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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2017 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (CB)
TW
Tre'Davious White
CB · LSU
22.3 yo · — · —
JL
Jourdan Lewis
CB · Michigan
21.6 yo · 5'10" · 188 lb
GC
Gareon Conley
CB · Ohio St.
21.8 yo · 6'0" · 195 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Tre'Davious White
Predicted pick
#82
range #26–#203
Bust probability· rough estimate
14%
Consensus rank
#29
on 25 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$18Mmodel
Jourdan Lewis
Predicted pick
#99
range #55–#211
Bust probability· rough estimate
24%
Consensus rank
#96
on 18 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$9Mmodel
Gareon Conley
Predicted pick
#43
range #17–#147
Bust probability· rough estimate
21%
Consensus rank
#22
on 26 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$8Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Tre'Davious White· CB / S
  • Jourdan Lewis· CB / S
  • Gareon Conley· CB / S
Axis leaders
  • ProductionTre'Davious White0
  • AthleticismTre'Davious White36
  • AgeTre'Davious White65
  • ConsensusGareon Conley47
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Tre'Davious White50
  • Breakout ageTre'Davious White50
  • WorkloadTre'Davious White100
  • RAS × productionTre'Davious White53

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Tre'Davious White
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Jourdan Lewis
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Gareon Conley
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Tre'Davious White
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Jourdan Lewis
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Gareon Conley
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Tre'Davious WhiteJourdan LewisGareon Conley· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Tre'Davious White

+0.07 boards with him top-100; +0.04 boards with him top-50; −0.03 HS recruit rating

Jourdan Lewis

+0.06 boards with him top-100; −0.04 charting fir career avg; +0.03 charting run def grade career avg

Gareon Conley

+0.07 boards with him top-100; +0.04 scout consensus; +0.04 boards with him top-50