2023 NFL Draft order

Every pick, every round, with the team currently projected to hold it. 258 picks across seven rounds; compensatory picks land in the spring and reshape the back half of the order. Until the season sorts it out, the order is projected from reverse standings — the how is in themethodology — and actual trades replace projections as they're reported.

Pick odds

Draft-slot odds · through week 18

Final 2022 standings — residual spread is record-tie uncertainty only.
TeamRecordExp. slotNo. 1Top 3Top 10
CHI3141.0>99%>99%>99%
HOU3½132.00%>99%>99%
ARI4133.00%>99%>99%
IND4½124.00%0%>99%
DEN5125.50%0%>99%
LA5125.50%0%>99%
LV6117.00%0%>99%
ATL71010.50%0%51%
CAR71010.50%0%50%
CLE71010.50%0%50%
NO71010.50%0%50%
NYJ71010.50%0%50%
TEN71010.50%0%50%
GB8915.00%0%0%
NE8915.00%0%0%
TB8915.00%0%0%

Top 16 by expected slot shown — the tanking conversation, not the contenders.

Probabilities come from simulating the rest of the 2022 season thousands of times, with early records shrunk toward .500 exactly as much as 16 seasons of history say they should be. We graded the method against each of those seasons before trusting it; the forecast sharpens as the season goes because history shows it has earned that confidence.

#Round · slotTeamSource
7R1 · 7LVactual
21R1 · 21LACactual
31R1 · 31KCactual
35R2 · 3LVactual
54R2 · 22LACactual
55R2 · 23KCactual
63R2 · 31DENactual
67R3 · 3DENactual
70R3 · 6LVactual
83R3 · 19DENactual
85R3 · 21LACactual
92R3 · 28KCactual
100R3 · 4LVactual
104R4 · 8LVactual
119R4 · 23KCactual
125R4 · 29LACactual
135R4 · 7LVactual
156R5 · 28LACactual
166R5 · 6KCactual
170R5 · 10LVactual
183R6 · 23DENactual
194R6 · 2KCactual
200R6 · 8LACactual
203R6 · 11LVactual
231R7 · 7LVactual
239R7 · 15LACactual
250R7 · 26KCactual
257R7 · 1DENactual