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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2015 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2015 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (CB)
BM
Bobby McCain
CB · Memphis
21.7 yo · 5'9" · 195 lb
ER
Eric Rowe
CB · Utah
22.6 yo · 6'1" · 205 lb
TW
Trae Waynes
CB · Michigan St.
22.8 yo · 6'0" · 186 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Bobby McCain
Predicted pick
#113
range #83–#243
Bust probability· rough estimate
12%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$10Mmodel
Eric Rowe
Predicted pick
#117
range #87–#247
Bust probability· rough estimate
9%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$11Mmodel
Trae Waynes
Predicted pick
#105
range #75–#235
Bust probability· rough estimate
7%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$12Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Bobby McCain· CB / S
  • Eric Rowe· CB / S
  • Trae Waynes· CB / S
Axis leaders
  • ProductionBobby McCain50
  • AthleticismBobby McCain82
  • AgeBobby McCain100
  • ConsensusTrae Waynes69
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Bobby McCain50
  • Breakout ageBobby McCain50
  • WorkloadBobby McCain50
  • RAS × productionBobby McCain100

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Bobby McCain
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Eric Rowe
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Trae Waynes
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Bobby McCain
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Eric Rowe
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Trae Waynes
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Bobby McCainEric RoweTrae Waynes· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Bobby McCain

−0.06 boards with him top-100; −0.02 lowest board ranking; +0.02 age

Eric Rowe

−0.06 boards with him top-100; +0.03 charting total career snaps; −0.02 HS recruit rating

Trae Waynes

−0.06 boards with him top-100; +0.02 charting total career snaps; −0.02 lowest board ranking