3 prospects · 2025 draft
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects Damien Martinez (age 21.2 at draft) as a third-round / early Day 3 pick at #103 (range #71-#135, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 65% — scary. The comp set is dangerous: 4 of 4 closest comps with known NFL outcomes washed out as backups or busts. Closest comps: AJ Dillon (Contributor), DeeJay Dallas (Bust), Kevin Harris (Bust). Ceiling is AJ Dillon (Contributor); floor is Keaontay Ingram (Bust). Drafted #223 by SEA in 2025 but recorded ZERO regular-season NFL snaps. Year-1 absence is one of the strongest single-signal bust predictors we have. The call is a hold at slot: the model's #103 sits within 4 spots of the room's #107 — no market edge to chase, so take him where he sits, and let the 65% bust probability break ties on draft day.
Draftanomics projects Devin Neal (age 21.7 at draft) as a third-round / early Day 3 pick at #95 (range #53-#137, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set is dangerous: 2 of 3 closest comps with known NFL outcomes washed out as backups or busts. Closest comps: Chuba Hubbard (Starter), AJ Dillon (Contributor), Keaontay Ingram (Bust). Ceiling is Chuba Hubbard (Starter); floor is AJ Dillon (Contributor). 2 of 3 closest comps with NFL outcomes washed out: Keaontay Ingram, Kevin Harris. The neighborhood in feature space is dangerous. The call is a hold at slot: the model's #95 and the room's #95 land on the same answer — no market edge to chase, so take him where he sits, and let the 0% bust probability break ties on draft day.
Draftanomics projects LeQuint Allen (age 20.7 at draft) as a mid-round flyer at #139 (range #103-#175, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set is mixed: 1 starters-or-better vs 1 backups-or-busts among the 2 comps with known outcomes. Closest comps: AJ Dillon (Contributor), Chuba Hubbard (Starter), Kenneth Walker III (Contributor). Ceiling is Chuba Hubbard (Starter); floor is AJ Dillon (Contributor). 1 of 2 closest comps with NFL outcomes ended up backups or busts: Kevin Harris. Mixed signal from history. The call is a hold at slot: the model's #139 sits within 4 spots of the room's #143 — no market edge to chase, so take him where he sits, and let the 0% bust probability break ties on draft day.