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2016 NFL Draft prospect
Donavon Clark
On the live board, bust risk sits at 28% and the realistic range is No. 120 to No. 270.
Big Ten→ SDG's 2016 class
Limited public-board coverage (0 boards) — grade leans on stats + athleticism alone
Backtest: model vs. reality
The model graded Donavon Clark at pick #177; he was actually picked #224 by SDG. Model expects a second-deal AAV around $8M/yr.
Overview
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Draftanomics Rank
High conviction#177G·Michigan St.
We had him No. 177 on draft night; SDG didn't call his name until No. 224 — a 47-pick gap between our board and the league's. His career is settling that argument now.
Draftanomics's take
Draftanomics had Donavon Clark at #177 on draft night — a Day 3 grade — and SDG took him at No. 224, 47 picks later than our grade. Bust risk projects at 28%, near the position baseline.
Scouting report
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Why this grade
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
Consensus
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Production
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Risk2
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
Team fit5
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Will he be there?
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Comps0
Historical players this prospect resembles
Film & notes
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports