3 prospects · 2016 draft
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects John Theus as a Day 3 dart throw at #176 (range #169-#183, moderate band). Bust probability sits at 26% — manageable. The call is a value lean: #176 against a consensus #202 is a 26-spot edge — enough to move him up the queue, not enough to reach a round early, and the wide band around the 26% bust number says size it modestly.
+0.05 boards with him top-100; −0.04 charting total career snaps; +0.02 charting gap run block grade
−0.05 charting total career snaps; −0.05 boards with him top-100; −0.04 HS recruit rating