Refreshed just now
2016 NFL Draft prospect
Spencer Drango
On the live board, bust risk sits at 6% and the realistic range is No. 29 to No. 206.
rank#85$1.4M
Big 12→ CLE's 2016 class
Backtest: model vs. reality
The model graded Spencer Drango at pick #85; he was actually picked #168 by CLE. Model expects a second-deal AAV around $7M/yr.
Overview
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Draftanomics Rank
High conviction#85G·Baylor
We had him No. 85 on draft night; CLE didn't call his name until No. 168 — a 83-pick gap between our board and the league's. His career is settling that argument now.
Draftanomics's take
Draftanomics had Spencer Drango at #85 on draft night — a Day 2 grade — and CLE took him at No. 168, 83 picks later than our grade. Bust risk projects at 6%, below the position median — the model has a tight grade. The room had him #130 pre-draft; our board was 45 spots higher.
Written from the live model's numbers — projected to round 3, and it updates whenever the model does. See methodology for what drives the take.
Draftanomics Pick
Scouting report
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Why this grade
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
Consensus
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Production
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Risk1
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
Team fit5
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Will he be there?
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Comps0
Historical players this prospect resembles
Film & notes
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports