2 prospects · 2019 draft
Decisive factor: 137-pick gap on Draftanomics projection.
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects Max Scharping as a Day 2 pick at #41 (range #14-#68, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set leans young — most of his closest comps haven't played enough NFL snaps yet to be confidently graded. Closest comps: Ty Sambrailo, Willie Beavers, Joe Haeg. Ceiling is Ty Sambrailo; floor is Cole Toner. The call is a conviction buy: the model has him 44 spots ahead of the room (board #41 vs consensus #85), and at a 0% bust probability the edge is worth paying for.
Draftanomics projects Phil Haynes as a Day 3 dart throw at #178 (range #144-#212, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set leans young — most of his closest comps haven't played enough NFL snaps yet to be confidently graded. Closest comps: Joe Dahl, Parker Ehinger, Joe Thuney. Ceiling is Joe Thuney; floor is Ted Karras. No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured. The call is a genuine fade: the room's consensus prices him around #125 and the model won't take him before #178 — a 53-spot markdown. The 53-spot markdown rests on thin verified signal rather than a named flaw — the model hasn't seen enough yet to match the room's conviction.