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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2015 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2015 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (EDGE)
GG
Geneo Grissom
EDGE · Oklahoma
22.9 yo · — · —
HA
Henry Anderson
EDGE · Stanford
23.7 yo · 6'6" · 294 lb
BD
B.J. Dubose
EDGE · Louisville
23.3 yo · 6'4" · 284 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Geneo Grissom
Predicted pick
#202
range #119–#253
Bust probability
26%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$5Mmodel
Henry Anderson
Predicted pick
#229
range #92–#244
Bust probability
33%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$8Mmodel
B.J. Dubose
Predicted pick
#227
range #90–#242
Bust probability
78%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Geneo Grissom· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Henry Anderson· EDGE / DL / LB
  • B.J. Dubose· EDGE / DL / LB
Axis leaders
  • ProductionGeneo Grissom0
  • AthleticismGeneo Grissom42
  • AgeGeneo Grissom42
  • ConsensusGeneo Grissom25
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Geneo Grissom50
  • Breakout ageGeneo Grissom50
  • WorkloadGeneo Grissom50
  • RAS × productionGeneo Grissom100

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Geneo Grissom
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Henry Anderson
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
B.J. Dubose
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Geneo Grissom
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Henry Anderson
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
B.J. Dubose
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Geneo GrissomHenry AndersonB.J. Dubose· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Geneo Grissom

−0.06 boards with him top-100; −0.03 HS recruit rating; +0.03 charting total career snaps

Henry Anderson

−0.06 boards with him top-100; −0.04 age; +0.03 charting total career snaps

B.J. Dubose

−0.06 boards with him top-100; −0.03 HS recruit rating; −0.02 age