Draftanomics
  • 2027 board
  • Consensus board
  • 2028 way-too-early
  • Draft news
  • Simulator
  • The house mock
  • Draft order
  • Trade calculator
  • The Scouting Slate
  • Sleepers & reaches
  • Movers & fallers
  • Player comps
  • Dynasty rookie board
  • Track record
  • Past drafts, re-graded
  • Analyst leaderboard
My rankingsAccount
Get the weekly →
Draftanomics

Honest NFL Draft analytics. The model's receipts against actual NFL teams live on the track record.

Boards
  • 2027 board
  • Consensus board
  • Sleepers
Tools
  • Mock draft simulator
  • Plays Like
  • Dynasty rookie board
Track Record
  • Year-by-year results
  • Accountability Index
  • Our board, on the record
  • Past drafts, re-graded
  • Methodology
  • Developers · free API
  • About
Account
  • My board
  • Weekly email
Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2017 board/
  4. Compare

Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

2 prospects · 2017 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (S)
SL
Shalom Luani
S · Washington St.
22.7 yo · 5'11" · 202 lb
RF
Rudy Ford
S · Auburn
22.5 yo · — · —
Tiebreaker
Low confidence — essentially tied
Truly tied on the model.

Shalom Luani and Rudy Ford project within 8 picks of each other, and neither bust risk nor the historical comps can separate them. Take the one at the position of greater need.

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Shalom Luani
Predicted pick
#211
range #128–#262
Bust probability· rough estimate
28%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$4Mmodel
Rudy Ford
Predicted pick
#247
range #110–#262
Bust probability· rough estimate
9%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Shalom Luani· CB / S
  • Rudy Ford· CB / S
Axis leaders
  • ProductionShalom Luani0
  • AthleticismShalom Luani36
  • AgeRudy Ford82
  • ConsensusShalom Luani5
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Shalom Luani50
  • Breakout ageShalom Luani50
  • WorkloadShalom Luani100
  • RAS × productionShalom Luani53

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Shalom Luani
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Rudy Ford
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Shalom Luani
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Rudy Ford
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Shalom LuaniRudy Ford· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Shalom Luani

−0.04 boards with him top-100; −0.02 scout consensus; +0.02 HS recruit rating

Rudy Ford

−0.04 boards with him top-100; −0.03 HS recruit rating; −0.02 scout consensus