Defensive tackle DT
Sacks + TFLs + Senior Bowl. Athletic testing weighted higher for IDL than EDGE.
Likeliest career, by the outcome model.
How many defensive tackles land in each career bucket as the model's single most likely finish. This is a different question from the board grades below — a prospect can be a Day 3 grade and still have “starter” as his likeliest outcome. The tails (elite, bust) are where the model separates; the middle two buckets sit close to a coin flip.
The board.
All 18 defensive tackles with a draftable grade on Draftanomics's 2022 board, tier by tier.
No blue-chip defensive tackle this cycle — Travis Jones is the class's best, and he carries the next grade down.
Two names carry a first-round grade — Travis Jones in front at No. 18, Jordan Davis close behind at No. 24. There is a real step down from there — Devonte Wyatt sits 10 projected picks behind Davis. Travis Jones is the argument in this tier — No. 18 on our board against a consensus No. 49.
Devonte Wyatt and DeMarvin Leal make up the Day 2 tier, projected No. 34 and No. 66 overall. Mind the gap after Leal: Phidarian Mathis is next, and he is 59 picks away. No red flags either — the tier's worst bust number is just 15 percent, from a model that reads defensive tackles well.
Phidarian Mathis leads a 14-deep Day 3 group — the meat of the DT board — starting at a projected No. 125 overall. One caution flag: the bust model — a group it reads well at defensive tackle — puts Jonathan Ford at 44 percent.