Koi Perich, the Oregon safety by way of Minnesota, nearly doubled his snap-for-snap tackle number in a single season, going from 46 stops in 2024 to 82 in 2025, while still working in as a receiver and runner. The model has him at No. 22 overall on the 2027 board, 22 spots ahead of the No. 44 consensus mark across 12 public boards, a split wide enough to call real dissent rather than noise.
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Model rates him a full round higher than consensus. Value if he slides into your range.
Draftanomics ranks Koi Perich at #22 overall — a 1st round grade. The model's case leans on broad top-100 board coverage. Bust risk projects at 6%, below the position median — the model has a tight grade. Public consensus has him #44; Draftanomics's board is 22 spots higher.
Written from the live model's numbers — projected to round 1, and it updates whenever the model does. See methodology for what drives the take.
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Historical players this prospect resembles
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports
Read the two ends and skim the middle: the model has a real track record telling stars and bustsapart, but “solid starter vs. rotation guy” is close to a coin flip from public data — that's why those two bars are grayed. For his odds of outright busting, the Bust-risk panel next door is the number to trust.
The bracketed ranges show how far each number could reasonably move — they come from how 23–57 similar players in past drafts actually turned out.
12 public boards track this prospect. Per-board breakdown loads with the live board.
Highlight reels indexed from YouTube. Loads only when you press play.
Working in his favor: how many boards rank him top-100, his charted gap run block grade, and age. Nothing in the profile pulled the grade down.
The grade is the 0-to-1 score the board sorts by — it only means something next to the rest of this class, which is why the rank above it is the number to quote.
Outcome shares from the 4-tier model. The Bust share here is a different model than the headline bust probability — for bust risk, use that number.
Everything that could go wrong with Koi Perich, gathered in one place — the most serious flags listed first.
Roster-based need returns once the 2026season is played — grading this year’s teams on last year’s depth chart would be guessing. What’s knowable now: the teams holding picks around No. 22, and which of them already spent premium capital at CB / S in the 2026 draft.
Gold means no recent premium investment at CB / S — the cleaner fit on paper. Grey means they already spent one.