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2027 NFL Draft prospect
Carson Hinzman
6'4" · 280 lb
Profile so far2 of 5 kinds of evidence on file
On the live board, bust risk sits at 22% and the realistic range is No. 63 to No. 260.
rank#176$1.1M
Limited public-board coverage (1 board) — grade leans on stats + athleticism alone
The story
Carson Hinzman is a 6-foot-4, 280-pound interior piece Ohio State recruited as a four-star and now ticket ins as a swing-tackle type at the next level. The model has him at #176 overall for the 2027 class, but the one board tracking him puts him 59 spots higher at #117 — a real split on where this frame projects.
Overview
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Draftanomics Rank
Low conviction#176G·Ohio State
Both of the model's reads put him in Day-3 / priority-free-agent range. If the public boards are higher, the model is the one doing the fading — check the dossier for what it isn't seeing.
Draftanomics's take
Draftanomics ranks Carson Hinzman at #176 overall — a Day 3 grade. The model's case leans on scout consensus. Bust risk projects at 22%, below the position median — the model has a tight grade. Public consensus has him #117; Draftanomics's board is 59 spots lower — the model sees a gap the room doesn't.
Written from the live model's numbers — and it updates whenever the model does. See for what drives the take.
Scouting report
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Why this grade
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
Consensus
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Production
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Risk1
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
Team fit
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Will he be there?
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Comps0
Historical players this prospect resembles
Film & notes
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports