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rank#142$1.1M
Limited public-board coverage (1 board) — grade leans on stats + athleticism alone
Backtest: model vs. reality
The model graded Giovanni Manu at pick #142; he was actually picked #126 by DET. The 4-tier model has him as a likely starter. Model expects a second-deal AAV around $7M/yr.
Overview
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Draftanomics Rank
Low conviction#142OL·British Columbia
The league moved faster than our board — DET took him at No. 126, 16 picks ahead of our No. 142 grade. His career is settling that argument now.
Draftanomics's take
Draftanomics had Giovanni Manu at #142 on draft night — a Day 3 grade — and DET took him at No. 126. The model's case leans on his age curve. Bust risk projects at 6%, below the position median — the model has a tight grade. The room had him #220 pre-draft; our board was 78 spots higher.
Written from the live model's numbers — projected to round 5, and it updates whenever the model does. See for what drives the take.
Scouting report
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Why this grade
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
Consensus
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Production
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Risk
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
Team fit
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Will he be there?
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Comps
Historical players this prospect resembles
Film & notes
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports