2021 class · 20 prospects

Linebacker LB

Tackle + PBU production combined with speed + agility. The most consensus-driven of the front-seven positions.

Likeliest career, by the outcome model.

How many linebackers land in each career bucket as the model's single most likely finish. This is a different question from the board grades below — a prospect can be a Day 3 grade and still have “starter” as his likeliest outcome. The tails (elite, bust) are where the model separates; the middle two buckets sit close to a coin flip.

Elite
5
Pro-Bowl-caliber career
Starter
3
Multi-year NFL starter
Role
9
Rotational / depth
Bust
3
Likeliest outcome is a bust
Likeliest career across the LB class
Elite
5
Starter
3
Role
9
Bust
3

The board.

All 20 linebackers with a draftable grade on Draftanomics's 2021 board, tier by tier.

Blue Chip1 player

Only Micah Parsons carries a blue-chip grade at linebacker — the Penn St. product projects No. 6 overall. The break below is soft: Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah projects just 7 projected picks after Parsons, so the tier line is a label more than a wall.

6
Micah Parsons
Penn St.· 6'3" · 246 lb· consensus #11
A blue-chip grade with the room in agreement — consensus No. 11.
Blue Chip
bust risk 10%
1st Round2 players

Two names carry a first-round grade — Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah in front at No. 13, Zaven Collins close behind at No. 29. The drop to Jamin Davis is 15 projected picks: a step, not a cliff.

13
Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah
Notre Dame· 6'1" · 221 lb· consensus #14
A first-round grade with the room in agreement — consensus No. 14.
1st Round
bust risk 6%
29
Zaven Collins
Tulsa· 6'4" · 259 lb· consensus #24
A first-round grade with the room in agreement — consensus No. 24.
1st Round
bust risk 0%
Day 28 players

Jamin Davis leads a 8-deep Day 2 group — the meat of the LB board — starting at a projected No. 44 overall. The drop behind Werner is the story — Baron Browning does not come off the board for another 23 picks. Inside the tier, the model's fight is Chazz Surratt: it says No. 72, the room says No. 115.

44
Jamin Davis
Kentucky· 6'3" · 234 lb· consensus #42
A Day 2 grade with the room in agreement — consensus No. 42.
Day 2
bust risk 14%
48
Nick Bolton
Missouri· 5'11" · 237 lb· consensus #56
A Day 2 grade with the room in agreement — consensus No. 56.
Day 2
bust risk 6%
50
Jabril Cox
LSU· 6'3" · 232 lb· consensus #63
A Day 2 grade with the room in agreement — consensus No. 63.
Day 2
bust risk 45%
57
Joseph Ossai
Texas· 6'3" · 256 lb· consensus #37
A Day 2 grade, though the room is higher on him — consensus No. 37.
Day 2
bust risk 6%
61
Cameron McGrone
Michigan· consensus #91
A Day 2 grade the room hasn't caught up to — consensus No. 91.
Day 2
bust risk 43%
72
Chazz Surratt
North Carolina· 6'2" · 229 lb· consensus #115
A Day 2 grade the room hasn't caught up to — consensus No. 115.
Day 2
bust risk 20%
97
Garret Wallow
TCU
A Day 2 grade, No. 97 on our board.
Day 2
bust risk 11%
Day 39 players

This is where the class lives: 9 linebackers carry a Day 3 grade, with Baron Browning out of Ohio St. at the front of the line at No. 124 overall. One split worth knowing: consensus puts Monty Rice at No. 111, 40 spots above our call.