Draftanomics
  • 2027 board
  • Consensus board
  • 2028 way-too-early
  • Draft news
  • Simulator
  • The house mock
  • Draft order
  • Trade calculator
  • The Scouting Slate
  • Sleepers & reaches
  • Movers & fallers
  • Player comps
  • Dynasty rookie board
  • Track record
  • Past drafts, re-graded
  • Analyst leaderboard
My rankingsAccount
Get the weekly →
Draftanomics

Honest NFL Draft analytics. The model's receipts against actual NFL teams live on the track record.

Boards
  • 2027 board
  • Consensus board
  • Sleepers
Tools
  • Mock draft simulator
  • Plays Like
  • Dynasty rookie board
Track Record
  • Year-by-year results
  • Accountability Index
  • Our board, on the record
  • Past drafts, re-graded
  • Methodology
  • Developers · free API
  • About
Account
  • My board
  • Weekly email
Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
← Draftanomics
Past class — locked, then graded

2023 NFL Draft

A past class. The model never saw these players when it learned — this board is what Draftanomics would have said on draft night, graded against how the careers actually played out.

Mock draft →vs Consensus →Full table view →Year recap →
More tools ▾
Compare prospects →Track record →Haul grades →
Filter by team →
ARIATLBALBUFCARCHICINCLEDALDENDETGBHOUINDJAXKCLALACLVMIAMINNENONYGNYJPHIPITSEASFTBTENWAS
ViewBoardConsensus blendSoberPure model
Position guides →
⬇Export CSV
Top 64 of 258 prospects in this draft class
Filter
64 of 64 prospects shown · ranked by the career-value model

Blue Chip

6 prospects · picks #1–#6

Day-1 starter ceiling. The class's franchise pieces.

1
Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Blue Chiprank#1$12.2MWR·Ohio St.·6'1", 196 lb·21.2 yrs·$32.8M($26.8M–$38.8M)·RAS6.03· agility-driven

Blue-chip WR ceiling. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 43%
Bust probability1%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Production trajectory · HS recruit rating — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #20SEAY1 14.4
2
Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson

Blue Chiprank#2$11.7MRB·Texas·5'11", 215 lb·21.2 yrs·$29.6M($23.6M–$35.6M)·RAS7.05· explosion-driven

Blue-chip RB ceiling. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, scout consensus.

Career outlookElite 59%
Bust probability· low confidence15%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Athleticism — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #8ATLY1 15.7
3
Bryce Young

Bryce Young

Blue Chiprank#3QB·Alabama·5'10", 204 lb·21.8 yrs·—·RAS0.26

Blue-chip QB ceiling. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 50%
Bust probability· low confidence16%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · HS recruit rating — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #1CARY1 14.3
4
Anthony Richardson

Anthony Richardson

Blue Chiprank#4QB·Florida·6'4", 244 lb·20.9 yrs·—·RAS9.65

Blue-chip QB ceiling. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 38%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence25%Average risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Athleticism — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #4INDY1 6.3
5
Peter Skoronski

Peter Skoronski

Blue Chiprank#5$8.7MOL·Northwestern·$30.8M($22.5M–$39M)·RAS6.51· explosion-driven

Blue-chip OL ceiling. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 38%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence2%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · HS recruit rating · Age — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #11TENY1 4.6
6
Michael Mayer

Michael Mayer

Blue Chiprank#6$8.2MTE·Notre Dame·6'5", 249 lb·21.8 yrs·$12.7M($6.7M–$18.7M)·RAS4.98· speed-driven

Blue-chip TE ceiling. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, scout consensus.

Career outlookElite 13%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence1%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #35LVRY1 9.9

1st Round

26 prospects · picks #7–#32

Year-1 starter probability. First-round capital.

7
Jalen Carter

Jalen Carter

1st Roundrank#7$7.7MDL·Georgia·22.1 yrs·$33.7M($24.4M–$43.1M)·RAS6.04

First-round DL profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, scout consensus.

Career outlookElite 64%
Bust probability10%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · HS recruit rating · Age — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #9PHIY1 3.2
8
Broderick Jones

Broderick Jones

1st Roundrank#8$7.1MOL·Georgia·$26.4M($18.2M–$34.7M)·RAS7.37

First-round OL profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 37%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence6%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Athleticism · HS recruit rating — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #14PITY1 4.4
9
Brian Branch

Brian Branch

1st Roundrank#9$6.9MCB·Alabama·6'0", 190 lb·21.5 yrs·$23.9M($17.1M–$30.7M)·RAS2.86· explosion-driven

First-round CB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, scout consensus.

Career outlookElite 41%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence20%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · HS recruit rating · Age — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #45DETY1 4.6
10
Paris Johnson

Paris Johnson

1st Roundrank#10$6.7MOL·Ohio St.·$25.6M($17.4M–$33.9M)·RAS7.55

First-round OL profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 43%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence5%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Athleticism · HS recruit rating — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #6ARIY1 6.0
11
C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud

1st Roundrank#11QB·Ohio St.·6'3", 214 lb·21.6 yrs·—·RAS3.40

First-round QB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 64%
Bust probability· low confidence22%Average risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · HS recruit rating — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #2HOUY1 16.8
12
John Michael Schmitz

John Michael Schmitz

1st RoundOL·Minnesota·$14.5M($6.2M–$22.7M)·RAS4.23· agility-driven↑ 20 vs consensus

First-round OL profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, charting gap run block grade.

Career outlookElite 29%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence9%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: HS recruit rating · Age — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #57NYGY1 4.0
13
Myles Murphy

Myles Murphy

1st Roundrank#13$5.8MEDGE·Clemson·6'5", 268 lb·21.3 yrs·$8.4M($0M–$17.7M)·RAS6.33

First-round EDGE profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 14%(tails only)
Bust probability15%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · HS recruit rating · Age — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #28CINY1 1.6
14
Will Anderson

Will Anderson

1st Roundrank#14$5.5MLB·Alabama·21.6 yrs·$36.8M($27.5M–$46.1M)·RAS7.44· size-driven↓ 12 vs consensus

First-round LB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 51%
Bust probability21%Average risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Athleticism · Production trajectory — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #3HOUY1 3.6
15
Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs

1st Roundrank#15$5.2MRB·Alabama·5'9", 199 lb·21.1 yrs·$35.3M($29.3M–$41.4M)·RAS5.17· speed-driven

First-round RB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, charting: yards per route run from the slot, best season.

Career outlookElite 64%
Bust probability· low confidence6%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · HS recruit rating — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #12DETY1 15.5
16
O'Cyrus Torrence

O'Cyrus Torrence

1st RoundOL·Florida·$16.7M($8.4M–$24.9M)·RAS4.11· size-driven↑ 14 vs consensus

First-round OL profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, scout consensus.

Career outlookElite 38%
Bust probability· low confidence8%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Age — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #59BUFY1 6.2
17
Devon Witherspoon

Devon Witherspoon

1st Roundrank#17$4.7MCB·Illinois·6'0", 181 lb·22.4 yrs·$29.1M($22.3M–$35.9M)·RAS3.33

First-round CB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 55%
Bust probability· low confidence21%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #5SEAY1 4.6
18
Joe Tippmann

Joe Tippmann

1st RoundOL·Wisconsin·$14M($5.8M–$22.3M)·RAS7.03↑ 37 vs consensus

First-round OL profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, athleticism (RAS), charting gap run block grade.

Career outlookElite 29%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence6%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #43NYJY1 4.5
19
Darnell Wright

Darnell Wright

1st Roundrank#19$4.3MOL·Tennessee·$23.9M($15.6M–$32.1M)·RAS7.41· size-driven

First-round OL profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, athleticism (RAS).

Career outlookElite 34%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence6%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #10CHIY1 6.0
20
Tyree Wilson

Tyree Wilson

1st Roundrank#20$4.1MOLB·Texas Tech·22.9 yrs·$11.7M·RAS9.97↓ 14 vs consensus

First-round OLB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 28%(tails only)
Bust probability10%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #7LVRY1 2.6
21
Matthew Bergeron

Matthew Bergeron

1st RoundOL·Syracuse·$20.2M($12M–$28.5M)·RAS6.81· agility-driven↑ 40 vs consensus

First-round OL profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, athleticism (RAS), charting true-pass-set pass block snaps career.

Career outlookElite 42%
Bust probability· low confidence2%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #38ATLY1 5.9
22
Jack Campbell

Jack Campbell

1st Roundrank#22$4MLB·Iowa·6'5", 249 lb·22.7 yrs·$15.5M($6.2M–$24.8M)·RAS7.61· size-driven↑ 16 vs consensus

First-round LB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50; the knock: charting run stop pct max.

Career outlookElite 18%(tails only)
Bust probability1%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #18DETY1 3.9
23
Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid

1st Roundrank#23$3.9MTE·Utah·6'4", 246 lb·23.5 yrs·$20.6M($14.6M–$26.6M)·RAS2.35

First-round TE profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, scout consensus.

Bust probability· low confidence10%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #25BUFY1 14.7
24
Jordan Addison

Jordan Addison

1st Roundrank#24$3.9MWR·USC·5'11", 173 lb·21.3 yrs·$20.5M($14.5M–$26.6M)·RAS4.10· speed-driven

First-round WR profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, scout consensus.

Career outlookElite 19%(tails only)
Bust probability7%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #23MINY1 16.3
25
Lukas Van Ness

Lukas Van Ness

1st Roundrank#25$3.8MDL·Iowa·21.8 yrs·$6.5M($0M–$15.8M)·RAS7.54· speed-driven

First-round DL profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 20%(tails only)
Bust probability6%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #13GNBY1 2.4
26
Nolan Smith

Nolan Smith

1st Roundrank#26$3.7MOLB·Georgia·22.3 yrs·$10.9M·RAS8.32· speed-driven↓ 13 vs consensus

First-round OLB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 14%(tails only)
Bust probability10%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #30PHIY1 1.1
27
Darnell Washington

Darnell Washington

1st Roundrank#27$3.7MTE·Georgia·6'7", 264 lb·21.7 yrs·$9.6M($3.6M–$15.7M)·RAS8.26· agility-driven

First-round TE profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50; the knock: power-5 production share.

Bust probability· low confidence15%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #93PITY1 4.4
28
Dawand Jones

Dawand Jones

1st RoundOL·Ohio St.·$9.1M($0.9M–$17.4M)·RAS6.05· size-driven↑ 19 vs consensus

First-round OL profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, athlete×producer interaction.

Bust probability· low confidence9%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #111CLEY1 3.8
29
Quentin Johnston

Quentin Johnston

1st Roundrank#29$3.6MWR·TCU·6'3", 208 lb·21.6 yrs·$19.8M($13.8M–$25.8M)·RAS8.31

First-round WR profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, charting: yards per route run from the slot, best season.

Career outlookElite 28%(tails only)
Bust probability<1%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #21LACY1 12.0
30
Luke Musgrave

Luke Musgrave

1st RoundTE·Oregon St.·6'6", 253 lb·22.6 yrs·$8.5M($2.5M–$14.5M)·RAS7.12· speed-driven↑ 22 vs consensus

First-round TE profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, athleticism (RAS).

Bust probability· low confidence12%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #42GNBY1 9.6
31
Luke Wypler

Luke Wypler

1st RoundOL·Ohio St.·$3.5M($0M–$11.7M)·RAS5.51· agility-driven↑ 71 vs consensus

First-round OL profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, HS recruit rating, age.

Bust probability· low confidence3%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #190CLEY1 0.5
32
Christian Gonzalez

Christian Gonzalez

1st Roundrank#32$3.4MCB·Oregon·6'1", 197 lb·20.8 yrs·$16.9M($10.1M–$23.7M)·RAS8.73↓ 24 vs consensus

First-round CB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 40%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence3%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #17NWEY1 1.2

Day 2

32 prospects · picks #33–#64

Year-1 contributor, year-3 starter timeline. Round 2-3 value.

33
Anton Harrison

Anton Harrison

Day 2rank#33$3.3MOL·Oklahoma·$18.4M($10.1M–$26.6M)·RAS6.44· speed-driven

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, HS recruit rating.

Career outlookElite 32%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence3%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #27JAXY1 5.9
34
Will Levis

Will Levis

Day 2rank#34QB·Kentucky·6'4", 229 lb·23.8 yrs·—·RAS7.92

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, scout consensus.

Career outlookElite 12%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence20%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #33TENY1 9.5
35
Trenton Simpson

Trenton Simpson

Day 2LB·Clemson·6'2", 235 lb·21.9 yrs·$9.1M($0M–$18.5M)·RAS7.01· speed-driven↑ 16 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, athleticism (RAS), boards with him top-50.

Bust probability10%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #86BALY1 0.3
36
Blake Freeland

Blake Freeland

Day 2OL·BYU·$3.7M($0M–$12M)·RAS7.87· explosion-driven↑ 78 vs consensus

What the model likes: athleticism (RAS), boards with him top-100, age.

Bust probability· low confidence3%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #106INDY1 3.8
37
Emmanuel Forbes

Emmanuel Forbes

Day 2rank#37$3.1MCB·Mississippi St.·6'1", 166 lb·22.3 yrs·$7.9M($1.1M–$14.7M)·RAS7.13· speed-driven

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, HS recruit rating.

Career outlookElite 14%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence9%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #16WASY1 2.6
38
Steve Avila

Steve Avila

Day 2C·TCU·$15.6M($7.4M–$23.9M)·RAS5.03· size-driven

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50; the knock: charting gap run block grade.

Career outlookElite 28%(tails only)
Bust probability11%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #36LARY1 6.2
39
Tyler Steen

Tyler Steen

Day 2OL·Alabama·$7.1M($0M–$15.4M)·RAS6.87↑ 79 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, athleticism (RAS), number of boards ranking him.

Bust probability· low confidence8%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #65PHIY1 0.5
40
Antonio Johnson

Antonio Johnson

Day 2CB·Texas A&M·6'2", 198 lb·21.5 yrs·$6.2M($0M–$13M)·RAS4.29· size-driven↑ 24 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, HS recruit rating, charting coverage grade career avg.

Bust probability· low confidence24%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #160JAXY1 1.0
41
Cam Smith

Cam Smith

Day 2rank#41$2.8MCB·South Carolina·6'1", 180 lb·22.4 yrs·$7.1M($0.3M–$13.9M)·RAS6.70· explosion-driven

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, athleticism (RAS).

Bust probability· low confidence9%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #51MIAY1 0.2
42
Zay Flowers

Zay Flowers

Day 2rank#42$2.7MWR·Boston Col.·5'9", 182 lb·22.6 yrs·$29.5M($23.5M–$35.5M)·RAS5.18· speed-driven↓ 16 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, scout consensus.

Career outlookElite 42%
Bust probability4%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #22BALY1 16.4
43
Sam LaPorta

Sam LaPorta

Day 2rank#43$2.7MTE·Iowa·6'3", 245 lb·22.3 yrs·$44.5M($38.5M–$50.5M)·RAS6.85· speed-driven↑ 13 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50; the knock: power-5 production share.

Career outlookElite 64%
Bust probability· low confidence7%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #34DETY1 17.6
44
Calijah Kancey

Calijah Kancey

Day 2rank#44$2.6MDL·Pittsburgh·22.1 yrs·$20M($10.7M–$29.3M)·RAS5.68· speed-driven↓ 16 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50; the knock: charting: average depth of target allowed, career avg.

Career outlookElite 33%(tails only)
Bust probability16%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #19TAMY1 3.5
45
Joey Porter Jr.

Joey Porter Jr.

Day 2rank#45$2.5MCB·Penn St.·6'3", 193 lb·22.8 yrs·$12.8M($6M–$19.6M)·RAS6.88↓ 31 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 32%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence30%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #32PITY1 4.5
46
Hendon Hooker

Hendon Hooker

Day 2rank#46QB·Tennessee·6'3", 217 lb·25.3 yrs·—·RAS4.94

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50; the knock: age.

Bust probability· low confidence15%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #68DETY1 1.0
47
Cody Mauch

Cody Mauch

Day 2OT·North Dakota St.·6'5", 302 lb·$14.7M($6.4M–$22.9M)·RAS6.29· agility-driven

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, age, HS recruit rating.

Career outlookElite 39%
Bust probability· low confidence4%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #48TAMY1 6.2
48
Jaelyn Duncan

Jaelyn Duncan

Day 2OL·Maryland·$5.5M($0M–$13.7M)·RAS6.77· explosion-driven↑ 72 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, athleticism (RAS), charting true-pass-set pass block snaps career. Bust risk moderate (49%).

Bust probability· low confidence49%Moderate risk
Plays like
NFL pick #186TENY1 2.0
49
Zach Charbonnet

Zach Charbonnet

Day 2rank#49$2.3MRB·UCLA·6'0", 214 lb·22.3 yrs·$8.4M($2.4M–$14.5M)·RAS5.87· size-driven↑ 14 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting school line pass-block efficiency career avg; the knock: HS recruit rating.

Bust probability· low confidence22%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #52SEAY1 12.5
50
Sydney Brown

Sydney Brown

Day 2CB·Illinois·5'10", 211 lb·23.1 yrs·$3.9M($0M–$10.7M)·RAS6.80· explosion-driven↑ 30 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting school line pass-block efficiency career avg; the knock: age. Bust risk moderate (35%).

Bust probability· low confidence35%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #66PHIY1 1.8
51
Josh Downs

Josh Downs

Day 2rank#51$2.2MWR·North Carolina·5'9", 171 lb·21.7 yrs·$19.3M($13.3M–$25.3M)·RAS5.70· explosion-driven

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50; the knock: power-5 production share.

Career outlookElite 48%
Bust probability4%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #79INDY1 14.9
52
BJ Ojulari

BJ Ojulari

Day 2rank#52$2.1MEDGE·LSU·6'2", 248 lb·21.1 yrs·$4.9M($0M–$14.3M)·RAS3.99· explosion-driven↓ 15 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, charting school line pass-block efficiency career avg.

Bust probability22%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #41ARIY1 2.2
53
Julius Brents

Julius Brents

Day 2CB·Kansas St.·6'3", 198 lb·23.3 yrs·$10.3M($3.5M–$17.1M)·RAS7.50· explosion-driven

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, athleticism (RAS); the knock: age. Bust risk moderate (40%).

Bust probability· low confidence40%Moderate risk
Plays like
NFL pick #44INDY1 2.6
54
Deonte Banks

Deonte Banks

Day 2rank#54$2MCB·Maryland·6'0", 197 lb·22.1 yrs·$10.8M($4M–$17.6M)·RAS8.82↓ 27 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50; the knock: production trajectory.

Career outlookElite 24%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence28%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #24NYGY1 4.4
55
Jalin Hyatt

Jalin Hyatt

Day 2rank#55$2MWR·Tennessee·6'0", 176 lb·21.6 yrs·$6.4M($0.4M–$12.4M)·RAS5.96· explosion-driven↓ 12 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50; the knock: production trajectory.

Bust probability1%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #73NYGY1 8.3
56
Gervon Dexter

Gervon Dexter

Day 2DL·Florida·21.6 yrs·$10.5M($1.2M–$19.8M)·RAS6.61· size-driven↑ 18 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, age, HS recruit rating.

Career outlookElite 12%(tails only)
Bust probability17%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #53CHIY1 2.3
57
Jordan Battle

Jordan Battle

Day 2CB·Alabama·6'1", 209 lb·22.4 yrs·$6.9M($0.1M–$13.7M)·RAS3.08· size-driven↑ 35 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting coverage grade career avg; the knock: HS recruit rating.

Bust probability· low confidence30%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #95CINY1 2.8
58
Will McDonald

Will McDonald

Day 2rank#58$1.9MEDGE·Iowa St.·6'4", 239 lb·23.9 yrs·$7.8M($0M–$17.1M)·RAS7.08· agility-driven↓ 25 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50; the knock: age.

Bust probability31%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #15NYJY1 1.0
59
Derick Hall

Derick Hall

Day 2rank#59$1.9MEDGE·Auburn·6'3", 254 lb·22.1 yrs·$13.3M($3.9M–$22.6M)·RAS6.60· speed-driven

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, age; the knock: charting missed tackle rate avg.

Bust probability34%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #37SEAY1 1.7
60
Tyjae Spears

Tyjae Spears

Day 2rank#60$1.8MRB·Tulane·5'10", 201 lb·21.9 yrs·$9.7M($3.6M–$15.7M)·RAS4.78· explosion-driven↑ 15 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting elusive; the knock: production trajectory.

Bust probability· low confidence22%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #81TENY1 14.0
61
Kelee Ringo

Kelee Ringo

Day 2CB·Georgia·6'2", 207 lb·20.8 yrs·$3.9M($0M–$10.7M)·RAS5.91· speed-driven↓ 22 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, HS recruit rating.

Bust probability· low confidence18%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #105PHIY1 1.3
62
Tyler Scott

Tyler Scott

Day 2rank#62$1.8MWR·Cincinnati·5'10", 177 lb·21.5 yrs·$4.2M($0M–$10.3M)·RAS5.45· explosion-driven

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting yards after contact per att; the knock: production trajectory.

Bust probability7%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #133CHIY1 5.9
63
Roschon Johnson

Roschon Johnson

Day 2RB·Texas·6'0", 219 lb·22.2 yrs·$6.8M($0.8M–$12.9M)·RAS5.60· size-driven↑ 45 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, number of boards ranking him; the knock: HS recruit rating.

Bust probability· low confidence19%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #115CHIY1 12.3
64
Jammie Robinson

Jammie Robinson

Day 2CB·Florida St.·5'11", 191 lb·22.3 yrs·$3.5M($0M–$10.3M)·RAS2.92· size-driven↑ 64 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting total career snaps; the knock: athleticism (RAS).

Bust probability· low confidence33%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #145CARY1 0.4
The Tuesday tab

That’s the whole board. Want to know when it moves?

One email a week during the cycle: who moved, what moved them, and where this board still disagrees with the consensus. Free, like the rest of it.

Get the next piece

One short email per publish. No noise. Unsubscribe anytime.