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RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
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← Draftanomics
Past class — locked, then graded

2024 NFL Draft

A past class. The model never saw these players when it learned — this board is what Draftanomics would have said on draft night, graded against how the careers actually played out.

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Top 64 of 256 prospects in this draft class
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64 of 64 prospects shown · ranked by the career-value model

Blue Chip

6 prospects · picks #1–#6

Day-1 starter ceiling. The class's franchise pieces.

1
Joe Alt

Joe Alt

Blue Chiprank#1$12.2MOL·Notre Dame·$15.2M($6.9M–$23.4M)·RAS8.08· agility-driven

Blue-chip OL ceiling. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, athleticism (RAS).

Career outlookElite 55%
Bust probability· low confidence1%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Athleticism · Age — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #5LACY1 13.8
2
Drake Maye

Drake Maye

Blue Chiprank#2QB·North Carolina·6'4", 223 lb·21.6 yrs·—·RAS6.83

Blue-chip QB ceiling. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, rank within position+class.

Career outlookElite 43%
Bust probability· low confidence17%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Age · Athleticism — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #3NWEY1 11.4
3
Terrion Arnold

Terrion Arnold

Blue Chiprank#3$10.5MCB·Alabama·6'0", 189 lb·21.1 yrs·$10.5M($3.7M–$17.3M)·RAS4.04· explosion-driven

Blue-chip CB ceiling. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, SOS-weighted production.

Career outlookElite 35%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence16%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Schedule-adjusted production · HS recruit rating — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #24DETY1 11.1
4
Olumuyiwa Fashanu

Olumuyiwa Fashanu

Blue Chiprank#4$9.6MOL·Penn St.·$13.2M($4.9M–$21.4M)·RAS6.93

Blue-chip OL ceiling. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, number of boards ranking him.

Career outlookElite 28%— the downside is the likelier end
Bust probability· low confidence2%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · HS recruit rating · Age — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #11NYJY1 6.1
5
Cooper DeJean

Cooper DeJean

Blue Chiprank#5$8.7MCB·Iowa·6'1", 203 lb·21.2 yrs·$11.3M($4.5M–$18.1M)·RAS8.05↑ 13 vs consensus

Blue-chip CB ceiling. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, charting coverage grade career avg.

Career outlookElite 30%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence4%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Athleticism · Age — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #40PHIY1 11.9
6
Taliese Fuaga

Taliese Fuaga

Blue Chiprank#6$8.2MOL·Oregon St.·$12M($3.8M–$20.3M)·RAS7.46

Blue-chip OL ceiling. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, athleticism (RAS).

Career outlookElite 23%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence<1%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Athleticism · Age — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #14NORY1 12.8

1st Round

26 prospects · picks #7–#32

Year-1 starter probability. First-round capital.

7
Chop Robinson

Chop Robinson

1st Roundrank#7$7.7MEDGE·Penn St.·6'3", 254 lb·21.3 yrs·$7.7M($0M–$17M)·RAS7.03· speed-driven↑ 21 vs consensus

First-round EDGE profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, charting pass rush grade.

Career outlookElite 11%(tails only)
Bust probability3%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Athleticism · Age — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #21MIAY1 6.9
8
Caleb Williams

Caleb Williams

1st Roundrank#8QB·USC·6'1", 214 lb·22.4 yrs·—·RAS2.22

First-round QB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, number of boards ranking him.

Career outlookElite 31%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence16%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Age — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #1CHIY1 16.9
9
Rome Odunze

Rome Odunze

1st Roundrank#9$6.9MWR·Washington·6'3", 212 lb·21.9 yrs·$18.9M($12.9M–$24.9M)·RAS7.58

First-round WR profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, SOS-weighted production.

Career outlookElite 31%(tails only)
Bust probability1%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Schedule-adjusted production — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #9CHIY1 16.0
10
Ladd McConkey

Ladd McConkey

1st Roundrank#10$6.7MWR·Georgia·6'0", 186 lb·22.5 yrs·$19M($13M–$25M)·RAS6.55· agility-driven↑ 21 vs consensus

First-round WR profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, number of boards ranking him.

Career outlookElite 22%(tails only)
Bust probability9%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Age — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #34LACY1 15.7
11
J.J. McCarthy

J.J. McCarthy

1st Roundrank#11QB·Michigan·6'3", 219 lb·21.3 yrs·—·RAS6.21· agility-driven

First-round QB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, charting pass grade max.

Career outlookElite 20%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence11%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Age · HS recruit rating — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #10MIN
12
Amarius Mims

Amarius Mims

1st Roundrank#12$6.1MOL·Georgia·$8.5M($0.2M–$16.7M)·RAS7.92· agility-driven

First-round OL profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, athleticism (RAS).

Bust probability· low confidence8%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Athleticism · HS recruit rating — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #18CINY1 9.3
13
Jayden Daniels

Jayden Daniels

1st Roundrank#13QB·LSU·6'4", 210 lb·23.4 yrs·—·RAS4.10

First-round QB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: age.

Career outlookElite 56%
Bust probability· low confidence8%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Schedule-adjusted production — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #2WASY1 18.0
14
Jackson Powers-Johnson

Jackson Powers-Johnson

1st Roundrank#14$5.5MOL·Oregon·$5.5M($0M–$13.8M)·RAS5.87↑ 12 vs consensus

First-round OL profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, charting run def grade career avg.

Bust probability· low confidence3%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · HS recruit rating · Age — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #44LVRY1 11.4
15
Jer'Zhan Newton

Jer'Zhan Newton

1st Roundrank#15$5.2MDL·Illinois·21.6 yrs·$6.8M($0M–$16.1M)·RAS3.94

First-round DL profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, number of boards ranking him.

Career outlookElite 19%(tails only)
Bust probability6%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · Age — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #36WASY1 3.0
16
Brock Bowers

Brock Bowers

1st Roundrank#16$4.9MTE·Georgia·6'3", 243 lb·21.4 yrs·$40M($33.9M–$46M)·RAS1.89↓ 12 vs consensus

First-round TE profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, number of boards ranking him.

Career outlookElite 57%
Bust probability· low confidence5%Low risk
Plays like

What the model likes: Scout consensus · HS recruit rating · Production trajectory — exact weights on hover, full math on the dossier.

NFL pick #13LVRY1 16.6
17
Cooper Beebe

Cooper Beebe

1st Roundrank#17$4.7MOL·Kansas St.·$6.8M($0M–$15.1M)·RAS6.92· agility-driven↑ 27 vs consensus

First-round OL profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, charting gap run block grade.

Career outlookElite 10%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence3%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #73DALY1 12.5
18
Brian Thomas

Brian Thomas

1st Roundrank#18$4.5MWR·LSU·6'3", 209 lb·21.6 yrs·$17.2M($11.2M–$23.2M)·RAS8.28

First-round WR profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: production trajectory.

Career outlookElite 22%(tails only)
Bust probability<1%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #23JAXY1 16.1
19
Quinyon Mitchell

Quinyon Mitchell

1st Roundrank#19$4.3MCB·Toledo·6'0", 195 lb·22.8 yrs·$8.3M($1.5M–$15.1M)·RAS7.42· speed-driven

First-round CB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, number of boards ranking him.

Career outlookElite 27%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence20%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #22PHIY1 15.1
20
Graham Barton

Graham Barton

1st Roundrank#20$4.1MOL·Duke·$8.8M($0.6M–$17.1M)·RAS8.29

First-round OL profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, athleticism (RAS).

Career outlookElite 20%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence1%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #26TAMY1 12.3
21
Troy Fautanu

Troy Fautanu

1st Roundrank#21$4MOL·Washington·$9.3M($1M–$17.5M)·RAS7.43· speed-driven

First-round OL profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, number of boards ranking him.

Career outlookElite 12%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence9%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #20PITY1 0.6
22
Marvin Harrison Jr.

Marvin Harrison Jr.

1st Roundrank#22$4MWR·Ohio St.·6'3", 209 lb·21.7 yrs·$26.6M($20.6M–$32.6M)·RAS7.67↓ 17 vs consensus

First-round WR profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: charting: average depth of target allowed, career avg.

Career outlookElite 39%(tails only)
Bust probability<1%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #4ARIY1 16.0
23
Malik Nabers

Malik Nabers

1st Roundrank#23$3.9MWR·LSU·6'0", 200 lb·20.7 yrs·$21.6M($15.6M–$27.6M)·RAS7.11· explosion-driven↓ 22 vs consensus

First-round WR profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, SOS-weighted production.

Career outlookElite 48%
Bust probability<1%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #6NYGY1 16.4
24
Tyler Guyton

Tyler Guyton

1st Roundrank#24$3.9MOL·Oklahoma·$7.7M($0M–$16M)·RAS7.17· size-driven

First-round OL profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, number of boards ranking him.

Bust probability· low confidence16%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #29DALY1 7.0
25
Dallas Turner

Dallas Turner

1st Roundrank#25$3.8MLB·Alabama·21.2 yrs·$9.3M($0M–$18.7M)·RAS8.67↓ 16 vs consensus

First-round LB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, SOS-weighted production.

Career outlookElite 31%(tails only)
Bust probability5%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #17MINY1 3.7
26
Byron Murphy

Byron Murphy

1st Roundrank#26$3.7MDL·Texas·21.6 yrs·$6.7M($0M–$16M)·RAS5.61· speed-driven

First-round DL profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: production trajectory.

Career outlookElite 16%(tails only)
Bust probability11%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #16SEAY1 2.4
27
Kool-Aid McKinstry

Kool-Aid McKinstry

1st Roundrank#27$3.7MCB·Alabama·6'0", 199 lb·21.6 yrs·$5.1M($0M–$11.9M)·RAS4.46· size-driven

First-round CB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, HS recruit rating.

Bust probability· low confidence5%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #41NORY1 7.9
28
Jared Verse

Jared Verse

1st Roundrank#28$3.6MDL·Florida St.·23.5 yrs·$8.8M($0M–$18.1M)·RAS7.28· speed-driven↓ 15 vs consensus

First-round DL profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: age.

Career outlookElite 35%
Bust probability29%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #19LARY1 4.8
29
Keon Coleman

Keon Coleman

1st Roundrank#29$3.6MWR·Florida St.·6'3", 213 lb·20.9 yrs·$11.2M($5.2M–$17.2M)·RAS5.93· size-driven

First-round WR profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, number of boards ranking him.

Bust probability<1%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #33BUFY1 13.4
30
Laiatu Latu

Laiatu Latu

1st Roundrank#30$3.5MDL·UCLA·23.3 yrs·$6.4M($0M–$15.7M)·RAS7.23· speed-driven↓ 19 vs consensus

First-round DL profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: charting missed tackle rate.

Career outlookElite 14%(tails only)
Bust probability28%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #15INDY1 3.2
31
Jonathon Brooks

Jonathon Brooks

1st Roundrank#31$3.5MRB·Texas·6'0", 216 lb·20.8 yrs·$5.8M($0M–$11.8M)·RAS7.26↑ 27 vs consensus

First-round RB profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: production trajectory.

Bust probability· low confidence11%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #46CARY1 2.3
32
Christian Haynes

Christian Haynes

1st RoundOL·Connecticut·$3.4M($0M–$11.7M)·RAS6.01· speed-driven↑ 27 vs consensus

First-round OL profile. What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, charting total career snaps.

Bust probability· low confidence3%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #81SEAY1 1.7

Day 2

32 prospects · picks #33–#64

Year-1 contributor, year-3 starter timeline. Round 2-3 value.

33
Nate Wiggins

Nate Wiggins

Day 2rank#33$3.3MCB·Clemson·6'1", 173 lb·20.7 yrs·$5M($0M–$11.8M)·RAS6.95· speed-driven

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, charting: pass-rush productivity (true pass sets), career avg.

Career outlookElite 12%— the downside is the likelier end
Bust probability· low confidence15%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #30BALY1 9.5
34
Jordan Morgan

Jordan Morgan

Day 2rank#34$3.3MOL·Arizona·$4.7M($0M–$12.9M)·RAS6.50

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, number of boards ranking him.

Bust probability· low confidence3%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #25GNBY1 2.1
35
Kingsley Suamataia

Kingsley Suamataia

Day 2rank#35$3.2MOL·BYU·$5.6M($0M–$13.9M)·RAS7.19

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, athleticism (RAS).

Bust probability· low confidence5%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #63KANY1 1.8
36
Dominick Puni

Dominick Puni

Day 2OL·Kansas·$8M($0M–$16.2M)·RAS6.02· agility-driven↑ 56 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting gap run block grade, age.

Career outlookElite 21%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence6%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #86SFOY1 14.3
37
Patrick Paul

Patrick Paul

Day 2OL·Houston·$4.9M($0M–$13.1M)·RAS6.70· size-driven↑ 27 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, age.

Bust probability· low confidence3%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #55MIAY1 3.3
38
Ennis Rakestraw

Ennis Rakestraw

Day 2CB·Missouri·5'11", 183 lb·21.9 yrs·$4.1M($0M–$10.9M)·RAS2.87· speed-driven

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, production trajectory.

Bust probability· low confidence13%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #61DETY1 0.4
39
Adonai Mitchell

Adonai Mitchell

Day 2rank#39$2.9MWR·Texas·6'2", 205 lb·21.6 yrs·$10.7M($4.7M–$16.7M)·RAS8.53

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: production trajectory.

Bust probability<1%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #52INDY1 8.0
40
Trey Benson

Trey Benson

Day 2rank#40$2.9MRB·Florida St.·6'0", 216 lb·21.8 yrs·$3.8M($0M–$9.8M)·RAS7.34· speed-driven↑ 21 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: charting gap run block grade.

Bust probability· low confidence18%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #66ARIY1 6.6
41
Zach Frazier

Zach Frazier

Day 2OL·West Virginia·$6.2M($0M–$14.5M)·RAS3.92

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: athleticism (RAS).

Bust probability· low confidence17%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #51PITY1 13.4
42
Javon Bullard

Javon Bullard

Day 2CB·Georgia·21.6 yrs·$5.5M($0M–$12.3M)·RAS4.61· agility-driven↑ 20 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, charting coverage grade career avg. Bust risk moderate (37%).

Bust probability· low confidence37%Moderate risk
Plays like
NFL pick #58GNBY1 8.9
43
Calen Bullock

Calen Bullock

Day 2SAF·USC·6'2", 188 lb·21.0 yrs·$7.8M·404.48↑ 42 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting run def grade career avg, HS recruit rating.

Career outlookElite 18%(tails only)
Bust probability9%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #78HOUY1 5.6
44
Xavier Worthy

Xavier Worthy

Day 2rank#44$2.6MWR·Texas·5'11", 165 lb·21.0 yrs·$12.8M($6.8M–$18.8M)·RAS6.97· speed-driven

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus, number of boards ranking him.

Career outlookElite 17%(tails only)
Bust probability<1%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #28KANY1 16.0
45
Christian Mahogany

Christian Mahogany

Day 2OL·Boston Col.·$3.4M($0M–$11.7M)·RAS6.25↑ 72 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting gap run block grade, number of boards ranking him.

Bust probability· low confidence6%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #210DETY1 2.1
46
Kiran Amegadjie

Kiran Amegadjie

Day 2OL·Yale·$5.6M($0M–$13.8M)·RAS8.35↑ 45 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, athleticism (RAS), age.

Bust probability· low confidence2%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #75CHIY1 1.2
47
Braden Fiske

Braden Fiske

Day 2rank#47$2.4MDL·Florida St.·24.3 yrs·$5.5M($0M–$14.8M)·RAS7.23

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: age.

Career outlookElite 10%(tails only)
Bust probability1%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #39LARY1 3.6
48
Roger Rosengarten

Roger Rosengarten

Day 2OL·Washington·$6.5M($0M–$14.7M)·RAS7.54· speed-driven↑ 25 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: charting gap run block grade.

Bust probability· low confidence2%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #62BALY1 12.7
49
Jeremiah Trotter Jr.

Jeremiah Trotter Jr.

Day 2LB·Clemson·6'0", 228 lb·21.3 yrs·$6M($0M–$15.3M)·RAS2.32↑ 69 vs consensus

What the model likes: lowest board ranking, boards with him top-100; the knock: athleticism (RAS).

Career outlookElite 11%— the downside is the likelier end
Bust probability30%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #155PHIY1 1.4
50
Payton Wilson

Payton Wilson

Day 2rank#50$2.2MLB·North Carolina St.·6'4", 233 lb·24.0 yrs·$4.2M($0M–$13.5M)·RAS7.25· speed-driven

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: age.

Bust probability20%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #98PITY1 6.5
51
Jaylen Wright

Jaylen Wright

Day 2rank#51$2.2MRB·Tennessee·5'11", 210 lb·21.1 yrs·$3.6M($0M–$9.7M)·RAS7.68· speed-driven↑ 47 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, athleticism (RAS); the knock: charting gap run block grade.

Bust probability· low confidence15%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #120MIAY1 4.7
52
Maason Smith

Maason Smith

Day 2DT·LSU·6'5", 306 lb·21.5 yrs·$4.2M($0M–$13.5M)·RAS6.46↑ 62 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, age, athleticism (RAS). Bust risk moderate (38%).

Bust probability38%Moderate risk
Plays like
NFL pick #48JAXY1 3.7
53
Xavier Legette

Xavier Legette

Day 2rank#53$2.1MWR·South Carolina·6'1", 221 lb·23.2 yrs·$7.7M($1.7M–$13.7M)·RAS8.01↓ 13 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: production trajectory.

Bust probability9%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #32CARY1 14.2
54
Ricky Pearsall

Ricky Pearsall

Day 2rank#54$2MWR·Florida·6'1", 189 lb·23.6 yrs·$9.4M($3.4M–$15.4M)·RAS7.54· explosion-driven↓ 13 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: age.

Career outlookElite 14%(tails only)
Bust probability12%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #31SFOY1 10.9
55
Ja'Lynn Polk

Ja'Lynn Polk

Day 2rank#55$2MWR·Washington·6'1", 203 lb·22.0 yrs·$6.2M($0.2M–$12.2M)·RAS6.06· explosion-driven

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, charting: yards per route run from the slot, best season; the knock: production trajectory.

Bust probability<1%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #37NWEY1 7.3
56
Edgerrin Cooper

Edgerrin Cooper

Day 2rank#56$2MLB·Texas A&M·6'2", 230 lb·22.4 yrs·$6.6M($0M–$16M)·RAS5.61· speed-driven

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, SOS-weighted production; the knock: production trajectory.

Bust probability15%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #45GNBY1 7.5
57
Junior Colson

Junior Colson

Day 2LB·Michigan·6'2", 238 lb·21.4 yrs·$4.9M($0M–$14.3M)·RAS6.93

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: position role purity.

Career outlookElite 9%(tails only)
Bust probability6%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #69LACY1 2.1
58
Kamren Kinchens

Kamren Kinchens

Day 2SAF·Miami (FL)·21.6 yrs·$4.8M·404.65↑ 46 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, HS recruit rating, age.

Bust probability18%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #99LARY1 3.2
59
Mason McCormick

Mason McCormick

Day 2OL·South Dakota St.·$6.2M($0M–$14.5M)·RAS7.59· explosion-driven↑ 48 vs consensus

What the model likes: athleticism (RAS), age; the knock: boards with him top-100.

Career outlookElite 13%(tails only)
Bust probability· low confidence4%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #119PITY1 10.4
60
T'Vondre Sweat

T'Vondre Sweat

Day 2DL·Texas·22.8 yrs·$8.9M($0M–$18.2M)·RAS3.44· size-driven↑ 18 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, lowest board ranking; the knock: production trajectory.

Career outlookElite 21%(tails only)
Bust probability22%Average risk
Plays like
NFL pick #38TENY1 3.6
61
Malachi Corley

Malachi Corley

Day 2rank#61$1.8MWR·Western Kentucky·5'11", 215 lb·22.1 yrs·$3.1M($0M–$9.2M)·RAS3.93

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: athleticism (RAS).

Bust probability1%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #65NYJY1 2.1
62
Marshawn Kneeland

Marshawn Kneeland

Day 2DL·Western Michigan·22.8 yrs·$4.7M($0M–$14.1M)·RAS7.13· agility-driven

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: charting catch rate allowed avg.

Bust probability6%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #56DALY1 1.3
63
Audric Estime

Audric Estime

Day 2RB·Notre Dame·5'11", 221 lb·20.6 yrs·$4M($0M–$10.1M)·RAS5.48· explosion-driven↑ 32 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, lowest board ranking; the knock: production trajectory.

Bust probability· low confidence15%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #147DENY1 7.0
64
Darius Robinson

Darius Robinson

Day 2rank#64$1.7MDL·Missouri·22.6 yrs·$4.2M($0M–$13.6M)·RAS5.31· size-driven↓ 30 vs consensus

What the model likes: boards with him top-100, scout consensus; the knock: production trajectory.

Bust probability1%Low risk
Plays like
NFL pick #27ARIY1 0.9
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