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2017 NFL Draft prospect
Alvin Kamara
age 21.8 · 5'10" · 214 lb
On the live board, bust risk sits at 19% and the realistic range is No. 7 to No. 137.
rank#33$3.3MCompMike Davis
Backtest: model vs. reality
The model graded Alvin Kamara at pick #33; he was actually picked #67 by NOR. 1 NFL season in, he's producing like a real starter (grading 17.4 of 20 per season). So far, that's a point for our board. Model expects a second-deal AAV around $18M/yr.
Overview
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Draftanomics Rank
High conviction#33RB·Tennessee
We had him No. 33 on draft night; NOR didn't call his name until No. 67 — a 34-pick gap between our board and the league's. His career is settling that argument now.
Scouting report
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Why this grade
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
Consensus
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Production
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Risk3
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
Team fit5
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Will he be there?
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Comps5
Historical players this prospect resembles
Film & notes
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports