3 prospects · 2021 draft
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects Aaron Banks as a third-round / early Day 3 pick at #75 (range #35-#115, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set leans young — most of his closest comps haven't played enough NFL snaps yet to be confidently graded. Closest comps: Will Clapp (Contributor), Mason Cole (Franchise), Bobby Evans (Contributor). Ceiling is Mason Cole (Franchise); floor is Will Clapp (Contributor). School SP+ 21.0 (FBS INDEPENDENTS). Strong program among non-Power-5 — the prospect dominated against decent competition. RAS 4.60 (46th percentile at OL). Athleticism is average at best for the position. The call is a hold at slot: the model's #75 sits within 9 spots of the room's #84 — no market edge to chase, so take him where he sits, and let the 0% bust probability break ties on draft day.
Draftanomics projects James Hudson as a third-round / early Day 3 pick at #82 (range #57-#107, wide band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set leans young — most of his closest comps haven't played enough NFL snaps yet to be confidently graded. Closest comps: David Edwards (Franchise), David Sharpe, Jamarco Jones (Contributor). Ceiling is David Edwards (Franchise); floor is Will Clapp (Contributor). RAS 3.30 (33th percentile at OL). Athleticism is average at best for the position. The call is a value lean: #82 against a consensus #95 is a 13-spot edge — enough to move him up the queue, not enough to reach a round early, with average-to-below athletic profile the tax on that edge.
Draftanomics projects Robert Hainsey as a Day 3 dart throw at #197 (range #158-#236, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set leans young — most of his closest comps haven't played enough NFL snaps yet to be confidently graded. Closest comps: Mason Cole (Franchise), Bobby Evans (Contributor), Isaiah Prince (Contributor). Ceiling is Mason Cole (Franchise); floor is Will Clapp (Contributor). School SP+ 21.0 (FBS INDEPENDENTS). Strong program among non-Power-5 — the prospect dominated against decent competition. RAS 4.69 (46th percentile at OL). Athleticism is average at best for the position. The call is a genuine fade: the room's consensus prices him around #119 and the model won't take him before #197 — a 78-spot markdown. The discount is earned — average-to-below athletic profile leads the case against.