The model graded Bobby McCain at pick #113; he was actually picked #145 by MIA. 3 NFL seasons in, he's hung on the fringe of the rotation (grading 6.4 of 20 per season). Model expects a second-deal AAV around $10M/yr.
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
We had him No. 113 on draft night; MIA didn't call his name until No. 145 — a 32-pick gap between our board and the league's. His career is settling that argument now.
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Historical players this prospect resembles
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports
Draftanomics had Bobby McCain at #113 on draft night — a Day 3 grade — and MIA took him at No. 145, 32 picks later than our grade. Bust risk projects at 12%, below the position median — the model has a tight grade.
Written from the live model's numbers — projected to round 4, and it updates whenever the model does. See methodology for what drives the take.
Too early to project a career arc.
No public board has ranked this prospect and the model has no production, athletic, or NFL data to anchor on — any percentages here would be noise dressed up as precision. The outlook fills in once boards rank him or real numbers land.
No public-board coverage yet.
Highlight reels indexed from YouTube. Loads only when you press play.
Working in his favor: age. Working against him: how many boards rank him top-100 and lowest board ranking.
The grade is the 0-to-1 score the board sorts by — it only means something next to the rest of this class, which is why the rank above it is the number to quote.
Not enough to go on yet — no public board ranks him and there's no production or testing data to anchor a career projection.
Everything that could go wrong with Bobby McCain, gathered in one place — the most serious flags listed first.
Roster-based need returns once the 2014 season is played — grading this year’s teams on last year’s depth chart would be guessing. What’s knowable now: the teams holding picks around No. 113, and which of them already spent premium capital at CB / S in the 2014 draft.
Gold means no recent premium investment at CB / S — the cleaner fit on paper. Grey means they already spent one.