3 prospects · 2020 draft
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects Shane Lemieux as a mid-round flyer at #161 (range #110-#212, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set leans young — most of his closest comps haven't played enough NFL snaps yet to be confidently graded. Closest comps: Nick Martin, Spencer Drango, Isaac Asiata. Ceiling is Germain Ifedi; floor is Vadal Alexander. The call is a genuine fade: the room's consensus prices him around #98 and the model won't take him before #161 — a 62-spot markdown. The 62-spot markdown rests on thin verified signal rather than a named flaw — the model hasn't seen enough yet to match the room's conviction.
Draftanomics projects Kevin Dotson as a Day 2 pick at #62 (range #40-#84, wide band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set leans young — most of his closest comps haven't played enough NFL snaps yet to be confidently graded. Closest comps: Parker Ehinger, Joe Dahl, Cole Madison (Bust). Ceiling is Taylor Moton; floor is Joe Dahl. School SP+ 9.6 (SUN BELT). Strong program among non-Power-5 — the prospect dominated against decent competition. No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured. The call is a conviction buy: the model has him 79 spots ahead of the room (board #62 vs consensus #141), and at a 0% bust probability the edge is worth paying for.
Draftanomics projects Solomon Kindley as a mid-round flyer at #145 (range #115-#175, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set leans young — most of his closest comps haven't played enough NFL snaps yet to be confidently graded. Closest comps: Nick Martin, Nico Siragusa, Spencer Drango. Ceiling is Nick Martin; floor is Spencer Drango. The call is a genuine fade: the room's consensus prices him around #98 and the model won't take him before #145 — a 47-spot markdown. The 47-spot markdown rests on thin verified signal rather than a named flaw — the model hasn't seen enough yet to match the room's conviction.