3 prospects · 2025 draft
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects Kyle Williams (age 22.4 at draft) as a Day 2 pick at #42 (range #1-#87, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set is mixed: 1 starters-or-better vs 1 backups-or-busts among the 2 comps with known outcomes. Closest comps: Isaiah Hodgins (Contributor), Skyy Moore (Contributor), Elijah Moore (Starter). Ceiling is Elijah Moore (Starter); floor is Isaiah Hodgins (Contributor). 1 of 2 closest comps with NFL outcomes ended up backups or busts: Isaiah Coulter. Mixed signal from history. The call is a conviction buy: the model has him 38 spots ahead of the room (board #42 vs consensus #80), and at a 0% bust probability the edge is worth paying for.
Draftanomics projects LaJohntay Wester (age 23.1 at draft) as a Day 3 dart throw at #228 (range #185-#271, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 23% — manageable. The comp set is dangerous: 3 of 4 closest comps with known NFL outcomes washed out as backups or busts. Closest comps: Jalen Nailor (Contributor), Dareke Young (Bust), Montrell Washington (Bust). Ceiling is Wan'Dale Robinson (Starter); floor is Jalen Nailor (Contributor). 3 of 4 closest comps with NFL outcomes washed out: Dareke Young, Montrell Washington, Erik Ezukanma. The neighborhood in feature space is dangerous. The call is a conviction buy: the model has him 112 spots ahead of the room (board #228 vs consensus #340), and at a 23% bust probability the edge is worth paying for.
Draftanomics projects Konata Mumpfield (age 22.5 at draft) as a Day 3 dart throw at #238 (range #214-#262, wide band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set is dangerous: 4 of 5 closest comps with known NFL outcomes washed out as backups or busts. Closest comps: Quez Watkins (Starter), Isaiah Coulter (Bust), Jalen Camp (Bust). Ceiling is Quez Watkins (Starter); floor is Dareke Young (Bust). 4 of 5 closest comps with NFL outcomes washed out: Isaiah Coulter, Jalen Camp, Dareke Young (+1 more). The neighborhood in feature space is dangerous. The call is a conviction buy: the model has him 98 spots ahead of the room (board #238 vs consensus #336), and at a 0% bust probability the edge is worth paying for.