On the live board, bust risk sits at 24% and the realistic range is No. 33 to No. 210.
A 6-foot-5, 225-pound X-receiver, he turned 30 catches into 618 yards last season, a 20.6-yards-per-catch clip that jumped from 14.5 the year before. Nyck Harbor, the South Carolina WR, sits at No. 89 overall on the model board for the 2027 class, 45 spots above the No. 134 he's getting on the four public boards that make up the consensus. The system's tier read still calls him a projected starter, not a finished product.
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Model and consensus see the same player here. No reason to second-guess this rank.
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Historical players this prospect resembles
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports
Draftanomics ranks Nyck Harbor at #89 overall — a Day 2 grade. The model's case leans on his age curve. Bust risk projects at 24%, below the position median — the model has a tight grade. Public consensus has him #134; Draftanomics's board is 45 spots higher.
Written from the live model's numbers — projected to round 3, and it updates whenever the model does. See methodology for what drives the take.
Read the two ends and skim the middle: the model has a real track record telling stars and busts apart, but “solid starter vs. rotation guy” is close to a coin flip from public data — that's why those two bars are grayed. For his odds of outright busting, the Bust-risk panel next door is the number to trust.
The bracketed ranges show how far each number could reasonably move — they come from how 23–57 similar players in past drafts actually turned out.
4 public boards track this prospect. Per-board breakdown loads with the live board.
Highlight reels indexed from YouTube. Loads only when you press play.
Working in his favor: age and hS recruit rating. Working against him: power-5 production share.
The grade is the 0-to-1 score the board sorts by — it only means something next to the rest of this class, which is why the rank above it is the number to quote.
Outcome shares from the 4-tier model. The Bust share here is a different model than the headline bust probability — for bust risk, use that number.
Everything that could go wrong with Nyck Harbor, gathered in one place — the most serious flags listed first.
Named, concrete signals — every flag cites numbers, comp players, or schedule context.
Closest historical matches among prior Unclassified prospects who were drafted, by overall statistical profile. A smaller distance means a closer match.
| Player | Pos | Year | Pick | Snap trajectory | Career arc | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Williams | WR | 2025 | #69 | no data | TBD | 1.34 |
| LaJohntay Wester | WR | 2025 | #203 | no data | TBD | 1.45 |
| Konata Mumpfield | WR | 2025 | #242 | no data | TBD | 1.59 |
| Pat Bryant | WR | 2025 | #74 | no data | TBD | 1.67 |
| Ricky White | WR | 2025 | #238 | no data | TBD | 1.83 |
Roster-based need returns once the 2026 season is played — grading this year’s teams on last year’s depth chart would be guessing. What’s knowable now: the teams holding picks around No. 89, and which of them already spent premium capital at Unclassified in the 2026 draft.
Gold means no recent premium investment at Unclassified — the cleaner fit on paper. Grey means they already spent one.