2021 NFL Draft · recap
Post-draft synthesis: how the league's hauls graded, what Draftanomics's biggest hits and misses were, where the class shape ended up, and which teams held the capital advantage going in.
Hits
35
model rated higher, player produced
Misses
19
model rated higher, player busted
Saves
11
model rated lower, player busted
Net edge
-11
Class shape
OL/ST/QB deep
- Offensive lineelite-depth
- RB / WR / TEaverage
- CB / Saverage
- EDGE / DL / LBaverage
- Specialistselite-depth
- QBelite-depth
Best hauls
- BALBSolid value haul (+34.9 mean pick delta vs model). Filled positions of typical need (100% of picks).Headlined by Rashod Bateman (WR) at pick 27
- HOUBSolid value haul (+25.4 mean pick delta vs model). Filled positions of typical need (100% of picks).Headlined by Davis Mills (QB) at pick 67
- JAXBSolid value haul (+29.0 mean pick delta vs model). Filled positions of typical need (78% of picks).Headlined by Trevor Lawrence (QB) at pick 1
Worst hauls
- NWEFReaches across the board (-25.8 mean delta). Filled positions of typical need (88% of picks).Headlined by Mac Jones (QB) at pick 15
- CHIFReaches across the board (-36.6 mean delta). Filled positions of typical need (86% of picks).Headlined by Justin Fields (QB) at pick 11
- CARFReaches across the board (-24.2 mean delta). Filled positions of typical need (73% of picks).Headlined by Jaycee Horn (CB) at pick 8
Biggest hits
- Amon-Ra St. BrownWRIQ #39 · NFL #112
- Michael CarterRBIQ #23 · NFL #107
- Trey SmithOLIQ #47 · NFL #226
Biggest misses
- Pressley Harvin IIIPIQ #113 · NFL #254
Capital advantage going in
JAX led the league with the most capital; HOU had the least. League total: 627 CS points across 32 teams.
Full 2021 board →