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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2017 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (LB)
VB
Vince Biegel
LB · Wisconsin
23.8 yo · — · —
MM
Matt Milano
LB · Boston Col.
22.7 yo · — · —
BB
Blair Brown
LB · Ohio
22.9 yo · — · —

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Vince Biegel
Predicted pick
#115
range #41–#213
Bust probability
29%
Consensus rank
#102
on 3 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel
Matt Milano
Predicted pick
#75
range #75–#232
Bust probability
30%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$16Mmodel
Blair Brown
Predicted pick
#61
range #25–#194
Bust probability
35%
Consensus rank
#157
on 2 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$6Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Vince Biegel· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Matt Milano· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Blair Brown· EDGE / DL / LB
Axis leaders
  • ProductionVince Biegel0
  • AthleticismVince Biegel36
  • AgeMatt Milano65
  • ConsensusVince Biegel22
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Vince Biegel50
  • Breakout ageVince Biegel50
  • WorkloadMatt Milano100
  • RAS × productionVince Biegel31

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Vince Biegel
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Matt Milano
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Blair Brown
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Vince Biegel
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Matt Milano
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Blair Brown
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Vince BiegelMatt MilanoBlair Brown· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Vince Biegel

−0.04 age; −0.03 HS recruit rating; +0.03 charting run def grade career avg

Matt Milano

−0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.04 charting run def grade career avg; +0.03 charting def grade mean

Blair Brown

+0.04 charting run def grade career avg; −0.03 scout consensus; −0.03 boards with him top-100