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RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
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← Draftanomics
Past class — locked, then graded

2021 NFL Draft

A past class. The model never saw these players when it learned — this board is what Draftanomics would have said on draft night, graded against how the careers actually played out.

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Top 64 of 259 prospects in this draft class
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64 of 64 prospects shown · ranked by the career-value model

Blue Chip

6 prospects · picks #1–#6

Day-1 starter ceiling. The class's franchise pieces.

1
Justin Fields

Justin Fields

Blue Chiprank#1QB·Ohio St.·6'2", 227 lb·22.1 yrs·—·RAS8.15· speed-driven

Blue-chip QB ceiling. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, charting pass grade max.

Career outlookElite 38%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence10%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Athleticism · HS recruit rating — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #11CHIY1 11.3
2
Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence

Blue Chiprank#2QB·Clemson·6'5", 213 lb·21.6 yrs·—·RAS7.46· explosion-driven

Blue-chip QB ceiling. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, charting pass grade max.

Career outlookElite 57%
Bust probability· low confidence11%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Athleticism · HS recruit rating — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #1JAXY1 14.4
3
DeVonta Smith

DeVonta Smith

Blue Chiprank#3$10.5MWR·Alabama·22.5 yrs·$32M($26M–$38.1M)·RAS5.88· explosion-driven

Blue-chip WR ceiling. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: charting: deep-route grade, final season.

Career outlookElite 65%
Bust probability3%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Schedule-adjusted production · College production — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #10PHIY1 16.4
4
Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase

Blue Chiprank#4$9.6MWR·LSU·6'0", 201 lb·21.2 yrs·$34.7M($28.7M–$40.8M)·RAS7.69· explosion-driven

Blue-chip WR ceiling. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: charting: deep-route grade, final season.

Career outlookElite 69%
Bust probability9%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Athleticism · HS recruit rating — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #5CINY1 17.9
5
Najee Harris

Najee Harris

Blue Chiprank#5$8.7MRB·Alabama·23.1 yrs·$8.7M($2.7M–$14.7M)·RAS6.50· size-driven↑ 17 vs consensus

Blue-chip RB ceiling. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting elusive, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 35%
Bust probability· low confidence15%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · RAS × production — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #24PITY1 17.1
6
Micah Parsons

Micah Parsons

Blue Chiprank#6$8.2MLB·Penn St.·6'3", 246 lb·21.9 yrs·$42.9M($33.6M–$52.3M)·RAS7.68· speed-driven

Blue-chip LB ceiling. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, athleticism (RAS).

Career outlookElite 75%
Bust probability10%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Athleticism · HS recruit rating — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #12DALY1 12.9

1st Round

26 prospects · picks #7–#32

Year-1 starter probability. First-round capital.

7
Patrick Surtain II

Patrick Surtain II

1st Roundrank#7$7.7MCB·Alabama·6'2", 208 lb·21.0 yrs·$25.9M($19.1M–$32.7M)·RAS8.64

First-round CB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, athleticism (RAS).

Career outlookElite 64%
Bust probability· low confidence4%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Athleticism · HS recruit rating — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #9DENY1 4.6
8
Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams

1st Roundrank#8$7.1MRB·North Carolina·5'9", 212 lb·21.0 yrs·$9.8M($3.8M–$15.8M)·RAS5.88· agility-driven↑ 31 vs consensus

First-round RB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, charting elusive.

Bust probability· low confidence6%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: HS recruit rating — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #35DENY1 14.5
9
Rashod Bateman

Rashod Bateman

1st Roundrank#9$6.9MWR·Minnesota·6'0", 190 lb·21.4 yrs·$11.3M($5.3M–$17.3M)·RAS5.38· speed-driven↑ 14 vs consensus

First-round WR profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting: yards per route run from the slot, best season, boards with him top-50.

Bust probability5%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Production trajectory · HS recruit rating — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #27BALY1 11.9
10
Zach Wilson

Zach Wilson

1st Roundrank#10QB·BYU·6'2", 214 lb·21.7 yrs·—·RAS4.78· explosion-driven

First-round QB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 29%— the downside is the likelier end
Bust probability· low confidence28%Average risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · HS recruit rating · Age — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #2NYJY1 9.3
11
Penei Sewell

Penei Sewell

1st Roundrank#11$6.4MOL·Oregon·6'4", 331 lb·$28M($19.8M–$36.3M)·RAS6.07

First-round OL profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 64%
Bust probability· low confidence3%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · HS recruit rating — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #7DETY1 13.4
12
Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle

1st Roundrank#12$6.1MWR·Alabama·22.4 yrs·$33.6M($27.5M–$39.6M)·RAS3.24· explosion-driven

First-round WR profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: charting: deep-route grade, final season.

Career outlookElite 56%
Bust probability2%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · HS recruit rating — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #6MIAY1 16.4
13
Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah

Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah

1st Roundrank#13$5.8MLB·Notre Dame·6'1", 221 lb·21.5 yrs·$18.6M($9.3M–$27.9M)·RAS6.27· agility-driven

First-round LB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, number of boards ranking him.

Career outlookElite 50%
Bust probability6%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Schedule-adjusted production · RAS × production — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #52CLEY1 7.6
14
Rashawn Slater

Rashawn Slater

1st Roundrank#14$5.5MOL·Northwestern·6'4", 304 lb·$29M($20.8M–$37.3M)·RAS7.52· agility-driven

First-round OL profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 64%
Bust probability· low confidence1%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Athleticism · Age — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #13LACY1 15.0
15
Kyle Pitts

Kyle Pitts

1st Roundrank#15$5.2MTE·Florida·6'5", 245 lb·20.6 yrs·$21.5M($15.5M–$27.5M)·RAS7.09· speed-driven↓ 13 vs consensus

First-round TE profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: charting: deep-route grade, final season.

Career outlookElite 62%
Bust probability· low confidence1%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Athleticism — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #4ATLY1 15.0
16
Trey Lance

Trey Lance

1st Roundrank#16QB·North Dakota St.·6'3", 224 lb·21.0 yrs·—·RAS8.03· explosion-driven

First-round QB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, athleticism (RAS).

Bust probability· low confidence28%Average risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Athleticism · HS recruit rating — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #3SFOY1 5.3
17
Alijah Vera-Tucker

Alijah Vera-Tucker

1st Roundrank#17$4.7MOL·USC·6'4", 308 lb·$13.4M($5.2M–$21.7M)·RAS6.25· speed-driven

First-round OL profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 26%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence2%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #14NYJY1 12.1
18
Teven Jenkins

Teven Jenkins

1st Roundrank#18$4.5MOL·Oklahoma St.·6'5", 317 lb·$6.5M($0M–$14.8M)·RAS7.41

First-round OL profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting gap run block grade, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 21%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence2%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #39CHIY1 1.7
19
Christian Darrisaw

Christian Darrisaw

1st Roundrank#19$4.3MOL·Virginia Tech·$25.2M($17M–$33.5M)

First-round OL profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, charting gap run block grade.

Career outlookElite 36%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence1%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #23MINY1 8.1
20
Jaelan Phillips

Jaelan Phillips

1st Roundrank#20$4.1MDL·Miami (FL)·6'5", 260 lb·21.9 yrs·$24.3M($15M–$33.7M)·RAS8.46· speed-driven

First-round DL profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, athleticism (RAS).

Career outlookElite 35%(tails only)
Bust probability6%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #18MIAY1 3.1
21
Rondale Moore

Rondale Moore

1st Roundrank#21$4MWR·Purdue·5'7", 180 lb·20.9 yrs·$4M($0M–$10.1M)·RAS7.10· speed-driven

First-round WR profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, athleticism (RAS), boards with him top-50.

Bust probability6%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #49ARIY1 11.5
22
Elijah Moore

Elijah Moore

1st Roundrank#22$4MWR·Mississippi·21.1 yrs·$4.2M($0M–$10.2M)·RAS6.08· speed-driven

First-round WR profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, number of boards ranking him.

Bust probability3%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #34NYJY1 13.2
23
Michael Carter

Michael Carter

1st Roundrank#23$3.9MRB·North Carolina·5'7", 201 lb·22.0 yrs·$3.9M($0M–$9.9M)·RAS5.44· agility-driven↑ 63 vs consensus

First-round RB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting: yards per route run from the slot, best season, charting elusive.

Bust probability· low confidence6%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #107NYJY1 13.8
24
Landon Dickerson

Landon Dickerson

1st Roundrank#24$3.9MOL·Alabama·$26M($17.8M–$34.3M)·RAS6.38· size-driven↑ 14 vs consensus

First-round OL profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50; the knock: HS recruit rating.

Career outlookElite 74%
Bust probability· low confidence6%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #37PHIY1 11.1
25
Alex Leatherwood

Alex Leatherwood

1st Roundrank#25$3.8MOL·Alabama·6'5", 312 lb·$3.9M($0M–$12.2M)·RAS8.28· explosion-driven↑ 20 vs consensus

First-round OL profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, athleticism (RAS); the knock: HS recruit rating.

Bust probability· low confidence6%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #17LVRY1 11.5
26
Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne

1st Roundrank#26$3.7MRB·Clemson·5'10", 215 lb·22.3 yrs·$12.2M($6.2M–$18.3M)·RAS6.54· speed-driven

First-round RB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, charting elusive.

Career outlookElite 32%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence10%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #25JAX
27
Kadarius Toney

Kadarius Toney

1st Roundrank#27$3.7MWR·Florida·5'11", 193 lb·22.3 yrs·$3.7M($0M–$9.7M)·RAS6.58· explosion-driven

First-round WR profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting pass grade max; the knock: production trajectory.

Bust probability8%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #20NYGY1 9.0
28
Jaycee Horn

Jaycee Horn

1st Roundrank#28$3.6MCB·South Carolina·6'0", 205 lb·21.4 yrs·$17.6M($10.8M–$24.4M)·RAS8.86↓ 15 vs consensus

First-round CB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, charting pass rush grade max.

Career outlookElite 47%
Bust probability· low confidence1%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #8CARY1 1.6
29
Zaven Collins

Zaven Collins

1st Roundrank#29$3.6MLB·Tulsa·6'4", 259 lb·21.9 yrs·$11.8M($2.5M–$21.2M)·RAS5.30· size-driven

First-round LB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50; the knock: HS recruit rating.

Career outlookElite 23%(tails only)
Bust probability<1%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #16ARIY1 2.7
30
Christian Barmore

Christian Barmore

1st Roundrank#30$3.5MDL·Alabama·6'4", 310 lb·21.8 yrs·$11.2M($1.8M–$20.5M)·RAS6.27

First-round DL profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: charting: average depth of target allowed, career avg.

Career outlookElite 25%(tails only)
Bust probability15%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #38NWEY1 3.2
31
Creed Humphrey

Creed Humphrey

1st Roundrank#31$3.5MOL·Oklahoma·6'4", 302 lb·$23.1M($14.8M–$31.3M)·RAS6.64· agility-driven↑ 18 vs consensus

First-round OL profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, athlete×producer interaction, age.

Career outlookElite 78%
Bust probability· low confidence4%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #63KANY1 16.8
32
Azeez Ojulari

Azeez Ojulari

1st Roundrank#32$3.4MOLB·Georgia·6'2", 249 lb·20.9 yrs·$8.6M·RAS5.18· speed-driven↓ 13 vs consensus

First-round OLB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: charting run stop pct max.

Career outlookElite 32%(tails only)
Bust probability11%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #50NYGY1 8.4

Day 2

32 prospects · picks #33–#64

Year-1 contributor, year-3 starter timeline. Round 2-3 value.

33
Kenneth Gainwell

Kenneth Gainwell

Day 2RB·Memphis·, 201 lb·22.1 yrs·$5.2M($0M–$11.2M)·RAS4.37· speed-driven↑ 99 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting elusive, HS recruit rating.

Bust probability· low confidence31%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #150PHIY1 12.5
34
Samuel Cosmi

Samuel Cosmi

Day 2rank#34$3.3MOL·Texas·6'5", 314 lb·$17.1M($8.8M–$25.3M)·RAS8.64

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, athleticism (RAS), boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 28%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence1%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #51WASY1 2.4
35
Alim McNeill

Alim McNeill

Day 2DT·North Carolina St.·21.0 yrs·$14M($4.7M–$23.3M)·RAS5.81↑ 58 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, HS recruit rating, charting def grade mean.

Career outlookElite 27%(tails only)
Bust probability22%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #72DETY1 4.7
36
Gregory Rousseau

Gregory Rousseau

Day 2rank#36$3.1MDL·Miami (FL)·6'6", 266 lb·21.1 yrs·$20.2M($10.9M–$29.5M)·RAS6.77· speed-driven

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, HS recruit rating.

Career outlookElite 33%(tails only)
Bust probability6%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #30BUFY1 3.0
37
Caleb Farley

Caleb Farley

Day 2rank#37$3.1MCB·Virginia Tech·22.5 yrs·$4.2M($0M–$11M)·RAS8.98↓ 21 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, rank within position+class. Bust risk elevated (63%).

Bust probability· low confidence63%Elevated risk
Plays like
NFL pick #22TENY1 0.6
38
Eric Stokes

Eric Stokes

Day 2rank#38$3MCB·Georgia·6'0", 194 lb·22.2 yrs·$7.3M($0.5M–$14.1M)·RAS6.80· speed-driven

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, charting coverage grade career avg.

Bust probability· low confidence<1%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #29GNBY1 11.6
39
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Amon-Ra St. Brown

Day 2rank#39$2.9MWR·USC·5'11", 197 lb·21.5 yrs·$33.2M($27.1M–$39.2M)·RAS5.74· explosion-driven↑ 37 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting gap run block grade; the knock: power-5 production share.

Career outlookElite 70%
Bust probability4%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #112DETY1 15.7
40
Kwity Paye

Kwity Paye

Day 2rank#40$2.9MDL·Michigan·6'2", 261 lb·22.4 yrs·$16.3M($7M–$25.7M)·RAS6.60· speed-driven↓ 23 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 37%(tails only)
Bust probability10%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #21INDY1 3.2
41
Liam Eichenberg

Liam Eichenberg

Day 2rank#41$2.8MOL·Notre Dame·6'6", 306 lb·$7.2M($0M–$15.5M)·RAS5.57· agility-driven

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50; the knock: HS recruit rating.

Career outlookElite 22%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence6%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #42MIAY1 11.4
42
D'Wayne Eskridge

D'Wayne Eskridge

Day 2WR·Western Michigan·24.1 yrs·$3.7M($0M–$9.7M)·RAS4.98· speed-driven↑ 68 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting: yards per route run from the slot, best season; the knock: production trajectory.

Bust probability22%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #56SEAY1 5.0
43
Wyatt Davis

Wyatt Davis

Day 2rank#43$2.7MOL·Ohio St.·6'3", 315 lb·$2.7M($0M–$10.9M)·RAS7.27· explosion-driven

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50; the knock: HS recruit rating. Bust risk elevated (63%).

Bust probability· low confidence63%Elevated risk
Plays like
NFL pick #86MINY1 0.0
44
Jamin Davis

Jamin Davis

Day 2rank#44$2.6MLB·Kentucky·6'3", 234 lb·22.4 yrs·$5.1M($0M–$14.5M)·RAS7.94· explosion-driven

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, athleticism (RAS); the knock: production trajectory.

Bust probability14%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #19WASY1 5.8
45
Levi Onwuzurike

Levi Onwuzurike

Day 2DL·Washington·6'2", 290 lb·23.2 yrs·$6.4M($0M–$15.7M)·RAS4.51· speed-driven

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50; the knock: HS recruit rating.

Bust probability15%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #41DETY1 2.0
46
Pat Freiermuth

Pat Freiermuth

Day 2rank#46$2.5MTE·Penn St.·6'5", 251 lb·22.5 yrs·$13.8M($7.7M–$19.8M)·RAS4.03

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, HS recruit rating.

Career outlookElite 25%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence7%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #55PITY1 14.9
47
Trey Smith

Trey Smith

Day 2OL·Tennessee·$10.8M($2.6M–$19.1M)·RAS7.20↑ 35 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting: yards per route run from the slot, best season; the knock: power-5 production share.

Bust probability· low confidence6%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #226KANY1 14.6
48
Nick Bolton

Nick Bolton

Day 2LB·Missouri·5'11", 237 lb·21.1 yrs·$16.6M($7.3M–$25.9M)·RAS2.55· speed-driven

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, HS recruit rating; the knock: charting: pass-rush win rate (true pass sets), career avg.

Career outlookElite 76%
Bust probability6%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #58KANY1 9.1
49
Jalen Mayfield

Jalen Mayfield

Day 2OL·Michigan·$3.4M($0M–$11.7M)·RAS3.93· size-driven

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, HS recruit rating.

Bust probability· low confidence8%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #68ATLY1 9.9
50
Jabril Cox

Jabril Cox

Day 2LB·LSU·6'3", 232 lb·23.0 yrs·$4.1M($0M–$13.4M)·RAS4.78↑ 13 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting run def grade career avg; the knock: charting total career snaps. Bust risk moderate (45%).

Bust probability45%Moderate risk
Plays like
NFL pick #115DALY1 0.1
51
Quinn Meinerz

Quinn Meinerz

Day 2C·Wisconsin–Whitewater·$17.8M($9.5M–$26M)·RAS7.75· speed-driven↑ 21 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, HS recruit rating, charting total career snaps.

Career outlookElite 34%(tails only)
Bust probability4%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #98DENY1 7.4
52
Brady Christensen

Brady Christensen

Day 2OL·BYU·$4.5M($0M–$12.8M)·RAS9.61↑ 57 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, athleticism (RAS), age.

Bust probability· low confidence1%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #70CARY1 5.4
53
Drew Dalman

Drew Dalman

Day 2C·Stanford·6'3", 299 lb·$14.8M($6.5M–$23M)·RAS7.51· explosion-driven↑ 66 vs consensus

What the model likes: athleticism (RAS), age; the knock: boards with him top-100.

Career outlookElite 30%(tails only)
Bust probability3%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #114ATLY1 0.9
54
Camaron Cheeseman

Camaron Cheeseman

Day 2LS·Michigan·$4.3M($1.5M–$7.2M)·RAS3.91· size-driven⚠ barely scouted

What the model likes: age, charting total career snaps.

Bust probability32%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #225WASY1 0.0
55
Richie Grant

Richie Grant

Day 2CB·Central Florida·5'11", 197 lb·23.5 yrs·$5.6M($0M–$12.4M)·RAS5.50

What the model likes: boards with him top-100; the knocks: age, HS recruit rating.

Bust probability· low confidence17%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #40ATLY1 3.0
56
Mac Jones

Mac Jones

Day 2rank#56QB·Alabama·6'2", 217 lb·22.6 yrs·—·RAS5.43· speed-driven↓ 29 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting pass grade max, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 23%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence9%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #15NWEY1 15.6
57
Joseph Ossai

Joseph Ossai

Day 2rank#57$1.9MLB·Texas·6'3", 256 lb·21.0 yrs·$8.3M($0M–$17.6M)·RAS7.72· explosion-driven↓ 20 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, athleticism (RAS); the knock: charting catch rate allowed avg.

Bust probability6%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #69CIN
58
Jevon Holland

Jevon Holland

Day 2rank#58$1.9MS·Oregon·6'0", 207 lb·21.2 yrs·$15.3M($8.5M–$22.1M)·RAS6.55

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, HS recruit rating; the knock: charting pass rush snap weighted.

Career outlookElite 66%
Bust probability· low confidence<1%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #36MIAY1 12.2
59
Terrace Marshall Jr.

Terrace Marshall Jr.

Day 2rank#59$1.9MWR·LSU·6'2", 205 lb·20.9 yrs·$4.2M($0M–$10.2M)·RAS7.82↓ 28 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, athleticism (RAS); the knock: charting: deep-route grade, final season.

Bust probability4%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #59CARY1 6.6
60
Dyami Brown

Dyami Brown

Day 2rank#60$1.8MWR·North Carolina·6'0", 189 lb·21.5 yrs·$6.5M($0.5M–$12.5M)·RAS5.02· speed-driven

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting: yards per route run from the slot, best season; the knock: charting screen target pct career avg.

Bust probability17%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #82WASY1 5.9
61
Cameron McGrone

Cameron McGrone

Day 2LB·Michigan·20.9 yrs·$3.1M($0M–$12.5M)↑ 30 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, HS recruit rating, production trajectory. Bust risk moderate (43%).

Bust probability43%Moderate risk
Plays like
NFL pick #177NWE
62
Evan McPherson

Evan McPherson

Day 2K·Florida·5'11", 185 lb·21.8 yrs·$5.1M($2.2M–$8M)·RAS2.42⚠ barely scouted

What the model likes: age, HS recruit rating.

Career outlookElite 25%(tails only)
Bust probability31%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #149CINY1 0.0
63
Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson

Day 2RB·Oklahoma·5'11", 231 lb·23.2 yrs·$9.8M($3.8M–$15.8M)·RAS4.29· size-driven↑ 81 vs consensus

What the model likes: charting: yards per route run from the slot, best season, charting elusive; the knock: boards with him top-100.

Bust probability· low confidence11%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #120NWEY1 11.9
64
Milton Williams

Milton Williams

Day 2DL·Louisiana Tech·6'3", 284 lb·22.1 yrs·$12.7M($3.4M–$22.1M)·RAS7.79· explosion-driven↑ 30 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, athleticism (RAS); the knock: scout consensus.

Bust probability15%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #73PHIY1 2.5
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