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2024 NFL Draft prospect
Mason McCormick
On the live board, bust risk sits at 4% and the realistic range is No. 23 to No. 192.
rank#59$1.9M
Backtest: model vs. reality
The model graded Mason McCormick at pick #59; he was actually picked #119 by PIT. 2 NFL seasons in, he's hung on the fringe of the rotation (grading 6.8 of 20 per season). The 4-tier model has him as a likely role. NFL grades have been modest so far (1% recent-3, 2% peak across 1 seasons). Model expects a second-deal AAV around $6M/yr.
Overview
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Draftanomics Rank
Low conviction#59OL·South Dakota St.
We had him No. 59 on draft night; PIT didn't call his name until No. 119 — a 60-pick gap between our board and the league's. His career is settling that argument now.
Draftanomics's take
Draftanomics had Mason McCormick at #59 on draft night — a Day 2 grade — and PIT took him at No. 119, 60 picks later than our grade. The model's case leans on his age curve. Bust risk projects at 4%, below the position median — the model has a tight grade. The room had him #107 pre-draft; our board was 48 spots higher.
Written from the live model's numbers — projected to round 2, and it updates whenever the model does. See methodology for what drives the take.
Scouting report
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Why this grade
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
Consensus
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Production1
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Risk1
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
Team fit5
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Will he be there?
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Comps0
Historical players this prospect resembles
Film & notes
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports