Defensive tackle DT
Sacks + TFLs + Senior Bowl. Athletic testing weighted higher for IDL than EDGE.
Likeliest career, by the outcome model.
How many defensive tackles land in each career bucket as the model's single most likely finish. This is a different question from the board grades below — a prospect can be a Day 3 grade and still have “starter” as his likeliest outcome. The tails (elite, bust) are where the model separates; the middle two buckets sit close to a coin flip.
The board.
All 6 defensive tackles with a draftable grade on Draftanomics's 2021 board, tier by tier.
The top shelf is bare: no defensive tackle in the 2021 class earns a blue-chip grade.
Nobody here. The class simply skips the first-round tier at defensive tackle.
Alim McNeill and Tommy Togiai make up the Day 2 tier, projected No. 35 and No. 70 overall. Then the board falls off a cliff — 42 projected picks between Togiai and Daviyon Nixon, the next name down. The model is planting a flag on Tommy Togiai, 88 spots ahead of where the room ranks him (No. 158).
The Day 3 tier runs from Daviyon Nixon at No. 112 down to Phil Hoskins at No. 189. The risk in the group is Daviyon Nixon: 46 percent by a bust model that has earned trust at defensive tackle.