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Honest NFL Draft analytics. The model's receipts against actual NFL teams live on the track record.

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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2017 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (RB)
JW
Jamaal Williams
RB · BYU
22.1 yo · 6'0" · 212 lb
DF
D'Onta Foreman
RB · Texas
21.0 yo · 6'0" · 233 lb
BH
Brian Hill
RB · Wyoming
21.5 yo · 6'1" · 219 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Jamaal Williams
Predicted pick
#74
range #27–#192
Bust probability
15%
Consensus rank
#63
on 3 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$7Mmodel
D'Onta Foreman
Predicted pick
#166
range #53–#250
Bust probability
75%
Consensus rank
#98
on 18 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$4Mmodel
Brian Hill
Predicted pick
#161
range #48–#245
Bust probability
22%
Consensus rank
#104
on 1 board
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Jamaal Williams· RB / WR / TE
  • D'Onta Foreman· RB / WR / TE
  • Brian Hill· RB / WR / TE
Axis leaders
  • ProductionJamaal Williams41
  • AthleticismD'Onta Foreman33
  • AgeJamaal Williams98
  • ConsensusJamaal Williams13
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Jamaal Williams50
  • Breakout ageJamaal Williams50
  • WorkloadJamaal Williams100
  • RAS × productionJamaal Williams50

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Jamaal Williams
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
D'Onta Foreman
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Brian Hill
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Jamaal Williams
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
D'Onta Foreman
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Brian Hill
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Jamaal WilliamsD'Onta ForemanBrian Hill· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Jamaal Williams

+0.03 age; +0.03 charting total career snaps; +0.02 HS recruit rating

D'Onta Foreman

+0.07 boards with him top-100; −0.03 charting total career snaps; −0.03 production trajectory

Brian Hill

−0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.02 age; −0.02 charting hands grade