3 prospects · 2020 draft
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects Logan Stenberg as a mid-round flyer at #106 (range #84-#128, wide band). Bust probability sits at 68% — scary. The comp set leans young — most of his closest comps haven't played enough NFL snaps yet to be confidently graded. Closest comps: Isaac Asiata, Cole Madison (Bust), Nico Siragusa. Ceiling is Jeremiah Poutasi; floor is Isaac Asiata. The call is a hold at slot: the model's #106 and the room's #106 land on the same answer — no market edge to chase, so take him where he sits, and let the 68% bust probability break ties on draft day.
Draftanomics projects Tremayne Anchrum as a Day 3 dart throw at #243 (range #205-#281, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 78% — scary. The comp set leans young — most of his closest comps haven't played enough NFL snaps yet to be confidently graded. Closest comps: Tre' Jackson, Daryl Williams, Donavon Clark. Ceiling is Daryl Williams; floor is Trent Brown. RAS 4.60 (46th percentile at G). Athleticism is average at best for the position. The call is a genuine fade: the room's consensus prices him around #196 and the model won't take him before #243 — a 47-spot markdown. The discount is earned — average-to-below athletic profile leads the case against.
Draftanomics projects Jonah Jackson as a third-round / early Day 3 pick at #68 (range #23-#113, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set leans young — most of his closest comps haven't played enough NFL snaps yet to be confidently graded. Closest comps: Tre' Jackson, Sebastian Tretola, Nick Martin. Ceiling is Nick Martin; floor is Trent Brown. RAS 3.51 (35th percentile at G). Athleticism is average at best for the position. The call is a value lean: #68 against a consensus #90 is a 22-spot edge — enough to move him up the queue, not enough to reach a round early, with average-to-below athletic profile the tax on that edge.