2015 NFL Draft · recap
Post-draft synthesis: how the league's hauls graded, what Draftanomics's biggest hits and misses were, where the class shape ended up, and which teams held the capital advantage going in.
Hits
20
model rated higher, player produced
Misses
9
model rated higher, player busted
Saves
11
model rated lower, player busted
Net edge
-8
Class shape
OL/ST/QB thin; OL/ST/QB historically barren
- Offensive linebarren
- RB / WR / TEaverage
- CB / Saverage
- EDGE / DL / LBaverage
- Specialistsbarren
- QBbarren
Best hauls
- NYJB+Solid value haul (+38.8 mean pick delta vs model). Filled positions of typical need (83% of picks).Headlined by Leonard Williams (EDGE) at pick 6
- HOUBSolid value haul (+30.9 mean pick delta vs model). Filled positions of typical need (100% of picks).Headlined by Kevin Johnson (CB) at pick 16
- INDBSolid value haul (+41.1 mean pick delta vs model). Filled positions of typical need (100% of picks).Headlined by Phillip Dorsett (WR) at pick 29
Worst hauls
- TENFReaches across the board (-37.2 mean delta). Filled positions of typical need (89% of picks).Headlined by Marcus Mariota (QB) at pick 2
- SEAFReaches across the board (-61.5 mean delta). Filled positions of typical need (75% of picks).Headlined by Frank Clark (EDGE) at pick 63
- NWEFReaches across the board (-33.5 mean delta). Filled positions of typical need (91% of picks).Headlined by Malcom Brown (DT) at pick 32
Capital advantage going in
TB led the league with the most capital; SEA had the least. League total: 627 CS points across 32 teams.
Full 2015 board →