Offensive line OL
Athleticism + games started + Senior Bowl invite carry most of the weight — college stats say little about offensive line play. Older classes are filed under the single line code rather than tackle/guard/center.
Likeliest career, by the outcome model.
How many offensive linemen land in each career bucket as the model's single most likely finish. This is a different question from the board grades below — a prospect can be a Day 3 grade and still have “starter” as his likeliest outcome. The tails (elite, bust) are where the model separates; the middle two buckets sit close to a coin flip.
The board.
All 47 offensive linemen with a draftable grade on Draftanomics's 2024 board, tier by tier.
The blue-chip tier runs from Joe Alt at No. 1 down to Taliese Fuaga at No. 6. Barely a seam here — Amarius Mims comes off just 6 picks later. Notably clean, too — nobody in the group trips the bust model, which has real signal at offensive lineman.
Amarius Mims leads a 7-deep first-round group — the meat of the OL board — starting at a projected No. 12 overall. The break below is soft: Jordan Morgan projects just 2 projected picks after Haynes, so the tier line is a label more than a wall. Cooper Beebe is the argument in this tier — No. 17 on our board against a consensus No. 44.
The Day 2 tier runs 16 deep, opening with Jordan Morgan out of Arizona at No. 34 and closing with Tanor Bortolini at No. 104. No cliff at the bottom, either: Jarrett Kingston is 2 projected picks behind Bortolini. No red flags either — the tier's worst bust number is just 17 percent, from a model that reads offensive linemans well.
Jarrett Kingston leads a 21-deep Day 3 group — the meat of the OL board — starting at a projected No. 106 overall. One split worth knowing: consensus puts Nathan Thomas at No. 57, 113 spots above our call.