3 prospects · 2016 draft
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects Jared Goff (age 21.5 at draft) as a first-round pick at #27 (range #25-#29, tight projection). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The call is a hold at slot: the model's #27 sits within 11 spots of the room's #16 — no market edge to chase, so take him where he sits, and let the 0% bust probability break ties on draft day.
+0.05 boards with him top-100; +0.03 boards with him top-50; −0.03 charting total career snaps
−0.05 charting total career snaps; −0.04 boards with him top-100; −0.03 position role purity