Draftanomics
  • 2027 board
  • Consensus board
  • 2028 way-too-early
  • Draft news
  • Simulator
  • The house mock
  • Draft order
  • Trade calculator
  • The Scouting Slate
  • Sleepers & reaches
  • Movers & fallers
  • Player comps
  • Dynasty rookie board
  • Track record
  • Past drafts, re-graded
  • Analyst leaderboard
My rankingsAccount
Get the weekly →
Draftanomics

Honest NFL Draft analytics. The model's receipts against actual NFL teams live on the track record.

Boards
  • 2027 board
  • Consensus board
  • Sleepers
Tools
  • Mock draft simulator
  • Plays Like
  • Dynasty rookie board
Track Record
  • Year-by-year results
  • Accountability Index
  • Our board, on the record
  • Past drafts, re-graded
  • Methodology
  • Developers · free API
  • About
Account
  • My board
  • Weekly email
Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2017 board/
  4. Compare

Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2017 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (DT)
MM
Malik McDowell
DT · Michigan St.
20.9 yo · 6'6" · 295 lb
DJ
D.J. Jones
DT · Mississippi
22.3 yo · — · —
JI
Joey Ivie
DT · Florida
22.3 yo · — · —

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Malik McDowell
Predicted pick
#41
range #15–#145
Bust probability
22%
Consensus rank
#28
on 26 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$4Mmodel
D.J. Jones
Predicted pick
#77
range #77–#234
Bust probability
26%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$13Mmodel
Joey Ivie
Predicted pick
#210
range #127–#261
Bust probability
28%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$5Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Malik McDowell· EDGE / DL / LB
  • D.J. Jones· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Joey Ivie· EDGE / DL / LB
Axis leaders
  • ProductionMalik McDowell0
  • AthleticismMalik McDowell36
  • AgeD.J. Jones97
  • ConsensusMalik McDowell45
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Malik McDowell50
  • Breakout ageMalik McDowell50
  • WorkloadMalik McDowell100
  • RAS × productionMalik McDowell31

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Malik McDowell
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
D.J. Jones
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Joey Ivie
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Malik McDowell
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
D.J. Jones
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Joey Ivie
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Malik McDowellD.J. JonesJoey Ivie· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Malik McDowell

+0.07 boards with him top-100; +0.05 boards with him top-50; −0.05 charting: average depth of target allowed, career avg

D.J. Jones

−0.04 HS recruit rating; +0.03 age; −0.03 boards with him top-100

Joey Ivie

−0.05 charting total career snaps; −0.04 boards with him top-100; −0.04 charting gap run block grade