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RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
← Draftanomics
Past class — locked, then graded

2025 NFL Draft

A past class. The model never saw these players when it learned — this board is what Draftanomics would have said on draft night, graded against how the careers actually played out.

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Top 64 of 256 prospects in this draft class
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64 of 64 prospects shown · ranked by the career-value model

Blue Chip

6 prospects · picks #1–#6

Day-1 starter ceiling. The class's franchise pieces.

1
Ashton Jeanty

Ashton Jeanty

Blue ChipRB·Boise St.·5'9", 211 lb·21.4 yrs·$1M($0M–$7M)

Blue-chip RB ceiling. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 50%
Bust probability· low confidence10%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #6LVRY1 2.8
2
Mason Graham

Mason Graham

Blue ChipDT·Michigan·6'4", 296 lb·21.6 yrs·$1M($0M–$10.3M)

Blue-chip DT ceiling. What the model likes: scout consensus, boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 52%
Bust probability10%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · HS recruit rating · Age — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #5CLEY1 -2.2
3
TreVeyon Henderson

TreVeyon Henderson

Blue ChipRB·Ohio St.·5'10", 202 lb·22.5 yrs·$1M($0M–$7M)·404.43↑ 38 vs consensus

Blue-chip RB ceiling. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting rush grade, boards with him top-50.

Bust probability· low confidence14%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Athleticism · Scout consensus — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #38NWEY1 2.9
4
Armand Membou

Armand Membou

Blue ChipOL·Missouri·$1M($0M–$9.2M)

Blue-chip OL ceiling. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 49%
Bust probability· low confidence<1%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · HS recruit rating · Age — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #7NYJ
5
Jahdae Barron

Jahdae Barron

Blue ChipCB·Texas·5'11", 194 lb·23.4 yrs·$1M($0M–$7.8M)·404.39↑ 13 vs consensus

Blue-chip CB ceiling. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 40%
Bust probability· low confidence15%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Schedule-adjusted production — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #20DENY1 -3.0
6
Will Campbell

Will Campbell

Blue ChipOT·LSU·6'6", 319 lb·$1M($0M–$9.2M)·404.98

Blue-chip OT ceiling. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 51%
Bust probability· low confidence<1%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · HS recruit rating · Age — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #4NWE

1st Round

26 prospects · picks #7–#32

Year-1 starter probability. First-round capital.

7
Kelvin Banks

Kelvin Banks

1st RoundOL·Texas·$1M($0M–$9.2M)

First-round OL profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 39%
Bust probability· low confidence7%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · HS recruit rating — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #9NOR
8
Tyler Warren

Tyler Warren

1st RoundTE·Penn St.·6'6", 256 lb·22.9 yrs·$1M($0M–$7M)

First-round TE profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 48%
Bust probability· low confidence6%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #14INDY1 2.9
9
Abdul Carter

Abdul Carter

1st RoundEDGE·Penn St.·6'3", 250 lb·21.3 yrs·$1M($0M–$10.3M)

First-round EDGE profile. What the model likes: scout consensus, boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 51%
Bust probability10%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Schedule-adjusted production — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #3NYGY1 -2.5
10
Tetairoa McMillan

Tetairoa McMillan

1st RoundWR·Arizona·6'4", 219 lb·22.1 yrs·$1M($0M–$7M)

First-round WR profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 41%
Bust probability7%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · HS recruit rating — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #8CARY1 3.1
11
Cam Ward

Cam Ward

1st RoundQB·Miami (FL)·22.9 yrs·—

First-round QB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, charting pass grade max.

Career outlookElite 48%
Bust probability· low confidence3%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · HS recruit rating — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #1TENY1 3.0
12
Jalon Walker

Jalon Walker

1st RoundEDGE·Georgia·21.2 yrs·$1M($0M–$10.3M)

First-round EDGE profile. What the model likes: scout consensus, boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 50%
Bust probability<1%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · HS recruit rating · Age — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #15ATLY1 -2.8
13
Omarion Hampton

Omarion Hampton

1st RoundRB·North Carolina·6'0", 221 lb·22.1 yrs·$1M($0M–$7M)·404.46↑ 15 vs consensus

First-round RB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, charting rush grade.

Bust probability· low confidence13%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · HS recruit rating — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #22LACY1 0.6
14
Mike Green

Mike Green

1st RoundEDGE·Marshall·6'3", 251 lb·21.7 yrs·$1M($0M–$10.3M)

First-round EDGE profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 41%
Bust probability<1%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Athleticism — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #59BALY1 -2.6
15
Travis Hunter

Travis Hunter

1st RoundWR·Colorado·21.9 yrs·$1M($0M–$7M)↓ 14 vs consensus

First-round WR profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: charting: deep-route grade, final season.

Career outlookElite 51%
Bust probability5%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #2JAXY1 -0.5
16
Nick Emmanwori

Nick Emmanwori

1st RoundSAF·South Carolina·6'3", 220 lb·21.2 yrs·$1M·404.38↑ 15 vs consensus

First-round SAF profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, number of boards ranking him.

Bust probability9%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Athleticism · HS recruit rating · Scout consensus — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #35SEAY1 -2.5
17
Walter Nolen

Walter Nolen

1st RoundDT·Mississippi·6'4", 296 lb·21.5 yrs·$1M($0M–$10.3M)

First-round DT profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 39%
Bust probability10%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #16ARIY1 -3.1
18
Malaki Starks

Malaki Starks

1st RoundSAF·Georgia·6'1", 197 lb·21.4 yrs·$1M·404.50

First-round SAF profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 39%
Bust probability12%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #27BALY1 -2.3
19
Will Johnson

Will Johnson

1st RoundCB·Michigan·6'2", 194 lb·22.1 yrs·$1M($0M–$7.8M)

First-round CB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 48%
Bust probability· low confidence6%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #47ARIY1 -2.6
20
Colston Loveland

Colston Loveland

1st RoundTE·Michigan·6'6", 248 lb·21.0 yrs·$1M($0M–$7M)

First-round TE profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 40%
Bust probability· low confidence5%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #10CHIY1 2.8
21
Donovan Ezeiruaku

Donovan Ezeiruaku

1st RoundEDGE·Boston Col.·6'3", 248 lb·21.6 yrs·$1M($0M–$10.3M)·VERT35.5"

First-round EDGE profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, number of boards ranking him.

Bust probability<1%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #44DALY1 -2.7
22
Emeka Egbuka

Emeka Egbuka

1st RoundWR·Ohio St.·6'1", 202 lb·22.5 yrs·$1M($0M–$7M)

First-round WR profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Bust probability9%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #19TAMY1 2.9
23
Tyler Booker

Tyler Booker

1st RoundOL·Alabama·$1M($0M–$9.2M)

First-round OL profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, scout consensus.

Bust probability· low confidence9%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #12DAL
24
Luther Burden

Luther Burden

1st RoundWR·Missouri·6'0", 206 lb·21.4 yrs·$1M($0M–$7M)·404.41

First-round WR profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50; the knock: charting missed tackle rate.

Bust probability<1%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #39CHIY1 2.4
25
Josh Conerly

Josh Conerly

1st RoundOL·Oregon·$1M($0M–$9.2M)

First-round OL profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, scout consensus.

Bust probability· low confidence2%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #29WAS
26
Kenneth Grant

Kenneth Grant

1st RoundDT·Michigan·6'4", 331 lb·21.5 yrs·$1M($0M–$10.3M)

First-round DT profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, HS recruit rating.

Bust probability9%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #13MIAY1 -2.7
27
Jihaad Campbell

Jihaad Campbell

1st RoundLB·Alabama·6'3", 235 lb·21.2 yrs·$1M($0M–$10.3M)·404.52↓ 15 vs consensus

First-round LB profile. What the model likes: scout consensus, boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 44%
Bust probability10%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #31PHIY1 -2.6
28
Mason Taylor

Mason Taylor

1st RoundTE·LSU·6'5", 251 lb·21.0 yrs·$1M($0M–$7M)↑ 22 vs consensus

First-round TE profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, scout consensus.

Bust probability· low confidence21%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #42NYJY1 2.0
29
Xavier Watts

Xavier Watts

1st RoundSAF·Notre Dame·6'0", 204 lb·23.4 yrs·$1M↑ 25 vs consensus

First-round SAF profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, charting gap run block grade.

Bust probability1%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #96ATLY1 -2.2
30
Grey Zabel

Grey Zabel

1st RoundOT·North Dakota St.·6'6", 312 lb·$1M($0M–$9.2M)·VERT36.5"

First-round OT profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, athleticism (combine), boards with him top-50.

Bust probability· low confidence15%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #18SEA
31
Mykel Williams

Mykel Williams

1st RoundDL·Georgia·20.8 yrs·$1M($0M–$10.3M)↓ 12 vs consensus

First-round DL profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, boards with him top-50.

Career outlookElite 41%
Bust probability<1%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #11SFOY1 -2.9
32
Aireontae Ersery

Aireontae Ersery

1st RoundOL·Minnesota·$1M($0M–$9.2M)↑ 13 vs consensus

First-round OL profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, scout consensus.

Bust probability· low confidence15%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #48HOU

Day 2

32 prospects · picks #33–#64

Year-1 contributor, year-3 starter timeline. Round 2-3 value.

33
Dylan Sampson

Dylan Sampson

Day 2RB·Tennessee·5'8", 200 lb·20.6 yrs·$1M($0M–$7M)·VERT35"↑ 90 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting rush grade, charting: yards per route run from the slot, career avg.

Bust probability· low confidence14%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #126CLEY1 2.0
34
Josh Simmons

Josh Simmons

Day 2OL·Ohio St.·$1M($0M–$9.2M)

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, scout consensus.

Bust probability· low confidence2%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #32KAN
35
Shemar Stewart

Shemar Stewart

Day 2EDGE·Texas A&M·6'5", 267 lb·21.4 yrs·$1M($0M–$10.3M)·404.59↓ 18 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: charting missed tackle rate.

Career outlookElite 40%
Bust probability24%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #17CINY1 -3.0
36
Quinshon Judkins

Quinshon Judkins

Day 2RB·Ohio St.·6'0", 221 lb·21.5 yrs·$1M($0M–$7M)·404.48↑ 17 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting rush grade, boards with him top-50.

Bust probability· low confidence11%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #36CLEY1 2.1
37
Donovan Jackson

Donovan Jackson

Day 2OL·Ohio St.·$1M($0M–$9.2M)

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50; the knock: HS recruit rating.

Bust probability· low confidence12%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #24MIN
38
Carson Schwesinger

Carson Schwesinger

Day 2LB·UCLA·6'3", 242 lb·22.2 yrs·$1M($0M–$10.3M)·VERT39.5"

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50; the knock: charting total career snaps.

Career outlookElite 28%(tails only)
Bust probability12%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #33CLEY1 -2.3
39
Jonah Savaiinaea

Jonah Savaiinaea

Day 2OL·Arizona·$1M($0M–$9.2M)↑ 23 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, HS recruit rating; the knock: charting gap run block grade.

Bust probability· low confidence1%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #37MIA
40
Jayden Higgins

Jayden Higgins

Day 2WR·Iowa St.·6'4", 214 lb·22.4 yrs·$1M($0M–$7M)·404.47

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50; the knock: charting: intermediate-route grade, career avg.

Career outlookElite 29%(tails only)
Bust probability3%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #34HOUY1 2.9
41
Jaylin Noel

Jaylin Noel

Day 2WR·Iowa St.·5'10", 194 lb·22.6 yrs·$1M($0M–$7M)·404.39↑ 15 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50; the knock: charting: deep-route grade, final season.

Bust probability16%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #79HOUY1 2.5
42
Kyle Williams

Kyle Williams

Day 2WR·Washington St.·5'11", 190 lb·22.4 yrs·$1M($0M–$7M)·404.40↑ 56 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, age; the knock: charting: deep-route grade, final season.

Bust probability21%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #69NWEY1 2.8
43
Jalen Royals

Jalen Royals

Day 2WR·Utah St.·6'0", 205 lb·22.2 yrs·$1M($0M–$7M)·404.42↑ 41 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting: yards per route run from the slot, best season, charting: yards per route run from the slot, career avg.

Bust probability27%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #133KANY1 -0.7
44
Charles Grant

Charles Grant

Day 2OL·William & Mary·$1M($0M–$9.2M)↑ 58 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, HS recruit rating, age.

Bust probability· low confidence11%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #99LVR
45
Nic Scourton

Nic Scourton

Day 2EDGE·Texas A&M·6'3", 257 lb·20.7 yrs·$1M($0M–$10.3M)

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, number of boards ranking him.

Bust probability5%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #51CARY1 -2.5
46
Marcus Mbow

Marcus Mbow

Day 2OL·Purdue·$1M($0M–$9.2M)↑ 24 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, age; the knock: school strength.

Bust probability· low confidence8%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #154NYG
47
Harold Fannin

Harold Fannin

Day 2TE·Bowling Green·6'3", 241 lb·20.8 yrs·$1M($0M–$7M)·404.71↑ 50 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting elusive; the knock: charting: deep-route grade, final season.

Bust probability· low confidence5%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #67CLEY1 2.7
48
Miles Frazier

Miles Frazier

Day 2G·LSU·6'6", 317 lb·$1M($0M–$9.2M)·405.24↑ 57 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, age, charting total career snaps.

Bust probability<1%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #171DET
49
Jaxson Dart

Jaxson Dart

Day 2QB·Mississippi·6'2", 223 lb·21.9 yrs·—

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting pass grade max, boards with him top-50.

Bust probability· low confidence4%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #25NYGY1 2.4
50
Kevin Winston

Kevin Winston

Day 2SAF·Penn St.·6'2", 215 lb·21.4 yrs·$1M↑ 23 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting run def grade career avg, HS recruit rating.

Bust probability27%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #82TENY1 -3.0
51
James Pearce

James Pearce

Day 2EDGE·Tennessee·6'5", 245 lb·21.5 yrs·$1M($0M–$10.3M)·404.47↓ 21 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50; the knock: charting: average depth of target allowed, career avg.

Bust probability17%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #26ATLY1 -2.7
52
Shedeur Sanders

Shedeur Sanders

Day 2QB·Colorado·6'2", 212 lb·23.2 yrs·—↓ 28 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting pass grade max, boards with him top-50.

Bust probability· low confidence14%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #144CLEY1 -0.0
53
Emery Jones

Emery Jones

Day 2OL·LSU·$1M($0M–$9.2M)↑ 82 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, HS recruit rating; the knock: scout consensus.

Bust probability· low confidence19%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #91BAL
54
Tre Harris

Tre Harris

Day 2WR·Mississippi·23.1 yrs·$1M($0M–$7M)

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting: yards per route run from the slot, best season; the knock: charting: deep-route grade, final season.

Bust probability<1%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #55LACY1 2.7
55
Tate Ratledge

Tate Ratledge

Day 2OL·Georgia·$1M($0M–$9.2M)↑ 12 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting gap run block grade; the knock: HS recruit rating.

Bust probability· low confidence16%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #57DET
56
Derrick Harmon

Derrick Harmon

Day 2DT·Oregon·6'5", 313 lb·21.7 yrs·$1M($0M–$10.3M)·404.95↓ 30 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50; the knock: charting missed tackle rate.

Bust probability9%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #21PITY1 -2.9
57
Anthony Belton

Anthony Belton

Day 2OT·North Carolina St.·6'6", 336 lb·$1M($0M–$9.2M)·405.26↑ 81 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, HS recruit rating; the knock: scout consensus.

Bust probability· low confidence2%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #54GNB
58
Demetrius Knight

Demetrius Knight

Day 2LB·South Carolina·6'2", 235 lb·25.3 yrs·$1M($0M–$10.3M)·404.58↑ 56 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, number of boards ranking him; the knock: age.

Bust probability8%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #49CINY1 -2.5
59
Matthew Golden

Matthew Golden

Day 2WR·Texas·5'11", 191 lb·21.7 yrs·$1M($0M–$7M)·404.29↓ 34 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50; the knock: charting: deep-route grade, final season.

Bust probability<1%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #23GNBY1 2.2
60
Azareye'h Thomas

Azareye'h Thomas

Day 2CB·Florida St.·6'2", 197 lb·20.8 yrs·$1M($0M–$7.8M)↓ 12 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50, HS recruit rating.

Bust probability· low confidence5%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #73NYJY1 -3.0
61
Benjamin Morrison

Benjamin Morrison

Day 2CB·Notre Dame·6'0", 193 lb·21.1 yrs·$1M($0M–$7.8M)↓ 12 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50; the knock: charting catch rate allowed avg.

Bust probability· low confidence11%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #53TAMY1 -2.9
62
Ozzy Trapilo

Ozzy Trapilo

Day 2OL·Boston Col.·$1M($0M–$9.2M)↑ 25 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting gap run block grade; the knock: HS recruit rating.

Bust probability· low confidence11%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #56CHI
63
Darius Alexander

Darius Alexander

Day 2DT·Toledo·6'4", 305 lb·24.7 yrs·$1M($0M–$10.3M)·404.95↓ 12 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, boards with him top-50; the knock: age.

Bust probability9%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #65NYGY1 -2.9
64
Elic Ayomanor

Elic Ayomanor

Day 2WR·Stanford·6'2", 206 lb·21.9 yrs·$1M($0M–$7M)·404.44↑ 17 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, athleticism (combine), charting gap run block grade.

Bust probability13%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #136TENY1 2.7
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