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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2020 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (G, C)
TA
Tremayne Anchrum
G · Clemson
— · — · —
DL
Damien Lewis
G · LSU
— · — · —
NH
Nick Harris
C · Washington
— · — · —

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Tremayne Anchrum
Predicted pick
#243
range #205–#281
Bust probability
78%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$4Mmodel
Damien Lewis
Predicted pick
#35
range #1–#83
Bust probability
0%
Consensus rank
#159
on 23 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$21Mmodel
Nick Harris
Predicted pick
#54
range #29–#79
Bust probability
0%
Consensus rank
#165
on 23 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$4Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Tremayne Anchrum· Offensive line
  • Damien Lewis· Offensive line
  • Nick Harris· Offensive line
Axis leaders
  • ProductionTremayne Anchrum50
  • AthleticismDamien Lewis38
  • AgeDamien Lewis85
  • ConsensusDamien Lewis3
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Tremayne Anchrum50
  • Breakout ageTremayne Anchrum50
  • WorkloadTremayne Anchrum50
  • RAS × productionDamien Lewis65

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

Shared comps
  • Daryl WilliamsG · TBD→ shared byTremayne AnchrumDamien Lewis
  • Donavon ClarkG · TBD→ shared byTremayne AnchrumDamien Lewis
  • Trent BrownG · TBD→ shared byTremayne AnchrumDamien Lewis
  • Spencer DrangoG · TBD→ shared byTremayne AnchrumDamien Lewis
Tremayne Anchrum
  • Tre' Jackson
    G · #111
    TBD
  • Daryl Williamsshared
    G · #102
    TBD
  • Donavon Clarkshared
    G · #224
    TBD
  • Trent Brownshared
    G · #244
    TBD
  • Spencer Drangoshared
    G · #168
    TBD
Damien Lewis
  • Trent Brownshared
    G · #244
    TBD
  • Nick Martin
    G · #50
    TBD
  • Daryl Williamsshared
    G · #102
    TBD
  • Donavon Clarkshared
    G · #224
    TBD
  • Spencer Drangoshared
    G · #168
    TBD
Nick Harris
  • JJ Dielman
    C · #176
    TBD
  • Shaq Mason
    C · #131
    TBD
  • Kofi Amichia
    C · #212
    TBD
  • Joey Hunt
    C · #215
    TBD
  • Kyle Fuller
    C · #243
    TBD

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Tremayne Anchrum
Risks
  • Average-to-below athletic profile
    RAS 4.60 (46th percentile at G). Athleticism is average at best for the position.
Opportunities
  • Consensus says higher
    1 board have him at mean rank #196; model has him #243 — a 47-spot fade. Analysts converging this much above the model is a tell that the model is undervaluing him.
Damien Lewis
Risks
  • Consensus skeptic
    24 boards place him at mean rank #96; model has him #35 — a 61-spot gap. When boards fade a player this hard, the model is usually the one missing something.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Nick Harris
Risks
  • Consensus skeptic
    24 boards place him at mean rank #103; model has him #54 — a 49-spot gap. When boards fade a player this hard, the model is usually the one missing something.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Y5Y6Snap share
Tremayne AnchrumDamien LewisNick Harris· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Tremayne Anchrum

Draftanomics projects Tremayne Anchrum as a Day 3 dart throw at #243 (range #205-#281, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 78% — scary. The comp set leans young — most of his closest comps haven't played enough NFL snaps yet to be confidently graded. Closest comps: Tre' Jackson, Daryl Williams, Donavon Clark. Ceiling is Daryl Williams; floor is Trent Brown. RAS 4.60 (46th percentile at G). Athleticism is average at best for the position. The call is a genuine fade: the room's consensus prices him around #196 and the model won't take him before #243 — a 47-spot markdown. The discount is earned — average-to-below athletic profile leads the case against.

Damien Lewis

Draftanomics projects Damien Lewis as a Day 2 pick at #35 (range #1-#83, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set leans young — most of his closest comps haven't played enough NFL snaps yet to be confidently graded. Closest comps: Trent Brown, Nick Martin, Daryl Williams. Ceiling is Nick Martin; floor is Trent Brown. The call is a conviction buy: the model has him 61 spots ahead of the room (board #35 vs consensus #96), and at a 0% bust probability the edge is worth paying for.

Nick Harris

Draftanomics projects Nick Harris as a Day 2 pick at #54 (range #29-#79, wide band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set leans young — most of his closest comps haven't played enough NFL snaps yet to be confidently graded. Closest comps: JJ Dielman, Shaq Mason, Kofi Amichia. Ceiling is Shaq Mason; floor is Kyle Fuller. The call is a conviction buy: the model has him 49 spots ahead of the room (board #54 vs consensus #103), and at a 0% bust probability the edge is worth paying for.