Defensive tackle DT
Sacks + TFLs + Senior Bowl. Athletic testing weighted higher for IDL than EDGE.
Likeliest career, by the outcome model.
How many defensive tackles land in each career bucket as the model's single most likely finish. This is a different question from the board grades below — a prospect can be a Day 3 grade and still have “starter” as his likeliest outcome. The tails (elite, bust) are where the model separates; the middle two buckets sit close to a coin flip.
The board.
All 24 defensive tackles with a draftable grade on Draftanomics's 2025 board, tier by tier.
Mason Graham out of Michigan is the blue-chip tier by himself, projected No. 2 overall. There is a real step down from there — Walter Nolen sits 15 projected picks behind Graham.
Two names carry a first-round grade — Walter Nolen in front at No. 17, Kenneth Grant close behind at No. 26. Mind the gap after Grant: Derrick Harmon is next, and he is 30 picks away. Notably clean, too — nobody in the group trips the bust model, which has real signal at defensive tackle.
This is where the class lives: 7 defensive tackles carry a Day 2 grade, with Derrick Harmon out of Oregon at the front of the line at No. 56 overall. After Robinson the board breathes — Deone Walker projects 14 picks later. Joshua Farmer carries the tier's risk, a 40 percent bust probability from a model with real signal at defensive tackle.
The Day 3 tier runs 14 deep, opening with Deone Walker out of Kentucky at No. 110 and closing with Tonka Hemingway at No. 209. Vernon Broughton is the tier's dissent — the room ranks him No. 69, our board waits until No. 156.