On the live board, bust risk sits at 44% and the realistic range is No. 121 to No. 271.
The model graded Jalen Myrick at pick #178; he was actually picked #222 by JAX. 1 NFL season in, he's barely gotten on the field (grading 1.2 of 20 per season). So far, the league's caution is winning the argument. Model expects a second-deal AAV around $6M/yr.
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
We had him No. 178 on draft night; JAX didn't call his name until No. 222 — a 44-pick gap between our board and the league's. His career is settling that argument now.
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Historical players this prospect resembles
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports
Draftanomics had Jalen Myrick at #178 on draft night — a Day 3 grade — and JAX took him at No. 222, 44 picks later than our grade. Bust risk projects at 44%, elevated against the position baseline.
Written from the live model's numbers — projected to round 6, and it updates whenever the model does. See methodology for what drives the take.
Too early to project a career arc.
No public board has ranked this prospect and the model has no production, athletic, or NFL data to anchor on — any percentages here would be noise dressed up as precision. The outlook fills in once boards rank him or real numbers land.
No public-board coverage yet.
Highlight reels indexed from YouTube. Loads only when you press play.
Working in his favor: his charted pass-rush productivity (true pass sets), career avg. Working against him: his charted catch rate allowed avg and how many boards rank him top-100.
The grade is the 0-to-1 score the board sorts by — it only means something next to the rest of this class, which is why the rank above it is the number to quote.
Not enough to go on yet — no public board ranks him and there's no production or testing data to anchor a career projection.
Solid points = actual NFL snap share per season. Dashed extension = forecast for upcoming years.
Everything that could go wrong with Jalen Myrick, gathered in one place — the most serious flags listed first.
Named, concrete signals — every flag cites numbers, comp players, or schedule context.
Based on each team's roster depth at CB / S, age, and recent capital invested.
Closest historical matches among prior CB / S prospects who were drafted, by overall statistical profile. A smaller distance means a closer match.
| Player | Pos | Year | Pick | Snap trajectory | Career arc | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Carter | CB | 2015 | #80 | →0 pts | Bust | 1.25 |
| Charles Gaines | CB | 2015 | #189 | →0 pts | Bust | 1.30 |
| Marcus Peters | CB | 2015 | #18 | →0 pts | Franchise | 1.33 |
| Steven Nelson | CB | 2015 | #98 | ↑33 pts | Starter | 1.33 |
| Bobby McCain | CB | 2015 | #145 | ↑8 pts | Starter | 1.33 |