-deep Day 3 group — the meat of the OL board — starting at a projected No. 108 overall. Marquis Hayes is the tier's dissent — the room ranks him No. 53, our board waits until No. 137.