2021 NFL Draft order

Every pick, every round, with the team currently projected to hold it. 259 picks across seven rounds; compensatory picks land in the spring and reshape the back half of the order. Until the season sorts it out, the order is projected from reverse standings — the how is in themethodology — and actual trades replace projections as they're reported.

Pick odds

Draft-slot odds · through week 17

Final 2020 standings — residual spread is record-tie uncertainty only.
TeamRecordExp. slotNo. 1Top 3Top 10
JAX1151.0>99%>99%>99%
NYJ2142.00%>99%>99%
ATL4123.50%50%>99%
HOU4123.50%50%>99%
CIN4½115.50%0%>99%
PHI4½115.50%0%>99%
CAR5118.00%0%>99%
DEN5118.00%0%>99%
DET5118.00%0%>99%
DAL61011.00%0%33%
NYG61011.00%0%34%
SF61011.00%0%33%
LAC7914.50%0%0%
MIN7914.50%0%0%
NE7914.50%0%0%
WAS7914.50%0%0%

Top 16 by expected slot shown — the tanking conversation, not the contenders.

Probabilities come from simulating the rest of the 2020 season thousands of times, with early records shrunk toward .500 exactly as much as 16 seasons of history say they should be. We graded the method against each of those seasons before trusting it; the forecast sharpens as the season goes because history shows it has earned that confidence.

#Round · slotTeamSource
1R1 · 1JAXactual
21R1 · 21INDactual
22R1 · 22TENactual
25R1 · 25JAXactual
33R2 · 1JAXactual
45R2 · 13JAXactual
53R2 · 21TENactual
54R2 · 22INDactual
65R3 · 1JAXactual
67R3 · 3HOUactual
89R3 · 25HOUactual
92R3 · 28TENactual
100R3 · 4TENactual
106R4 · 10JAXactual
109R4 · 13TENactual
121R4 · 25JAXactual
127R4 · 31INDactual
135R4 · 7TENactual
145R5 · 17JAXactual
147R5 · 19HOUactual
165R5 · 5INDactual
170R5 · 10HOUactual
195R6 · 3HOUactual
205R6 · 13TENactual
209R6 · 17JAXactual
215R6 · 23TENactual
218R6 · 26INDactual
229R7 · 5INDactual
248R7 · 24INDactual