2024 NFL Draft order

Every pick, every round, with the team currently projected to hold it. 256 picks across seven rounds; compensatory picks land in the spring and reshape the back half of the order. Until the season sorts it out, the order is projected from reverse standings — the how is in themethodology — and actual trades replace projections as they're reported.

Pick odds

Draft-slot odds · through week 18

Final 2023 standings — residual spread is record-tie uncertainty only.
TeamRecordExp. slotNo. 1Top 3Top 10
CAR2151.0>99%>99%>99%
ARI4133.00%67%>99%
NE4133.00%67%>99%
WAS4133.00%66%>99%
LAC5125.00%0%>99%
NYG6116.50%0%>99%
TEN6116.50%0%>99%
ATL7109.50%0%75%
CHI7109.50%0%75%
MIN7109.50%0%76%
NYJ7109.50%0%75%
DEN8912.50%0%0%
LV8912.50%0%0%
CIN9817.00%0%0%
GB9817.00%0%0%
IND9817.00%0%0%

Top 16 by expected slot shown — the tanking conversation, not the contenders.

Probabilities come from simulating the rest of the 2023 season thousands of times, with early records shrunk toward .500 exactly as much as 16 seasons of history say they should be. We graded the method against each of those seasons before trusting it; the forecast sharpens as the season goes because history shows it has earned that confidence.

#Round · slotTeamSource
8R1 · 8ATLactual
14R1 · 14NOactual
26R1 · 26TBactual
32R1 · 32CARactual
35R2 · 3ATLactual
41R2 · 9NOactual
46R2 · 14CARactual
57R2 · 25TBactual
72R3 · 8CARactual
74R3 · 10ATLactual
89R3 · 25TBactual
92R3 · 28TBactual
101R4 · 5CARactual
109R4 · 13ATLactual
125R4 · 29TBactual
143R5 · 15ATLactual
150R5 · 22NOactual
157R5 · 29CARactual
170R5 · 10NOactual
175R5 · 15NOactual
186R6 · 26ATLactual
187R6 · 27ATLactual
197R6 · 5ATLactual
199R6 · 7NOactual
200R6 · 8CARactual
220R6 · 28TBactual
239R7 · 15NOactual
240R7 · 16CARactual
246R7 · 22TBactual